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X : How long does it take things ro spread?
Me : Depends upon what you're talking about, the audience and whether you're confusing evolution with diffusion - different things. A virus diffuses but it also evolves over multiple waves of diffusion.
X : General technology?
Me : Ok, once something starts to industrialise (i.e. become commodity like, provided as utility) then it takes about 10-15 years to become the new norm within the majority plus add 25 years for it to becone the new norm with laggards.
X : How long until it starts to industrialise?
Me : From genesis to the point of industrialisation is normally 30 to 50 years. There is small amount of evidence (i.e. scant, weak, not statistically relevant) that is has found a new average of 20 to 30 years.
... so from genesis to becoming the new norm within the majority (assuming the act or practice survives) is between 40 (30+10) and 65 (50+15) years. Rougly. Plus more to become the new norm within laggards.
X : Life seems much faster.
Me : Overlapping waves of change.
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