Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #TRADE

Most recents (24)

Here is why you should learn about functionality of risk-ON/risk-OFF in #markets no matter what asset class you decide to #trade:

It gives you foundations to good expectations. There is one pool of global capital that moves in and out of the risk offense or risk defense mode. You should know in what mode market is today to begin with and how it impacts your selected ticker of the day in focus.

For example, if you decide to long equity ticker under severe selling pressure like $FRC the risk-ON flows have to cooperate, else your chances of longs working are going to be by default much smaller. The riskier the asset and the more liquid the more you need risk-ON mode.

Read 11 tweets
#Biden backs strength of #banking system after collapse of #SVB, #SignatureBank | Mar 13
- When fed auths bailed out depositors in insolvent lenders SVB (NASDAQ:SIVB) and #SignatureBank on Monday,
Joe sought to reassure the public Image
#Ukraine-#BanderasBox opened.
#RAND Co | Jan 25
- There is an urgent need for #resources to flow into the national econ, especially the #banking system. Only European countries bound by #EU and #NATO commitments will be able to provide them
#SVB #SignatureBank #BanderasBox.
#Rand Co | Jan 25
- The key objective is to #divide #EU by placing #UsefulIdiots in political positions in order to stop #Russian #energy supplies from reaching the continent
- The entire #EU #economy will #collapse
Read 38 tweets
After his official visit to #Japan, president @KlausIohannis is paying a visit to #Singapore, where earlier today he held talks with his counterpart, Halimah Yacob. The president highlighted Romania's goal to step up bilateral relations with Singapore. (1/5) Image
@KlausIohannis spoke of a set of common goals, such as inclusion policies, economic&social development. The officials examined the results of actions conducted with a view 2 promoting information society, cyber-security, education, gender equality, green transition. (2/5) Image
Iohannis expressed RO's interest to tap into the full potential of bilateral relations, specifically in terms of economic cooperation. He underscored Bucharest's objective 2 attract investment, arguing that RO is the 3rd-largest EU provider of IT services to Singapore. (3/5) Image
Read 5 tweets
Good evening and welcome to the #RaisinaDialogue2023!

We are delighted to have Hon’ble Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) and H.E. Ms. Giorgia Meloni (@GiorgiaMeloni) inaugurate #Raisina2023.

Follow this thread for live updates!

@orfonline @MEAIndia @PMOIndia
.@samirsaran: This edition of the Raisina Dialogue is special. It is the first Dialogue in India’s #AmritKaal, or 'Golden Age’—an epoch marking the 25 years leading up to a century of India’s independence.

#RaisinaDialogue2023 #Raisina2023
Read 23 tweets
#Democracy/#FacaDemocracy: “Bolstering these #IntellectualProperty protection devices is an expanding set of inter-government deals. The construction of the global #market #system has been marked by a proliferation of over 3,200 bilateral and multilateral treaties on trade ...
... and investment, most of which have never been subject to any #democratic mandate or accountability."
"…. As one Investment #banking expert noted: 'It is a mistake to call it a trade agreement. This is really an agreement that's [sic] purpose is substantially to weaken nation-based #regulation while at the same time strengthening #IntellectualProperty protections.' ...
Read 11 tweets
@ECFRMena & @ECFRAsia cross-over! Me & @a_bachulska wrote a short piece on #China - #GCC relations *seen from both sides.* We thought there was an abundance of partial viewpoints but really scarcity of strategic comprehensive overview. 1/…
The first thing we do is put to rest the once ubiquitous argument that #China-#Gulf relations are only economic. In fact, they are grounded in compatible visions of #multipolarity. A year after #RussiaInvadedUkraine, multipolarity is the real winner! 2/
#Beijing is the 1st #trade partner for the monarchies & invested in key infrastructures, ie acquired 20% of largest #port in #SaudiArabia (Jeddah). But #GCC leaders are also wary of Chinese reliability-ie obstacles to sign #FTA despite #Xi insistence. 3/
Read 7 tweets
🇨🇳🇮🇷⚡️ Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in Beijing to discuss cooperation on infrastructure projects and Iran's nuclear program.
#china #iran #beijing #trade #infrastructure #nuclear #usa
Chinese state media, however, linked the meeting to the confrontation between China and the US, and both leaders expressed a rejection of the US-dominated world order.
Xi called for a "quick and proper resolution" of the Iranian nuclear issue and reiterated China's commitment to the negotiations to renew the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, from which the US withdrew in 2018.
Read 4 tweets
🇮🇷🇨🇳⚡️Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has started a historic visit to China, which includes discussions on the transition to the yuan, the China-Iran-Russia transport corridor, and Afghanistan.
#china #iran #afghanistan #russia #yuan #trade #brica #pla #eurasia Image
The visit includes the signing of a 25-year agreement on economic cooperation between the two countries, which likely implies a wider presence of the People's Liberation Army in Iran and in the Persian Gulf, …
… the use of the yuan in trade, and the withdrawal of trade between the two countries into a zone not controlled by the US.
Read 6 tweets
🔆US Countering Malign Russian Activities in Africa Act April 2022 #Thread
1. In April 2022 11 Democratic and 5 republican senators cosponsored a bill introduced by Rep. Gregory Meeks, H.R. 7311 "Countering Malign Russian Activities in Africa Act".
#Russia #Africa #USA #EU
2. Sec 2(b) of US “Countering Malign Russian Activities in Africa Act” states - "(B) to hold accountable the Russian Federation and African governments and their officials who are complicit in aiding such malign influence and activities."
#Russia #Africa #USA #China
3. In section 3(a)(1) of the act US wants to - (1) strengthen democratic institutions,😂 improve government transparency and accountability, improve standards related to human rights, labor, anti-corruption initiatives,
#Russia #Africa #Trade #economy #USA #China
Read 29 tweets
🔆Russia Africa Summit 2023 #Thread
1. 2nd Russia–Africa Summit and Economic Forum to be held in St. Petersburg in July 2023. 1st Russia–Africa Summit was hosted by Russia in year 2019.
#Russia #Africa #Trade #Economy #China #USA
2. 45 African head of states and state representatives from 54 African countries are expected to attend Russia Africa Summit 2023 like its preceding summits.
#Russia #Africa #Trade #Economy #China #USA
3. Russai Africa forum's business area is organized by Roscongress Foundation with the support of Russian Export Center.
#Russia #Africa #Trade #Economy #China #USA
Read 17 tweets
📢On the eve of the 3-year anniversary of the UK's departure from the EU, I commissioned an Opinion Paper from 2 eminent UK lawyers who worked in the EU for @VoteTrueAndFair
Press release

Addressing #Brexit Problems Paper

The Paper shows that all the tools to fix the #Brexitdamage across almost every sector already exist in clauses within agreements both sides signed up to, in the NIP and TCA.

But are being wilfully ignored by Sunak to placate a small faction of purists #BrexitReality

The #Brexit Paper authored by Ian Forrester KC & Eleanor Sharpston KC uses examples of fixes for:
Touring #musicians
The #Erasmus programme
Increasing mobility rights for under 30s
The services sector
#Security and intelligence
Read 3 tweets
(1/16) Today again a more theoretical thread about #Germanic #history. It is about a theory of the origin of the first Germanic major #tribes:
the #Iron and #Amber theory!

(Many used images are from external sources, which I will gladly share if needed.) ImageImage
(2/16) But let's start from the beginning. What is a #Germanic "major #tribe" anyway?
Around the year 0, hundreds of small #tribes lived in #Germania. About 400 years later, however, they were seemingly replaced by a few large tribes, such as the #Goths, #Franks, or #Alemanni. Image
(3/16) #Researchers therefore asked themselves early on how this development had come about. It was usually assumed that #Germanic #tribes living near the #borders of the #Roman #Empire formed #raiding parties, in order to be able to undertake more successful #raids. ImageImage
Read 16 tweets
🇷🇺⚡️According to Bruegel's data, imports to Russia from leading unfriendly countries have recovered in November 2022.
#ukrainewar #russia #imports #economy #trade
Before the SMO, the average monthly volume of imports was $11.2 billion, but it fell to $5 billion from March to October 2022, resulting in a 45% decrease compared to the 12-month comparison base.
In November, imports rose to $6.4 billion, with the EU-27 countries as the main source of growth. However, trade with the US and the UK has almost completely stopped and shows no signs of recovery.
Read 6 tweets
. @StateBank_Pak has released disaggregated #trade data for #Pakistan, for the first half of FY23. Some analysis on main trends in 🧵👇👇
1) #Pakistan's #exports have declined in H1 FY23 relative to H1 FY22 by 4%. The fall is driven by goods #exports that fell by 5.8%. in million USD
2) By #destination, the largest #export contractions are observed to the USA, China, the UK and the UAE.
#Pakistan Image
Read 11 tweets
Today's #blog covers why the #pain #trade is likely higher over the next few weeks as #sentiment improves and too much money is offside.…
#Bullish optimism is building around:
- #Fed cutting rates
- #Economy will avoid #recession
- #Employment remains strong.
- #Earnings have corrected enough
Risk to that view remains a recession.…
It is called the “#paintrade” because it is the opposite of how #investors are currently positioned. Investor sentiment remains historically #bearish despite improvement since the October lows.…
Read 5 tweets
BIG #TRADE Q1: Shortened Plan

Short #NASDAQ: Thread ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Read the whole thread!

➡️ pls retweet

1. Flight path
2. Entry / exit dates
3. Trade mgmt
4. Entry options
5. Background
6. Other Q1 Trades

PS - Not an advice, this is what I plan to do!
Flight Path
Below are modeled range for #NQ upper and lower ranges and likely path.
Entry / Exit dates: Turn dates is a guide.

1. Entry date: After 20th Jan when price is near high range
2. Exit date: March 17th or thereabout. Read trade management.

Read 8 tweets
#Pakistan is going thru a complex #macro situation. At its heart is one symptom: the #CAD. Because the CAD has been perennial, this long-standing symptom translated into large foreign liabilities. Short 🧵👇
a) The #CAD shows that #Pakistan has been consuming beyond what it produces. At its heart, there’s another perennial deficit: the fiscal deficit.
b) To fix the #CAD, compressing #imports is futile (e.g. with the flood levy). You need either to reduce the fiscal deficit, or increase private saving well beyond investment. 👇
Read 10 tweets
An argument for why the Gambler's Fallacy, the Recency Bias, and Conditional Heteroskedasticity could set up an attractive asymmetric return profile ahead of Wednesday's US inflation (#CPI) data ...

🧵 1/n
Headline CPI is forecasted to come in at 6.5% YoY, compared to 7.1% the month before. CPI has clearly been trending downward since June 2022, which is positive for the #economy and risky assets as it puts a ceiling on how high the #FederalReserve has to raise rates.

The Gambler's Fallacy & Recency Bias:
CPI swaps indicate that CPI should be approx. 2.5% (!) this June. This seems to be an example of the "Gambler's Fallacy"; a misunderstanding of #probabilities in which people wrongly project reversal towards a long-term mean.

Read 12 tweets
🇵🇰🇺🇿 Pakistan and Uzbekistan team up to boost trade! 🤝

The two countries have signed an agreement to implement the Pakistan-Uzbekistan Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA), which aims to increase trade volume to $1 billion by 2023.
In addition to the PTA, eight other agreements were signed to strengthen bilateral relations in various sectors.
Despite issues in Afghanistan, both countries will work together to overcome problems faced by Pakistani/Uzbek transporters and facilitate transit trade through Afghanistan.

Read more on this link:… #Pakistan

#Uzbekistan #trade #Afghanistan
Read 4 tweets
Honored to be cited by @iandenisjohnson @NewYorker:…

"Andrew Erickson, a professor @NavalWarCollege & a visiting professor at @Harvard, said he’s seen no evidence that #China..."

For further background, see:…
...wants to reciprocate, citing #China’s refusal to discuss meaningful arms control. “I don’t see a basis for deep coöperation” with #Xi’s China, Erickson said. “I’m sad to say that.”…

KEY: In what areas is the #PRC under Xi willing to accommodate the US?
•To make the first move in doing so?
•Can anyone name one specific example?

Moreover, in the #PRC under #Xi, is there anything like an equivalent to this high-profile conference @Harvard, w a concluding panel on the subject of “Toward Coexistence 2.0: What Should #CHINA Do?”
Read 35 tweets
⚡China's Jan-Nov surplus (in USD terms) $802.04 billion
#Imports +2.0% y/y
#Exports +9.1% y/y
1/ thread #trade #import #export #economy 🇨🇳 🇺🇸
#China's Jan-Nov surplus (in yuan terms) 5.34 trillion yuan
#Imports +4.6% y/y
#Exports +11.9% y/y
2/ thread #trade #import #export #economy 🇨🇳 🇺🇸
China November trade balance(in yuan term) 494.33 bln yuan; Est. 486.0bln, Prev. 586.8bln;
#Imports -1.1 y/y ; Est. +7.1%, Prev.+6.8%;
#Exports +0.9% y/y ; Est. +8.2%, Prev.+7.0%.
3/ thread #trade #import #export #economy 🇨🇳 🇺🇸
Read 7 tweets
The notion that Scott Morrison, a man who doesn't read books - with the cultural and emotional depth of a televangelist in a mud puddle - should represent us overseas on topics like 'Australia-China relations' is profoundly disturbing.

Here's Scott insulting the leader of one of Australia's largest trading partners.

Let's not even start on his inept efforts with Europe.…
Read 8 tweets

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