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As we argued, @BorisJohnson announced Govt will bring in short Bill tomorrow for 12 December election. After he failed to win 434 votes needed for election under Fixed-term Parliaments Act - only 299 votes for, with 70 against 1/3
Lib Dems & SNP, who want 9 Dec election, will now negotiate over precise date. Want assurance Boris will not bring back his Brexit deal to Parliament before election . Still a live debate about that in Tory land 2/3
.@jeremycorbyn appeared to be moving towards backing Dec election; said will look & scrutinise election Bill. Still several hurdles to jump, including risk of amendments. But big step towards Dec election 3/3
Johnson will promise SNP & Lib Dems he will not reintroduce his Brexit deal Bill while Election Bill is going through Parliament. Should ensure SNP & Lib support. But will anger ministers & Tory MPs who want to press on with EU Bill & fear Dec election a gamble
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More from @Mij_Europe see all

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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
Minority Labour Govt cd struggle to win Commons approval for its radical but controversial plan for free broadband & part nationalisation of BT. Lib Dem sources say party would oppose as throwback to 1970s 1/3
Meanwhile, Sir Ed Davey, Lib Dem deputy leader, confirms our view that party would judge minority Labour admin on vote by vote basis - no coalition or confidence & supply agreement 2/3
Clear sign that despite election attacks on @jeremycorbyn, Lib Dems would keep him in power to secure Brexit referendum 3/3
Read 3 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
.@BorisJohnson first major speech of campaign shows he is reprising Tories’ 2015 election campaign, which portrayed Labour’s Ed Miliband in the pocket of SNP leader Alex Salmond in hung parliament 1/3
Today Boris shrugged off his former minister David Gauke’s plea for people to vote Lib Dem by warning repeatedly that anything other than Tory vote would mean a “technicolour coalition of chaos” of @jeremycorbyn and @NicolaSturgeon 2/3
In 2015, Labour thought the attacks wouldn’t hurt them. After David Cameron won a majority, Labour admitted they did 3/3
Read 3 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
So @Nigel_Farage has blinked first in his battle with @BorisJohnson. Concedes a Leave alliance without PM asking for one. Brexit Party will not compete 317 seats won by Tories in 2017 but will fight Labour & other parties in remaining seats. Boost for Boris 1/3
Reduces chances of minority Labour Govt & 2nd Ref. If he wins, Boris will be under strong pressure from Farage not to extend transition beyond Dec 2020 & to get Canada FTA with no alignment; these pledges were figleafs allowing Farage to scrap plan to field 600 candidates 2/3
But one caveat: Brexit Party could still stand in Lab-held marginals which backed Leave in 2016 referendum 3/3
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
💥💥💥ELECTION ALERT💥💥💥

The PM has confirmed it is his inetention to seek a dissolution of Parliament, via the Fixed Term Parliaments Act on Monday, for an election on December 12th.

Would be the first December election since 1923.
Expect Labour will insist on legal guarantees the govt cannot change the date of the election til after Jan 31st.
I imagine we can deduce from this that the French have told Downing St the extension will be to Jan 31st.
Read 3 tweets
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Nicholas Guyatt
@NicholasGuyatt
Parliament has been prorogued, the benches are empty, and Boris Johnson finally has a chance to rule without scrutiny from MPs. The perfect time for a thread about constitutional crisis.
The term is everywhere these days - Reuters have even done a helpful guide reaching back to Magna Carta. For once I think the circumstances probably justify the hyperbole. What’s the problem and how did we get here? uk.reuters.com/article/uk-bri…
The political problem is Brexit. The constitutional problem is the relationship between the executive, legislature & public. (Which is why last night's Commons debate was so fractious.) There’s an internal and external dimension to this — let’s start with the internal.
Read 37 tweets
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Chris White
@cgwOMT
The PM wants an election, but he can't get one. As long as the Opposition stay united, the timing of any poll is entirely in their hands, and they could even force him to request an extension, something he'd rather 'die in a ditch' than do.

A thread explaining why👇
In 2011 Parliament passed the Fixed-Term Parliaments Act (FTPA). This stripped the PM of being able to call an election when he wants, meaning there are now 3 routes to a GE:
1⃣ 2/3rds of MPs vote for an early election (FTPA)
2⃣ Vote of No Confidence (VONC) (FTPA)
3⃣ Change FTPA
Let's start with 2/3rds super-majority provided for in FTPA.
On Wednesday the Govt tried a 2/3 vote and 'won' by 298 votes to 56.

But the FTPA states that 434 MPs - 2/3rds of all MPs in the Commons - need to vote in favour, so it failed.

Read 14 tweets
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Alice Lilly
@aliceolilly
I go on a lot* about how tricky parliamentary data can be to work with- and last night's vote on an early election is a good example of this. (This thread is going to get nerdy, you have been warned)

*as colleagues will confirm
Last night, the govt tabled a motion under the 2011 Fixed Term Parliaments Act, asking MPs to agree to an early election. The PM needed 2/3 of MPs- or 434- to agree to this.

298 MPs voted for the election- and 56 against. So, govt has not (yet) got the early election it wants.
So far, so straightforward.

But some, including @DanielGover and @cgwOMT, have raised an interesting question: was this vote a defeat for the government or not?
Read 10 tweets
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K A Armstrong
@ProfKAArmstrong
Some important things to note as we discuss potential general election in autumn:
1. PM cannot just call a general election.
2. MPs must consent to an early election under Fixed-term Parliaments Act.
3. MPs won’t consent to an early election if it leads to a No Deal Brexit 1/
4. If PM wants to stop MPs from preventing a No Deal Brexit PM may seek to prorogue Parliament following European Council meeting in mid-October.
5. To prevent PM proroguing MPs must vote on a motion of no confidence. If under the FTPA a two week window to form unity Govt. 2/
6. PM might seek prorogation to prevent unity government being formed. But a PM without confidence has no constitutional authority to advise Queen.
7. Any extension to Art 50 period requires PM to seek or agree an extension. 3/
Read 5 tweets
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SpinningHugo
@SpinningHugo
Short thread on the PM's duty to resign, and Cummings' nonsense from the weekend.

Or how to stop no deal Brexit.

/1
First, the Fixed-term Parliaments Act is of no relevance on the PM's duty to resign. It fixes Parliaments, not governments (see its name).

The Act makes Cummings' wheeze harder as the PM has no control over election date, Parliament does.

/2
There are only two ways the legislature can stop no deal Brexit by a determined Johnson government.

The first is legislation, something like the brief legislation I suggested below would still work

/3

spinninghugo.wordpress.com/2019/01/18/cha…
Read 14 tweets

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