Folks, I'd recommend against getting super granular on polling methodology stuff, or trying to suss out why one poll says something different than the other, when we're a year away from the election.
I'll say this: if you think Trump could win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by like 13 points, you're doing it very very very very very very very very very very very very very wrong.
To do it right, you'd need to look at polls from many different polling orgs (and account for how they vary from one another) in all competitive states + national polls. There's not enough data to do that yet, and even if there were, polling ~1 year out is not very accurate.
