#Subex#TechMahindra deal - this is second path breaking deal (on global basis) similar to Telefonica deal at end of September 2020 in terms of scale and impact.
Apologies - typo in the table for Q1FY21 revenues in the above tweet - it is not 93.3 (which is Q2FY21 revenue) but 88.7 - updated table attached here: #Subex
over reaction by market close to Q2 results. #Subex has seen 2 LC in 2 days
But it had a vertical run since Sep’20 when it was trading at 9.xx, so some correction/consolidation was due.
hopefully this should stabilize around 17-18 range & give Nov monthly close above 8 yr BO
🔹Such investments are meant for enhancing existing products & build new verticals organically. Mgmt is actively analyzing options for inorganic expansion 🚀
🔹Revenue realization for #IoTSecurity from Telefonica should start immediately. And TechM will follow soon as it goes to its client with bundled Subex tech layer of #BlockChain#CyberSecurity
🔹Indian market contributes 5%of revenues-Subex is workin with all major Telcos.Mgmt is closely watching all developments related to #5G-can scale up easily.
🔹less travel costs resulted in high EBITDA margins(H1FY21~32%), which will reduce as intl travel eases off(FY20 margins were ~25%-no guidance from mgmt)
On lack of promoter queries, in add to below tweet, remember Chairman Mr Anil Singhvi’s holding 1.02Cr shares through his companies, Ican Invstmt Advisors & Anagha Advisors
Besides him,Subex Employee ESOPs trust has been massively buying since 2019 & holds now2.09Cr shares 3.72%
Those who wants to hear the #Q2FY21 concall, please refer to the link in the below tweet from @SForStiletto - which is a part of very informative thread also - have a look.
#Subex closes another good deal with its long standing client Saudi Telecom - it has many positive implications for its business, some are immediate in Horizon 1 segment & some will certainly open doors for Horizon 2 & 3 products.
#Subex ’s other Telco clients(200+) wud be keenly looking 2 upgrade to iRAFM on Hadoop stack.
Next logical follow up wud be 4 STC to extend relationship to #IoTAnalytics & #IoTSecurity given Subex’s expertise & existing H1 deal, similar to Telefonica template.
Watch this space!
A very brief synopsis of #Subex as a reminder of its fundamental strengths.
Telefonica & STC quantum is very good-each represents ~6-9% of current FY21 revenue estimates,to b realized in 12-18 mths, annuity service component is separate
👆🏼trends show tht #Subex shud end up w/ 200+ Cr Cash/Eq by #Q4FY21 end
So, Subex is well placed to give decent #dividend (interim+final) in #FY21 while board will surely find balance w/ its WC, R&D exp & inorganic growth aspirations
Buyback is equally good if not more given total shares are 56Cr
Recently concluded Share Capital reduction in 2020 gives good enough reasons to believe that mgmt is quite serious & will do more to address large equity base.
Spoilt for choices😊-interesting times ahead at #Subex
mixed bag really,while revenue growth isn't there QoQ & marginal YoY, this quarter was still exceptionally good in terms of strategic deals(some were announced already-Telefonica,STC,TecM,etc) which r opening up huge growth areas.
After 14 long years, board has announced interim #dividend (10%=0.5Rs)-represent 28.1 Cr Rs cash outgo, signifying healthy cash situation-very positive.
As promised, #Q3FY21#Concall summary for #Subex -lot of good stuff in it-have a look
Broadly, mgmt is quite confident about future & continuously getting success in newer areas which r highly scalable and will be growth engines for Subex
To understand #IDCentral platform & its scalable potential, one doesn't need to look any further than this BlackSwan interview of #Subex COO Mr. Roddam
After Gartner’s listing of #Subex as Sample Provider for #AugmentedAnalytics,below report “Global AI and Analytics Systems Market Growth (Status andOutlook)2020-2025” lists Subex among global biggies!
When one dispassionately looks at both scrips, it can be easily seen that they are miles apart on financials,business operations, promoters, clients, regulatory front
Will list some of the reasons here below for everyone's consideration.
While reading this, please take your eyes off the share prices and price action because that doesn't represent value - price largely just represent sentiments.
(1) Route is a recently listed company post IPO in September 2020...(contd..)
Have voted YES of course as #Subex is in fact a resounding case of turnaround, which it achieved last year after 3 yrs of efforts from diligent mgmt with a clear vision.
Below tweets briefly captures few key events during this journey.
@LltTomar Turnaround of #Subex started in 2016 when all FCCBs were converted into equity, therefore wiping of the debt from the books.
Management’s intent further became clear and the turnaround efforts got boost when management launched Subex 3.0 in May 2017 (Subex’s 25 yrs anniversary).