Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #TRADE

Most recents (24)

"Reclaiming monetary Sovereignty and sustainable prosperity in #Africa" starts now with @FadhelKaboub at the launch of the international conference "The quest for economic and Monetary sovereignty in the 21st century in Africa. @Mon_Sovereignty facebook.com/RosaLux.NorthA…
@FadhelKaboub @Mon_Sovereignty Follow the LIVE in the link below 👇🏿👇🏿facebook.com/RosaLux.NorthA…
@FadhelKaboub @Mon_Sovereignty @FadhelKaboub : In Tunisia, in the 70s two interesting patterns were unleashed with the opening of he economy.
☝🏼☝🏼Increase in trade deficit
☝🏼☝🏼increase of external debt
@Mon_Sovereignty #Tunisia
Read 11 tweets
💡 How to reconcile globalisation & #TaxJustice?

Some 🗝️ key points by 🎙️ @gabriel_zucman in another cracking #podcast episode of @TheTaxcast

🎧 ➡️ taxjustice.net/2019/10/25/tax…

THREAD 1/7
#TaxEvasion & #TaxAvoidance are not laws of nature, but policy choices. We can choose to:
🕵️‍♂️ allow secrecy
💸 lightly regulated the tax avoidance industry
🌪️allow tax competition to drive a #RaceToTheBottom

Or we can choose not to allow them 👇 2/7
The alternatively could be to choose to:
🧮 record wealth in registries
🏛️ regulate #TaxAvoidance industry
🌍 make international #tax coordination a core part of #Trade agreements & international cooperation

3/7
Read 8 tweets
1/n
#China #India #ModiXiSummit 2019.
Few Things not Talked, But are Conveyed & Understood in Unspoken & Informal Communication Arena !?

Twelve (12) Points;

1. #Kashmir ; No mediation Please
2. #CPEC through PoK ; NO GO Please
3. #Terrorism ; Radical Islamic Terrorism
Contd
2/n
...
4. #Pakistan ; Go, Went & Gone.
5. #POK ; Next. When ?
6. #Trade ; Need for Balance.
7. Mutual Trust, People to People - Contact & Connect.
8. Convergences on #WTO, Climate Change, Globalisation & Terrorism.
Contd...
3/n
...
9. Respect each other's Sensitivities, Core Concerns & National Interests.
10. Resolve Boundary Issue/Question/Dispute & Complete LAC Exchange of Perceptions. Peace & Tranquility at LAC.
Contd..
Read 5 tweets
Leave Fallacies Thread

Trade Section

All fallacies applied to or derived from 🇬🇧 Trading Situation
Trade 1.
EU provides Non-EU #trade

Leave (mostly) don't know the #EU provides trade deals for (including in negotiation) 80% of our global trade both in and outside of the EU

Tend to say leaving the EU and taking tariffs on EU trade opens up the world. When it closes it
Trade 2. Commonwealth EMOTION.
The belief is EU suppresses trade with the Commonwealth. Don't know, once you exclude individual negotiations with Canada/Aus/India, that the EU gives most of the Commonwealth tariff-free access to the EU. Instead, leave means going backwards.
Read 11 tweets
#OpportunityCost is the aggregate net cost of doing something, vis a vis 'not doing it' at all.

The initial project, option & prospect of #Brexit came with huge opportunity costs, which were too easily pre-discounted as #ProjectFear. 1/
The initial #Leave case, dramatised by the #BorisBus, contended that UK could save its £350m pw #EU 'gross membership contribution' and pass that 'saving' straight to the #NHS - as 'additional funding'. 2/
The #Leave case focused on saving UK's #EU gross membership cost in favour of #NHS.

It ignored regular #EU annual contributions back into a multiplicity of UK projects, which would obviously be stopped, if we ceased membership.
3/
Read 34 tweets
1) THREAD: What to expect if the #US 🇺🇸withdraws from #NATO? At the Körber #PolicyGame, we discussed this scenario w/ high-level officials and experts in coop w/ @IISS_org - here are the summarized results for the Twitterati community: (have mercy, it’s my first thread!)
2) We wanted to know: How would Europeans react in such a situation?What are interests and red lines? Thus, we invited a 🇫🇷, 🇩🇪, 🇵🇱,🇬🇧, and 🇺🇸 team to play our scenario. Crisis in the #South, Crisis in the #East - were #Europeans able to get their act together w/out the 🇺🇸? 💪 🇪🇺
3) The short answer is: willing yes ❕but able❔ First, most teams focused on reversing a #US withdrawal from #NATO by all possible means, offering the 🇺🇸concessions that were unthinkable before - from #trade to #energy. But what if that doesn’t help? 🤔
Read 19 tweets
1/

Current state of play with trade agreements planning for life after the EU:

Trade agreements that have been signed:

Colombia
Ecuador
Peru
Antigua and Barbuda
Barbados
Belize
The Commonwealth of Dominica
The Dominican Republic
Grenada
The Republic of Guyana
Jamaica
2/

Saint Christopher and Nevis
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
The Republic of Trinidad and Tobago
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Nicaragua
Panama
Chile
Madagascar
Mauritius
Seychelles
Zimbabwe
Faroe Islands
Iceland
Norway
Israel
Liechtenstein
Fiji
3/

Papua New Guinea
Palestinian Authority
South Korea
Switzerland

Mutual recognition agreements signed:

Australia
New Zealand
United States
Read 7 tweets
THREAD: CF40 just concluded the third Yichun Forum in northeast #China’s Heilongjiang province. Here are some takeaways from the keynote speakers: mp.weixin.qq.com/s/qAmqQE2XQOyU… 1/7
Chen Yuan, chairman of CF40 Executive Council: China should reconsider the strategic significance of its foreign reserves, turning it into the focus of financial
battlefield in the future from its past role as a highly reliable core fortune. 2/7
Zhou Xiaochuan, former #PBoC governor: Only when #RMB is truly internationalized, can China effectively deal with the side effects of various distortions at the global monetary market which is now dominated by US dollar. 3/7
Read 7 tweets
1. #News ~ Google Insider @Perpetualmaniac: "people have been waiting for this Google Snowden moment..." Hundreds of leaked Google documents available on @Project_Veritas website... #TRUMP

2. #News ~ NEW: Google "Machine Learning Fairness" Whistleblower Goes Public, says: "burden lifted off of my soul," Leaks Hundreds of Internal Documents #TRUMP

3. #News ~ Democrats/ Leftists THREATEN MURDER OF EL PASO VICTIM'S FAMILY b/c they met with President Trump During His Visit to Texas thegatewaypundit.com/2019/08/leftis… #Trump @realDonaldTrump
Read 71 tweets
Thread on some thoughts on @ewarren's plan to demand poor countries meet labor & environmental standards to trade with the US & on @Noahpinion's critique.

1) Yes, Clinton-era free trade agreements caused a multi-decade job bleed from the US, especially in manufacturing
2) Free trade generally benefits lower cost providers. Therefore, a net positive for emerging nations.

3) There are things we could have done to phase in free trade deals, like boost investment & re-training in other industries, to limit the downsides. But hindsight is 20/20.
4) While ALL consumers benefit from lower prices from free trade & much smaller groups of workers benefit from protectionism, it's the job of a nation's leaders to balance the two. That did not happen here. The digital boom abandoned the analog workers of exported industries.
Read 12 tweets
🇩🇪 It confirms that German GDP likely ⬇ in 2Q while proxies pointed to the risk of another ⬇ in 3Q (technical recession).

This scenario would add pressure on #Germany to launch a stimulus package to support growth at both the national and 🇪🇺 level.

🇪🇺 Trichet Sees Next Crisis if #ECB doesn’t get Help - Handelsblatt
handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldp…
🇩🇪 #Germany’s economy needs a fiscal boost - FT
ft.com/content/5ea7db…
Read 67 tweets
1/13 On oil & oil equity prices:

So why does oil and oil equities underperform the S&P and NASDAQ in 2019 by a wide margin? #OOTT #brent #WTI #oilprice
2/13 As shown by Crescat Capital, this is a growth/ETF/momentum market which left commodities at 50 year relative historical lows! @crescatkevin @TaviCosta
3/13 So how do oil prices format?

Short term, spot prices #trade around inventory levels.

However, it is hard for #Brent and oil equities to go up on declining inventories while demand/macro weakens (macro outlook uncertain). #OOTT #WTI @HFI_Research
Read 13 tweets
31. The Legacy of US, UK, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Bahrain, Canada, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Australia, Jordan, Nato in Syria

#RegimeChange #FakeNews #FalseFlag #terrorism #SyriaInvasion #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity
1 to 20. The Legacy of US, UK, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Bahrain, Canada, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Australia, Jordan, Nato in Syria 🤨👇🏼
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1136642…
21. The Legacy of US, UK, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Bahrain, Canada, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Australia, Jordan, Nato in Syria🤨👇🏼
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1137566…
Read 259 tweets
There's so much going on here it's difficult to know where to start!

But start we must.

So, remember when the Brexiters said #Brexit was all about sovereignty & being free? Well, turns out America will decide your policies. You have no veto. Or vote. 1/8 telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/…
Secondly, Britain and the US are both members of the Five Eyes security alliance. Trump's administration would have shared their intel on #Huawei with the UK.

It is very telling that Britain did not buy in to Trump's anti-Huawei narrative that it poses a #security risk.

2/8
Trump's position was already undermined when he had said that @Huawei could be part of a trade deal with #China - apparently ignoring the "fact" that it is a #security risk. If it was such a risk, it would never be allowed to trade in the US. 3/8

link.medium.com/Fkj3DRSgjY
Read 8 tweets
13. United States decided to label #IRGC terrorists. But who are the real terrorists? Who created, trained, armed & financed the worst terrorist groups in the world?

#Hypocrites #DoubleStandards #Liars #Warlords #USRealTerrorists
Wrong US policies in the Middle East. Sanctions against Iran. Sanctions used by the USA as a war weapon🤨👇🏼
1. United States decided to label #IRGC terrorists. But who are the real terrorists? Who created, trained, armed & financed the worst terrorist groups in the world? 🤨👇🏼
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1116293…
Read 146 tweets
Good morning all! 🙂 Morning in Copenhagen - listening to Ludovico while I'm updating analyses and family sleeps. Fantastic piece of music: #AllisGood
Time for some #HZupdates. Let's take a look at the market from the way I see it. Where is that deflation, I have been forecasting? Did CBs succeed to do their magic and eliminate that threat? What about the Kondratiev's winter - over/done? Stay tuned! 🙂
AUDUSD is inflation gauge. Rally=inflation up; Decline=inflation down. LT perspective looks like this. Decline in 2008 = wave A. Rally up to 2011 = wave B. We have since been in wave C. Wave 5 will take us to ~0.5. Note the horizontal line. When this goes -->free fall #HZupdates
Read 28 tweets
12. United States decided to label #IRGC terrorists. But who are the real terrorists? Who created, trained, armed & financed the worst terrorist groups in the world?

#Hypocrites #DoubleStandards #Liars #Warlords #USRealTerrorists
Wrong US policies in the Middle East. Sanctions against Iran. Sanctions used by the USA as a war weapon🤨👇🏼
1. United States decided to label #IRGC terrorists. But who are the real terrorists? Who created, trained, armed & financed the worst terrorist groups in the world? 🤨👇🏼
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1116293…
Read 128 tweets
1. #News ~ Moments Ago: 'Peacemaker' @realDonaldTrump and President Moon visit the DMZ observance.

On way to visit Military - Peace House Shortly To meet Kim.



#Trump #Qanon
2. News Watch @AJENews's broadcast: LIVE: US President Trump meets North Korean leader - Meeting Kim in a few minutes

pscp.tv/w/b-hMSDFheWpW…

#Trump #Qanon #NorthKorea #DMZ #PEACE
3. News ~ President Trump meets with US and South Korean troops near the DMZ ahead of meeting with Kim Jong Un - Any Moment nbcnews.to/2IYcGoE

#Trump #Qanon #NorthKorea #DMZ #PEACE
Read 46 tweets
Geopolitical Rivalry Between #Russia #China & #USA continues; in Full Force. The Real Question: Geopolitically Speaking, Who’s Ahead Currently?- - - ”China & Russia are bigger threats than terrorism says US government” sc.mp/2DrZdog
Food For Thought- You Get To Pick: In the Midst Of Current #Geopolitical Rivalry Which Country is Ahead?
Wow! That’s interesting, 3 first votes: one of each!! That’s interesting😊
Read 11 tweets
1. #News ~ ‘Not True!’— President Trump @realDonaldTrump Calls New York Times Report on Russian Cyber Attacks ‘Virtual Act of Treason’

’These Are True Cowards… The Enemy of the People’

breitbart.com/politics/2019/… #Trump #Qanon #Treason #EnemyOfThePeople #TickTock
2. #News ~ “Mental health crisis" declared: 3 NYPD officers commit suicide in 10 days:

*Joseph Calabrese 58, homicide detective

*Deputy Chief Steven Silks 63, was retiring in a month

* NYPD officer Mike Caddy, 29

washingtonexaminer.com/news/three-nyp…

#Trump #Qanon
3. #News ~ CNN reporter suggests that CIA agents shouldn't be subject to federal investigation freedomoutpost.com/cnn-reporter-s…

#Trump #Qanon #TickTock #EnemyOfThePeople #FakeNews #PROPAGANDA
Read 118 tweets
Nader was Partying at Exclusive Island Resort w/ Bill Clinton
Epstein Island dungeon-beneath the temple #EpsteinIsland
This one case has the ability to bring down the (many) rich & powerful people.
Those who scream the loudest….
fox10tv.com/news/us_world_…
#QAnon @GenFlynn @POTUS
#HumaAbedin connection to Nikki Hilton > Rothchild >Soros
Excellent thread @JoanofAmerica
U.S. State Department Tied To Child Trafficking Operation With Epstein
One of Epstein’s aircraft was linked to the trafficking of underage girls is owned and operated by the U.S. State Department.
Excellent Article👇
newspunch.com/u-s-state-depa…
@POTUS @GenFlynn #QAnon #SundayMorning
Read 59 tweets
Escalating disputes between China and the United States could significantly weaken sentiment in business and financial markets, disrupt global supply chains and create an economic drag this year, the International Monetary Fund warned on Friday. @IMFNews #trade
The IMF research, citing official data, found that the revenue collected by the US government through hefty tariffs on Chinese imports, has been paid almost entirely by US importers. cards.twitter.com/cards/18ce54pl…
"Some of these tariffs have been passed on to US consumers, such as those on washing machines, while others have been absorbed by importing firms through lower profit margins," the research said. #trade @IMFNews cards.twitter.com/cards/18ce54pl…
Read 4 tweets
FRIDAY MORNING IN ENERGY: And I’d like to talk energy, but really, I’ve got to talk trade first after we’ve got new tariffs coming, a lot of research notes, and very nervous markets… #OOTT #tradewar #China #trade
… as always you can follow our coverage here on Reuters.com. Our lead story right now is, the US escalated the trade war with more tariffs after the Chinese made major changes in the agreement that blew everything up earlier in the week.

reuters.com/article/us-usa…
Trump has said he’s in no rush to complete the deal. So we’ve got that going for us. #trade #china Ttradewar

reuters.com/article/us-usa…
Read 26 tweets
I have received lot of queries on #OptionsTrading.
Specially on the trades that I take on expiry day where option prices move 10 times in last one hour. Let me tell you that this happens only 1 in 3-4 weeks.
Few pointers that I look at.
Expiry day trading in options few tips. I hope it will help others.
So what I look for is following 3 things.
1. Open Interest Build Up on expiry day
2. Trend of the market from start of the day
3. how to trade
3. Time when breakout or breakdown of critical levels happen
#OpenInterest Build Up
#Optionwriting has become very popular & there is heightened activity of the same on expiry day. This is clearly visible through OI buildup in specific strikes where OI goes up significantly & price goes down. Now these strikes become our boundaries
Read 10 tweets

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