Thread by @ThyConsigliori

25 October 2020 #BetweenTheLinesDotVote #MAGAanalysis

The Strange Art of Self-Promotion

@realDonaldTrump has taken the art of Self-Promotion, as it were, from water mills to cold fusion (stars run on cold fusion). In this thread, I must emulate him to the degree I'm able.

https://twitter.com/ThyConsigliori/status/1319928960709525504

2) On that note, yesterday's thread, retweeted above, is one you'll want to read. You'll want to read it from start to finish. Well, I didn't really finish it. I got interrupted by events in the real world. But, the stuff that's there is part of today's story. Please do read it.

3) Below, we will turn to today's chart work. It is very interesting. But right now, I have to cut to the chase on the self-promotion thing. Let's talk about this. In today's world, there is a GREAT CHARGE AGAINST self-promotion. Today's most detested value is egotism.

4) Yet we all lie about this. What we all want is to be unbridled, unfettered egotists. I did this. I did that. If I hadn't done it it wouldn't have happened. The story is about me, Me, and ME too. Think of the #MeToo movement. Let's go deep with this.

5) Consider the Black Lives Matter Movement. Consider the term "systemic racism." What we're saying here is that White Folk have White Advantage, and that White Folk's Lives automatically matter, systemically, whereas Black Lives do not. Thus the necessity of the pronouncement.

6) There is a lie covered up here. Perhaps many. But the core lie is that a Black Life is under threat from a White System. This is simply not true. Yes, there are White Supremacists. Yes, we all, all serious souls, reject them utterly. This was not always the case.

7) Check the Democratic Party's racist history. Check Joe Biden's White Supremacist history. Flynn's Digital Warriors, suggestion: here's a hashtag for your consideration...

#BidenIsARacist

It's already trending. How about every story proving the truth of that hashtag?

8) This article from The Atlantic, of all sources, is a well written, well balanced account. I'd write it with a different tone, if it were mine to write. But it's worth your consideration.

theatlantic.com/politics/archi…

9) If we could just be honest, the name would be Black Egos Matter. The lie that black lives are in risk from the white system is just that, a lie. Some black lives are in risk from some white people. But if we wish to safeguard black lives, law and order is the answer.

10) Why do black celebrities like Kanye, Ice Cube, 50 Cents and so many others get so instantly trounced by the liberal left? It is because their egos, their famous egos, their extraordinary ability to self-promote, is identified with by all.

11) The issue is NOT about life. It is the Marxist method to turn class conflict into life and death threats. This method has NEVER succeeded in America, and it is NOT succeeding today. Americans know how to face death in the eye and spit. We're tough.

12) No, the real issue is ego, and you know what, that should NOT be a bad word! Do you see? We haven't strayed from point. The confusion we suffer is first that ego is bad, it's not, and second that it is the equal of life, which it absolutely is not.

13) Which finally brings me back to my life and my ego. Yesterday was a very big day for both. At 5:45 AM yesterday, I posted this tweet. I could NOT have imagined where it would lead.

14) Before I post what happened, I have to review my story with you. In 2016, I became a volunteer analyst for the Trump Campaign. I believe my contribution was not insignificant. Note how I say that. It's hard to make the positive statement, easier the negative. Was significant?

15) If I were Trump I'd never hesitate or qualify. I'd say something like, my work won the election. Now of course the problem for me, that Trump never suffers, is that that statement would not be true. And here's another deep point that gets missed. Trump speaks truth.

16) Sure he brags, constantly, and with unhindered self-promotion at the greatest mastery level in history. But, every single claim he makes...is true. It is NOT true that I won anything for Trump. Trump won for Trump, and for us. It is true that I helped, significantly.

17) Here's another difference, and it's huge. I am not famous. I am not famously recognized for what I did. Trump is, today, the most famous living person, and he has mastered the art of fame since his youth. Ha, I have lived in quiet obscurity until 2016.

18) My 2016 chart work, with the incredible help of @JoshuaMacias, under the name of Scopelliti's Dawn Analysis, made some very real impact. But even at that, no one knew who I was or where I came from, etc. I was an obscure "internal analyst."

19) I've never been able to make the count, yet, but I think it was more or less 400 analyses I sent in to the Trump Campaign. While I had, by email, communicated with some of the members of the inner circle, the one person who "owned" me was @GenFlynn. He read them all.

20) The image I treasure is this. Gen Flynn is on Trump Force 1 with the team. He and Trump spend hours together going over every aspect of the campaign. Some of their time is spent working through strategic and tactical recommendations from Scopelliti.

21) Other than the ceaseless work, the one thing I remember the most is a motion of my fingers rubbing my forehead above my eyebrows, trying to keep up with all that was happening. One illustration will suffice. I sent in a very tricky analysis one day, about 12:30 PM.

22) At 9:00 PM that night, on the Megyn Kelly show, what do I see? Kellyanne Conway discussing how she just got back from a meeting. That meeting was the execution of the recommendations I made at 12:30. That very day. Now here's what you need to follow.

23) I'm looking at @KateScopelliti. She's gently nodding her head. Yes Pat, she says, that was your recommendation, acted on within hours, and showing up here of FOX right now. She takes my hand and gently rubs it. She keeps assuring me, as my ego had no idea what to do.

24) There is work. There is a voluntary contribution one makes. Okay. But what about the reality of its impact? How does one's ego account for that? I truly had no idea then, and I still struggle with it to this day. How does one turn voluntary contribution into...what?

25) After these few years, I've learned. The answer is RECOGNITION. No, you can't demand it. No, Kellyanne could not, should not have mentioned me in her segment with Megyn. I had given value, but NOT YET earned recognition. It does not come quickly.

26) If Trump were advising me, I suspect he'd say something like, it took me from the early '70s until 2015 to find my own recognition, and I've been fighting every day since to establish it. Be patient, young Scopelliti, you have a long way yet to go, but you'll get there.

27) This is what happened at 1:30 PM yesterday.

https://twitter.com/ThyConsigliori/status/1320055802959437825?s=20

28) I certainly cannot watch every Trump rally. I watch as many as I can, but come on, man, there's no way to watch them all. So, I can't be sure. But - please tell me what you recall - I do NOT remember Trump every mentioning the term "Military Industrial Complex" previously.

29) Let's be clear. That term will NOT win this election. This is NOT a strategic game player. I know what those are. This is NOT that. But...but...rubbing my forehead again...it was my term at 5:45 AM and there Kate and I are watching a rally at 1:45 PM, and there it is.

30) Imagine I might be right. Imagine that Trump himself, or one of his people, went over Scopelliti's morning analysis and decided to include that term in that day's rally. Obviously, I could be wrong. The term is free. It's old. It's Eisenhower's. No one else gets credit.

31) Can you empathize? I think, Kate knows, that it was my work that made it all the way into that moment. My self-doubt makes me rub my forehead. Kate rolls her eyes.

32) Now, go strategic with me. Could it be that my twitter work is actually followed by Trump or one of his people who reports what seems meaningful from Scopelliti's analysis? It is of course possible. But is it real? I'm honestly not sure. You don't get much confirmation.

33) Enter my professional life. Ha, no kidding! Somewhere during the almost 34 years I've been a coach, I learned to be happy with both luck and coincidence. A client hires me. Good things happen. Did our work cause that? Who knows. I'm just happy to be around good luck.

34) That's where I land for now. And more. Pay attention to the Military Industrial Complex and how much Chinese cash they're awash in. I made that point yesterday morning, early enough. It's worth your ongoing attention. Ha again. I can't quite roar, but I can crow.

A short espresso break now. And then I'll come back and hit those damned charts hard. Just wait. They're awesome.

35) We turn to today's data. Another note of self-promotion arises. I selected Dornsife as my one and only source of data in 2016, and it was by far the best. I made that selections. I did that. Well...while they have hellaciously disappointed me this year - as I predicted...

36) I have again found the best of their very corrupted data. Data. Who knew? I didn't know. I am the King of Data. Go figure! Here's the best data we have right now, so sadly...

37) We review again. The single question asked, here, is, how will other people in your state vote? This is of course a "who will win?' question. But it's also a surrogate question for something like: Who will you ACTUALLY vote for, regardless of what you said earlier?

38) Here's what this data looks like when I chart it out. If the Dornsife people are watching - I believe they are - then this is the chart they regret. Trump was NEVER supposed to have a single chance. Not one. Yet look at this.

39) Were I to overlay my own data on top of that chart, the most important change would be Trump's path so vastly OVER Biden's. I suspect this has been Trump's easy election from day one. Everything else, I suspect, has been propaganda and Psyop Warfare.

40) I will return to my Psyop Warfare analysis soon. I state again right now, that that is the ONLY path for a Biden victory. All other paths lead to Trump. All of them. 2020 is Trump's to lose, Biden's to steal.

41) Can you say flatline? Election long channels of this nature do not bode well. You want your channel to be uprising, not evenlaying. Count them. 4 major tests of resistance. Let me draw this one again...

42) It's a sad and desultory path, isn't it? This is what appears to be underrising, to create a silly term. A defeat path appears to be forming. Wow!

43) If it's predictive, the term of such a path is "collapsing support." Strategically this matters. We'll go fast. First, Biden's left and middle are breaking farther apart. Those who wish to believe he will NOT stop fracking on other energy assets, are leary. Very leary.

44) On the other hand, those who believed looking in his eyes that he'd transform our nation's "fossil fuel's addiction," are wondering what kind of liar he is. Defeat shows up as the Democratic middle rendered fully split from the Democratic left. That's defeat.

45) From simply just a pure elegance point of view, this is a positively lovely chart. If true, it spells doom for Biden. If wrong, it's still lovely anyway. Three collapses. What a story in a chart!

46) Again walk slowly with me. A campaign is NOT about who will get more votes than the other side, much as it seems that way. There is a much greater imperative. Who will MUSTER the MOST votes from their own side, while DEPRESSING the most votes from the other side?

47) What the chart above shows is a collapsing belief that Biden will win. I repeat the Flynn Doctrine:

Who the people believe will win, will win.

What do you believe? What do those you know who oppose you believe? How many are there each of you?

48) Winning is about encouraging those who agree with you to vote, discouraging those who disagree with you to do so. This has NOTHING to do with voter suppression. It has EVERYTHING to do with... PERSUASION!

49) This is my favorite chart of the lot. I won't get all technical, as I ve covered all of that, previously. This is simply me at my best, analyzing data. I'm the only person who could do this. Look and wonder. I do...

50) Deeply hidden within scores of presentations, this is the one and only data Dornsife presentation this year worth considering. It's still tilted. They've sold their scientific souls to an agenda driven mandate. For all that, they allowed this data to come through.

51) And here's what it looks like, projected. This is a work of art, in spite of the betrayal of the Dornsife method. Look and ponder. Me? I believe. This is what I believe will actually occur.

52) Data is a strange thing. You never know where it will lead you. The sad story of Dornsife's betrayal of the scientific method is one that MUST be studied in years to come. Tactically I assure you, they regret allowing this chart. And I can state boldly, I was sure to find it.

53) That's the analyst's advantage. A line of truth of falsehood. Perhaps. A line of belief? That's what you're looking for.

54) Me? I'm seeing a Tump victory. Is that what I want? Obviously. Is that what I call? To bme sure. That is what I call.

55) What's your call? What's your vote? Where do you stand? Where do those you know stand?

Thread ends at #55.