Was discussing this with friends yesterday. With increasing internet bandwidth & electricity availability it makes no economic sense for large multinational ITES FIRMS to acquire office plots for 1000's of crores in Tier 1 cities when cheaper infrastructure is available.
I'd say @zoho is but the harbinger of change here that will remake our cities & make then cheaper, less crowded to live in while helping the hinterland grow.
Why would @AmexIndia or @Microsoft invest 1$Bn in a complex in Gurgaon when they can build four for lesser in tier 2 towns
In 15-20 yrs as faster railways & possibly even #hyperloop links our Tier 1&2 cities together having one unitary centre will be counterproductive & essentially loss making for any non manufacturing firm that does not need proximity to raw materials or logistic facilities.
#Covid has been a great catalyst in distributed working here with most ITES activities now in #WorkFromHome . It saves money , one employee costs ~₹250/day in energy + food costs for a complex . In a firm of 4000 if 1000 stay home every week that's ₹2.5lakh saved/day .
This would change the entire economic setup of our cities as well as the cost of office space falls . Cab rental services, hospitality , house rentals ,real estate sales all will undergo a downturn in major cities alongwith ancillaries dependent on them .
This economic decentralisation will in time herald political decentralisation as economic hotbeds lose lustre to their smaller counterparts .This decentralisation of capitalism will actually help build a more inclusive & equal society than Karl Marx ever could .
That said larger cities would still likely maintain their sheen as hubs for international transport & as company HQs even in this reduced state their worth & strength would outweigh a tier 2 city but the disparity would be far lower .
Humanity built civilization by concentrating in villages & cities. Larger the city ,richer it would be & greater still it's political power. We are at the cusp of the age of decentralisation of civilization , the age of equalization dawns.
The govt seems to have started to put legalization into place for an increase in #distributedworking & consequently #distributedliving . This will make India change like never before .
m.economictimes.com/tech/ites/govt…
Human civilization started out as hunter gatherers , gathering resources meant being mobile, following the prey. The age of agriculture made us settle down , gaining resources now meant being stable in one location , building bigger farms, manufactories & cities .
We may now be at the cusp of a third great age made possible by the internet. #distributedliving in smaller urban clusters connected to each other via the Internet. As of now the concept is only viable for people without
" physical " jobs , in time that could change.
As faster ,cheaper railway , road & other Infrastructure come in India could finally see the dawn of true suburban clusters that further spread out into their own clusters. That said as of now restricted to ITES jobs only .
Education is going online & hence getting distributed in a big way now, will continue even after partial normalisation.
Will essentially boost domestic savings & disposable income leading to greater sales of white goods & other creature comforts . Will lead to increase in leisure travel as well.
Most HR assets actually migrate to bigger cities from small cities . As for investment do take a look at money invested into office infrastructure by forms like @Atos_Syntel & Ascendas .
I would rather look at it as a redistribution of wealth to smaller cities helping the hinterland of #India grow much faster & much more equitably.
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More from @Aryan_warlord

18 Nov
Let me be the devil's advocate here & ask - why does the IN need four uber expensive LPDs ? India does not have a dedicated expeditionary capability like the @USMC or even the PLA marines?
Spending ~$3Bn on LPDs without expeditionary goals ? Why?
As far as HADR & lighter Sealift capability is concerned the vessel pictures is the UMS Moattama of the #Myanmar Navy ; 12500Tonnes with the capability to carry 520 troops & 10 Tanks . Cost some $50-100Mn each .
Why not get 4 or 10 of these smaller vessels instead ? ImageImageImage
Sir, my submission here is that we should acquire 4-6 smaller LPDs & use that capability to build up a proper Marine Corps that will do justice to expeditionary capabilities alongwith the doctrinal changes required for expeditionary intervention.
Read 7 tweets
12 Nov
I'll share an anecdote regarding a famous IPS turned politician from #LaluRaj #Bihar now .
This was the age when "Saheb" from Siwan & his cronies did all of Lalu's dirty work . At this time a certain Hidayatullah ruled the roost in South Bihar for the RJD . 1/n
Enter this idealistic Doctor turned IPS . Let's call him "SP Ajoy" , the man went on a warpath arresting cronies of Hidayat & Saheb all across erstwhile South Bihar & eventually turned his sights on Hidayat himself but theman was nowhere to be found 2/n
After much sleuthing Hidayat was located to a farm close to Patna . A team led by the SP was sent to arrest him & bring him to justice. The team reached the farm to find security & official vehicles there. Inside Hidayat was eating dinner with the big man himself. 3/n
Read 5 tweets
11 Nov
Underlines the Bipartisan nature of #US strategic acquisitions .The Presidential Election has nil effect on acquisition plans or #Defence preparedness. In contrast #India loses 1-2yrs each time a govt changes . This fallacy must be corrected if we are to grow as a global power.
This can be easily corrected by
1) A national #Defence council with one representative from each state govt, CDS & the CAG that can vote on acquisitions in election years.
2) A fixed minimum allocation of 1.5% of GDP for CAPEX that must be legally mandated for all govts .
The thing is in India the Lok Sabha elections put all LS MP seats into elections . That said, your idea could work with the RS MPs taking over under the aegis of the @rashtrapatibhvn I guess!
Read 8 tweets
9 Sep
The "white man" still thinks India is a land of snake charmers & statues . Cannot blame the uninformed, this calls for a thread on what #India has built over the last decade alone .
#infrastructureIndia begins below.
#Kaaleshwaram the world's largest lift irrigation project .
1800km of canals , 240 TMC of water for irrigation , 18,25,000 acre ft irrigated .
#infrastructureIndia
#Ramthal the world's largest drip #irrigation system .
12300acres irrigated using drip irrigation.
#infrastructureIndia
Read 11 tweets
15 Jul
Undertook a rudimentary analysis on the light #tank requirement basis data from the #IndianArmy RFI released in 2009.
Turns out the K21-105 & K21-120 tick more boxes than the Sprut SDM1 .
Moreover the K21 could be built at the @larsentoubro factory at #Hazira #Gujarat .
Did not consider Harimau due to Turkish content .
Similarly did not consider US MPF program vehicles as they're still in development.
Anders & CV90/120 due to 30+T weight restrictions .
That said the US MPF program offers two intriguing light tanks with the @BAESystemsInc M8 BUFORD & @GD_LandSystems Griffin 2.
Adding our numbers to the US requirement a run of 800 vehicles can be achieved reducing cost for both. BufordBufordGriffin 2Griffin 2
Read 15 tweets
27 Jun
Ancient #China since at least 1600BC has followed a rule called 天命 or T'ien-ming this accords divine status to all Chinese rulers & extolls them as the son of heaven that have a mandate to rule all land below heaven .
Chinese imperial families used this rule to justify their rule for centuries. That said there was a catch .
The rule specifies that if a ruler is overthrown or the nation suffers natural disasters it is an indication heaven has withdrawn it's support .
The #CCP very cleverly follows only the first part of the diktat but not the 2nd . Following the 2nd would immediately endanger #Xitler while also putting the legacies of his predecessors into doubt.
Read 5 tweets

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