, 3 tweets, 1 min read
OK, here's a classic 538 "well, actually" story.

#Actually, Biden's numbers haven't declined at all since the Ukraine story broke, and while Warren has made big recent gains, few of them have come from Biden: fivethirtyeight.com/features/eliza…
In certain respects the media would seem to be making the same mistake it made with Trump in the GOP primaries in 2016, consistantly predicting his demise despite steady poll numbers, perhaps because his support comes mostly from voters that the media largely ignores.
However, Biden faces a problem that Trump never did: an opponent as strong as Warren, who has already broken through in a way that none of Trump's GOP rivals in 2016 ever really did.
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