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Aurora Intel

3 Nov, 73 tweets, 47 min read

Welcome to the Aurora Intel coverage of the 59th US quadrennial presidential election.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020

The 1st #USElections2020 votes have been cast in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Vice President Biden has won Dixville Notch with 5 votes.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

President Trump has won Millsfield NH with 16 votes.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

https://twitter.com/AuroraIntel/status/1322970411274014720

With that tradition out of the way, I want to give a warm welcome to all of you to our coverage. For information on how we will be handling the election please see the link below.

https://twitter.com/AuroraIntel/status/1322970411274014720

Have a great night.
#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

100 million votes have now been cast in the election so far.

Polls have begun opening in Connecticut, Indiana, Kentucky, Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio, New York, New Jersey, and Virginia

If you haven't already, go vote!

First polls close at 6 p.m. EST in Indiana & Kentucky.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

As of now (12:27 PM EST) the odds are as follows.

President Trump: 37.6 % chance of victory
Vice President Biden: 61.4% chance of victory.

(count based on betting average)
#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Tonight, beginning at 5:30 PM we will be streaming a live map of the election results as they are called. Make sure you turn on notifications to be updated once we go live.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Clarification for the above 2 posts. Kentucky and Indianas polls will both close at 7 P.M. EST not 6.

Our stream will begin at 6:30 P.M. EST not 5:30 P.M.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

As we mentioned in our guidelines for election day we will be sourcing our state results from the following twitter approved MSMs as well as state officials..

AP, Decision Desk, CNN, Fox News and NBC.

Once 3 networks call or the state does, we will be calling it.

https://twitter.com/TwitterSupport/status/1323265835738320900?s=20

You can read more about Twitters policies on election day here:

https://twitter.com/TwitterSupport/status/1323265835738320900?s=20

The NYTs reports that a possible 160 million total votes has been cast putting the turnout rate at 67%. Last time turnout was more then 65% was 1908.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC, Fox and CNN show Indiana has begun reporting its results.

In Greene County 51% of the vote is in with

President Donald Trump: 68.4%
Vice President Biden: 29.7%
Jo Jorgensen: 1.8%

Once more is counted we will report it.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC, Fox & CNN report that Dekald County, Indiana has reported 67% of their vote with

President Donald Trump: 68.3%
Vice President Biden: 29.9%
Jo Jorgensen: 1.7%

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

(NBC, Fox, CNN) Counties now in Kentucky have begun reporting.

Casey (78.3% in)
Greenup (66.5% in)
Lewis (53.7% in)
Elliott (46.7% in)
Anderson (18.1% in)
Jessamine (64.3% in)
Knox (17% in)

Overall results in KN are below.

#Election2020

From this point forward we will be refraining from giving county by county analysis unless its the first results for the state. We will be focusing on full overall state statistics now.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Florida, Virginia, Vermont, South Carolina and Georgias polls have closed.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]
7:04 PM · Nov 3

20-24% of the vote is reportedly counted according to Decision Desk putting the vote currently at
Joe Biden: 53.31%
Donald Trump: 45.97%
Jo Jorgensen: 0.49%

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

As of now Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia, Kentucky & Indiana have begun reporting their results with

FL: 48-57.8% in
Georgia: 3.4-4.2% in
South Carolina: 1% in
Virginia: 1% in
Kentucky: 9-10% in
Indiana: 7-8.4% in

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia polls have closed

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Keep in mind that not all polls in North Carolina have closed. Due to some machine malfunctions some polls will remain open in some counties in North Carolina.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

At this time betting odds are as follows

Biden: 63.8% chance of victory

Trump: 35.4% chance of victory.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox both project Vice President Biden to win Vermont.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

CNN and NBC project Donald Trump to win Indiana.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

North Carolina has now started releasing its results. Polls are now closed.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Polls have closed in
Alabama
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Illinois
Kansas
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Mississippi
Missouri
New Hampshire^
New Jersey
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Washington, D.C.

#ElectionDay

NBC and Fox have now projected Donald Trump to win Kentucky.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox have now projected Joe Biden to win Maryland, Massachusetts, Delaware and Washington DC

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

CBS and Fox now project that Donald Trump will win Oklahoma.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Fox and NBC both project that Joe Biden will win New Jersey

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Fox and NBC both project that Donald Trump will win Tennessee

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox both project that Joe Biden will win Connecticut

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox have both projected that Donald Trump will win West Virginia.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The polls have now closed in Arkansas

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Betting odds have changed according to FTX, Smarkets, Betfair & Predict it.

Joe Biden holds a 55.4% chance of victory
Donald Trump holds a 44.0% chance of victory

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox have both projected that Donald Trump will win the state of Arkansas.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Polls have closed in
Arizona
Colorado
Kansas
Louisiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Nebraska
New Mexico
New York
North Dakota
South Dakota
Texas
Wisconsin
Wyoming

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Joe Biden has won New York.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Betting odds have updated.

Based on data from FTX, Smarkets, Betfair and PredictIt

Biden: 57.3% chance of victory
Trump: 42.2% chance of victory

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC & Fox now project that Donald Trump will win South Dakota

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC & Fox now project that Joe Biden will win the state of Colorado.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The following map is based on current projections from Fox, NBC and CBS.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC & Fox project that Donald Trump will win the state of North Dakota

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox can now project that Donald Trump will win Alabama and South Carolina.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The following polls have closed
Idaho (M)
Iowa
Montana
Nevada
Oregon (M)
Utah

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that President Trump will win Louisana

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Joe Biden will win New Mexico

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Donald Trump will win Utah.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Donald Trump will win Kansas.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Donald Trump will win Missouri

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Joe Biden will win New Hampshire

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

We apologize for the earlier mistake on Nevada. Its been a long night.

Fox and NBC now project that Donald Trump will win Nebraska, Wyoming and Missouri.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The polls have now closed in
California
Idaho (P)
Oregon (P)
Washington

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox now project that Joe Biden has won Washington, Oregon and California.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

232 votes still remain in this race with the main deciders being Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan and Wisconsin. A long night remains as counts continue.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The Decision Desk and Fox now project that Donald Trump will win Florida

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The Decision Desk and Fox now project that Donald Trump will win Ohio

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

Polls have now closed in
Alaska (A)
Hawaii

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox project that Donald Trump will win Idaho.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox project that Joe Biden will win Virginia.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox project that Donald Trump will win Iowa.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

The final polls in Alaska (H) have just closed.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox project that Donald Trump will win Texas and Montana.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

NBC and Fox project that Joe Biden will win Rhode Island
#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

At this time it is not expected for Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia or Penn to be called until later in the morning EST.

#Election2020 #ElectionDay #Elections2020
[Knish]

For now I will be signing off this shift until the morning with Adam taking over for now and David after him then back to me. We hope you enjoy our coverage so far and hope that you will stick around.

Signing off,
Knish