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Remember:

a) 1765- 2015: 1°C
The first 1°C of global warming took 250 years.

b) 2015- 2040: 2°C
The next 1°C of warming is set to take 25 years.

c) 2040- 2050: 3°C
Could the third 1°C of warming take 10 years?

This is abrupt climate change.
We need radical emergency action.
Thread on horrific rapid warming:

Methane, albedo, aerosols:

What can survive this rate of change?

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Ben See
@ClimateBen
If we continue our current level of greenhouse gas emissions, the climate in 2030 will resemble the 2C - 4C mid-Pliocene.

"It's very possible that both ecological systems and human systems may fail to adapt rapidly enough, with devastating consequences."
nbc-2.com/story/39618018…
'we are marching inexorably towards a “point of no return,” into territory that is unknown for the human race'

climate.nasa.gov/climate_resour…
Earth will warm between 2°C and 6°C within decades.

It took the planet 5,000 years to warm 5°C when global warming happened at various times in the past two million years.

The predicted rate of warming for the next century is at least 20 times faster.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/Globa…
Read 5 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Remember:

1. Arctic sea ice gone by 2025
2. Antarctic ice collapse starts 2026
3. Coral reefs dead by 2027
4. Rainforests dying by 2028
5. 4 billion people lack water: 2029
6. Megacities uninhabitable by 2039
7. Most species extinct by 2049

This couldn't be true.

Could it?
“The chance that there will be any permanent ice left in the Arctic after 2022 is essentially zero,” Anderson said, with 75-80% of permanent ice having melted already in the last 35 years

“Can we lose 75-80% of permanent ice and recover? The answer is no"forbes.com/sites/jeffmcma…
Rapid deglaciation of West Antarctica beginning this decade is quite possible.

“marine ice-sheet instability” has haunted climate scientists for the past four decades.

theatlantic.com/science/archiv…
Read 8 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Remember:

1. new climate models show 2C by 2039

2. nightmare feedbacks have been underestimated

3. WMO now implies that 1.5C by 2029 is likely

4. more climate deniers/delayers in office than ever - all plan to zoom over 2C

Things aren't as bad as we thought.

They're worse.
We can't rule out vast human misery and the extinction catastrophe of heading over 5C by the 2090s.

(nobody can know which species could survive 5C+)

Michael Mann feels 2.5C is achievable. I don't really see it myself, but with immediate action & luck..?
michaelmann.net/content/story-…
Newspapers won't talk about 2C by 2035-2040.

Funny that.

Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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Grace
@TheInsidePress
My Poppy, my best friend, passed almost 7 months ago. I've decided to try tweeting out at least excerpts from his 5,000-word memoir as a survivor of the #Holocaust, & edit as I go. Some of it is pretty garbled. I'll do it in bits, as time permits. Not ez... With me? #PoppysMemoir
Going to number each paragraph.
1) I will never forget. 1938 Lodz, Poland Piotrkowska Str. No. 14 3rd floor. Leaving to attend school, I see a group of elegantly dressed men and women lined up in front of a building. A LINE? I have never seen that!”
Read 117 tweets
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Eugene
@e_earns
Going to read “The Right Side of History”. This will be some mixture of enlightening, been there done that, and hate-read dunkathon. Let’s see.

No idea what Shapiro’s background is outside trolling libs, but I maybe he’s sort of Straussian? The ‘Jerusalem plus Athens’ thing.
So the thesis is ‘things have never been better, but we’re fucking it up now.’ Pinker + angst.
‘We’ in the book is Americans, natch.
Read 249 tweets
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Filomena Rocha, President European Commission
@Filomen03258997
13. - Attempted coup in Venezuela with support from the US - 2019

#Venezuela #AttemptCoupInVenezuela #War #Warlords2019 #TheWorldWithVenezuela #ElMundoEstaConVenezuela #ElMundoEstaConVzla #Democracy #HumanRights #dignity #Peace #Love #Freedom #UNCharter
By @telesurenglish
Venezuela has emerged from the US attacks on its electrical system.
By @MaxBlumenthal
Terrible news for Little @marcorubio @AmbJohnBolton & Guadio’s gang, but great news for the people of Caracas:

The city’s free Metro system is coming back on line as Venezuela recovers from its curiously timed electricity outages.
Read 284 tweets
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Jeff Fecke
@jkfecke
One of the think the newbies don't get is that we actually have been screaming our heads off about global warming for the past thirty years. We've seen some movement when Democrats control things. We've moved backward when the GOP does. You aren't the first people to notice this.
I remember when the Kyoto Protocol was first negotiated, kiddos. I remember when Bill Clinton tried to get Cap and Trade through the Senate in 1994, and the GOP blocked it -- and then hammered him with it all the way to election day. I remember when Nader kneecapped Gore in 2000.
I remember when Barack Obama put all kinds of environmental funding into the bailout bill in 2009. You know how solar panel installation is a huge industry? Thank Obama. I first read about global warming when I was 10. That's 35 years ago.
Read 12 tweets
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Chuck Wendig
@ChuckWendig
First, it's Global WaRming, you diaper excretion.

Second, your own administration and military admits it's an EXISTENTIAL ISSUE you cankerous butthole, you bigoted infant, you vicious dope.

May all the gods give me the strength not to headbutt my monitor into sparking rubble.
AHHHHHHHHHH
Sometimes I wake up and I regard the political reality we live in and I understand fully what it is to "can't even" -- my jaw works fruitlessly, chewing on what is not a nightmare but actually a reality of who we elected and what has resulted from that election.
Read 11 tweets

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