(1/5) Election night in the US is quickly approaching. We wanted to go over our coverage for it ahead of time.

We will be announcing when each candidate gets a state. We will be using data from each of the MSMs counts and averaging them as sometimes they don't all agree.
(2/5) On election night we will have almost all of the MSMs election maps open. Once 4-5 call a state we will call it for that candidate. Using this method we can get a pretty accurate count.
(3/5) We will also be releasing polling data as the night goes on. This data will be directly from how people are betting. We will be consolidating the betting data from multiple sites to create a large average and posting that percentage.
(4/5) So as of right now that data shows the following:

Based on betting data
President Trump holds a 34.5% chance of victory
Vice President Biden holds a 64.9% chance of victory

As the night goes on we will periodically send an update of these odds. Image
(5/5) We hope that you will enjoy our coverage of the election. As with other elections we will be sending out material such as graphics for the election map and vote counts. If you have any questions or suggestions please comment below

#Election2020 #Elections2020 #Elections

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More from @AuroraIntel

4 Nov
#Iran have released some footage of a new #IRGC Rail Mounted Ballistic Missile Launch System (?) during a ceremony attended by IRGC Chief Salami.
Some additional footage showing the mounting system for the rails. These systems are in the infamous "Underground Missile Cities"
I am assuming this is mostly for transport however? interesting either way, is it more a Rail Mounted Ballistic Missile Transport System than Rail Mounted Ballistic Missile Launch System.
Read 5 tweets
3 Nov
Welcome to the Aurora Intel coverage of the 59th US quadrennial presidential election.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
The 1st #USElections2020 votes have been cast in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]
Vice President Biden has won Dixville Notch with 5 votes.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]
Read 73 tweets
25 Oct
Thread Modern Warfare: On the 10th October 2020 the included video of a loitering munition, most likely an IAI Harop being used against an S-300PS site just south of Kaghnut. This footage adding to the stream being released from #Azerbaijan MoD against #Armenia|n assets.
Satellite imagery now confirms the strikes conducted at this site, which shows a 5N63S Flap Lid B and Tin Shield ST-68U destroyed in the strike. Continued evidence that S-300 battery assets without additional layers of AD are susceptible to drone targeting.
Due to this strike, it was suspected/reported/considered that S300 assets which be moved from their usual sites as they were in some respect being picked off easily by these drones. Again, this could be due to the lack of a layered AD over the top of the S-300s.
Read 11 tweets
25 Oct
Looks like the incident involves the tanker Nave Andromeda. SAR and Coast Guard the area.
NOTAM issued for the airspace around the ongoing incident.
Read 5 tweets
24 Oct
According to reports from #Gaza, #PIJ Military Wing, Saraya Al-Quds have announced a general mobilization of it’s members due to the deteroriation of Maher Al-Akhras health after the 90th day of his hunger strike. #Israel
The reports all stem from a single source, Al-Quds TV.
Saraya Al-Quds via their media channels confirm the general mobilisation.
Read 7 tweets
23 Oct
Still messing with my Adobe After Effect “skills” here is a video i’ve thrown together from an artillery strike conducted by #Azerbajin to allow easier tracing of the rocket.
the tracing in slow-mo went weird for me, think I needed to add more anchor points, i’ll mess with it more later.
Another video was released by #Azerbajian MoD, what appears to be a MAM-L munition strike from a TB2 drone, the path of the MAM=L can be observed as it corrects itself towards the target.
Read 5 tweets

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