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, 3 tweets, 2 min read
This is about using a provision on voluntary arbitration in the WTO dispute settlement agreement as a way of getting around the likelihood that new appeals will not be possible after December 10.

Canada-EU was announced in the summer. Now Norway-EU have followed suit.

1/3
An updated background and explanation is here: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2019/08/21/bot…

2/3
The updated backgrounder also now includes the latest draft decision to solve the problem, produced by New Zealand ambassador David Walker, who has been consulting WTO members since the beginning of the year.

The US poured cold water on this

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2019/08/21/bot…

3/3 Screenshot of the bullet points summarising David Walker's revised draft proposal, in his fourth report to the General Council
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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
Genius!
More genius!

The musical antidote to the crisis you never wanted

The full symphony
Read 3 tweets
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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
Green parties have made historic gains, according to the latest forecast.

Overall, the left and the centre have gained ground, prompting speculation about a reshuffle of the multi-party government.

swissinfo.ch/eng/politics/s…
Projection: left-wing Green Party wins 13% of the lower house vote – up nearly 6% on 2015, their best result ever. The centrist Liberal Greens are also set increase their share to 7.9% from 4.6%.

The right-wing People's Party to remain the largest group. Social Democrats second. Screenshot of graphic of results according to the 3rd projection from the page linked in the previous tweet
And here's👇🏽the head of the Greens this evening on the possibility of altering the composition of the multi-party government for the first time in years.

Note Switzerland has 2 Green parties: the leftist Greens (bigger) and the centrist Liberal Greens.

swissinfo.ch/eng/federal-co…
Read 10 tweets
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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
I've been trying to find an answer to a question about trade in goods between Northern Ireland & the Republic under the new version of the protocol (backstop/frontstop).

The focus has been on trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland and how customs is arranged.

1/4
If the UK & EU cannot agree on a free trade agreement (aka "no deal") and since there are no customs procedures for the Irish border:

1. What happens to butter made in Northern Ireland and sold in the Republic? It's essentially duty-free even though the EU has a high tariff

2/4
2. What happens to butter made in the Republic and sold in Northern Ireland? Similarly it escapes the UK tariff of €60.5 or €73.8 per 100kg.

3. What happens to French butter shipped to Northern Ireland via Dublin? No duty charged either?

3/4
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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Jakob Hanke Vela
@HankeVela
🚨 The EU-US Trade fight is about to get nastier. The WTO has allowed the US to hit the EU with billions in punitive tariffs over Airbus subsidies.
Four EU officials told POLTICO that the WTO on Friday ruled in Trump’s favor.
politico.eu/article/trump-…
✈️ The ruling is still confidential until the EU and the US have had the chance to comment and delete sensitive business information.

✈️ Officials said the US would implement the tariffs within weeks.
Read 12 tweets
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Rambod Behboodi
@GenevaTradeLaw
I've now had a chance to review the paper. There is excellent research on the negotiating history, and good insight overall on where things stand. There are curious omissions as @JamesLockett1 identified below. There are observations that clashed somewhat with experience. 1/
@JamesLockett1 A minor quibble to begin with.

I'm not sure why the paper begins with "three". For me - and under the DSU - the magic number would have been four: this is the threshold below which the AB can't rotate and is therefore noncompliance with 17.1. 2/

@JamesLockett1 Another minor quibble: is this really true?

We know the legal status of an *appealed* panel report: the DSB may not adopt it until there is an Appellate Body report (or the appeal is withdrawn). this is perfectly predictable, hence workarounds proposed (and already agreed). 3/
Read 24 tweets
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Steve Peers
@StevePeers
This latest no deal Brexit paper is full of false or misleading statements. Surprise! I will supplement David's excellent comments with some comments of my own.
Contingency arrangements for no deal Brexit have not been "agreed" in any legal sense. They are unilateral measures by the EU. Also if there's no withdrawal agreement, how can there be an "alternative arrangements protocol"?
The argument about the percentage of voters voting for the withdrawal agreement doesn't take them far, since only 35% of the vote went to parties supporting no deal. Two thirds of voters rejected their position then.
Read 26 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *U.S. WAITING TO HEAR FROM #CHINA ON TRADE DEAL, KUDLOW SAYS - BBG
*KUDLOW EXPECTS U.S.-CHINA MEETING IN MARCH IN MAR-A-LAGO
*TRUMP, LIGHTHIZER ARE VERY CLOSE, KUDLOW TELLS CNBC
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 #CHINA WOULD HAVE TO NOTE ANY FX INTERVENTION UNDER DEAL: KUDLOW - BBG
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *MNUCHIN SAYS #CHINA #TRADE TALKS INCLUDE 150-PAGE DOCUMENT - BBG
Read 819 tweets
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Holger Hestermeyer
@hhesterm
I do not have the time for a full analysis - but allow me to point out some obvious shortcomings. As one of the authors can and does claim particular WTO expertise, I will not be as forgiving as I am with people who have no prior experience. (Thread)
The document claims to give us 30 truths about leaving on WTO terms. Allow me to link it again here for your convenience: globalbritain.co.uk/wp-content/upl…
Let’s start easy: the introduction suggests that the backstop can be replaced by a full FTA. Easy. Tusk is willing to do it. This is wrong. 1) we cannot negotiate a full future relationship in 3 months 2) remember the sequencing we agreed to?
Read 34 tweets
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Steve Peers
@StevePeers
1/ The withdrawal agreement text. Comments coming soon
2/ Legal effect of the withdrawal agreement

Now expressly mentions direct effect and implictly supremacy of EU law.

Note impact of post Brexit CJEU case law is more limited.

Applies to the whole WA; UK had previously agreed to apply this clause to citizens rights parts only
3/ Transition period clauses the same as agreed in March at first glance EXCEPT for a new clause on extension to an unspecified date.

Note usual EU budget contribution for UK would NOT apply during extension. 2.b specifically means abolition of the UK rebate would be irrelevant.
Read 19 tweets

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