Thread by @humantodolist

1/ @jkenney @shandro @CPHO_Canada @JustinTrudeau @PattyHajdu There are 3170 ICU beds in Canada. That’s it for all critical care.

At least 5% of people who get COVID-19 will require mechanical ventilation. ICUs in Canada run at 100% capacity.

At least 10% of people who get

2/ COVID-19 require hospitalization for assistive breathing measures. Once again hospitals in Canada run at 100% capacity.

Slowing down the viral spread is what’s needed to save as many people as possible so that our doctors don’t have to tell patients we

3/ don’t have a ventilator for you. Measures such as social distancing are important and impossible with travel. Please consider the vulnerable people in our communities and their families.

The goal is to reduce the rapidity of transmission by social distancing.

4/If you can imagine 500 people gather and a 100 contract the virus all at once then 10 people go on to hospitalization all at once and 5 people are ventilated. Also 100 people go on to infect family members etc all at once.

With social distancing it slows

5/transmission so that people get it more slowly and the health care system can accommodate those infected who need care.

I totally understand the idea that “I’m young and healthy I won’t need a bed” but it doesn’t just effect the person travelling it affects the

6/community health care resource for everyone in that community. You can not follow social distancing in a plane or a cruise ship.

Every little bit helps.

Consider for a moment that there are 37,000,000 people in Canada. Experts estimate that 30%-70% of

7/the Canadian population will get this virus because nobody is immune. Even if you assume 30% that means 11,000,000 infected and ultimately 555,000 requiring ventilation. Recovery takes weeks. Even if we take the 3170 ICU beds and assign all of them to COVID

8/patients think about what that means for how slow we want this to spread.”
In Italy right now: >65 no intubation, <65 with comorbidities no intubation, if intubated you get 48hrs to recover or extubation. If healthcare worker or police get 72hrs. The time to act is NOW.