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9 Nov, 12 tweets, 10 min read
Update: Nov 9

RESIDENTIAL CARE (longterm care, retirement home) #COVID19 deaths, cases, case fatality rates

#Canada, provinces w/ >200 cases/100K ppl

1) Wave 1 vs 2 comparisons 2) % change in Wave 2 data from preceding week

Tx @RyersonNIA @covid_canada @NoLore for data. Image
To see numbers of #COVID19 deaths in specific residential care (LTC/RH) homes across #Canada see daily tweet & public spreadsheet from @NoLore

Daily updates on province by province #COVID19 deaths & cases from @covid_canada are at the link below (or via national dashboard from @JPSoucy and @ishaberry2)

covid19tracker.ca
Weekly updates on province by province #COVID19 deaths & cases in longterm care and retirement homes from @RyersonNIA are at the link below

ltc-covid19-tracker.ca
Here is the daily #COVID19 update for #Ontario longterm care homes from @NathanStall

Today’s #COVID19 update for #Ontario longterm care homes from @Billius27

Nov 5 #COVID19 update for #Ontario longterm care homes from @IacovosMichael and @Sue_Innovates

Nov 8 #COVID19 update for #Ontario longterm care homes from @AAlJaishi

Apologies: not including CFRs anymore. Error in top tweet of thread.
Nov 8 #COVID19 in #Canada

Canada & high income countries with pop >20M (our peers)

AUS, CAN, FRA, GER, ITA, JAP, SK, SPA, TAI, UK, US

We can choose to be like GER, AUS, JAP, SK, TAI Image
Nov 8 #COVID19 in #Canada

Case fatality rates

Canada & high income countries with pop >20M (our peers)

AUS, CAN, FRA, GER, ITA, JAP, SK, SPA, TAI, UK, US

We're *still* 3rd worst among peer countries, including US.

Only Italy, UK are worse.

Complacency kills. Image

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More from @MoriartyLab

Moriarty Lab Profile picture
11 Nov
#Canadians

There's something troubling about our #COVID19 death rates in the 2nd wave

I've calculated total per capita case & death numbers since Aug 17 (2nd wave) & compared these to values for our peer countries (high income, pop >20M)

Peers: 🇦🇺🇫🇷🇩🇪🇮🇹🇯🇵🇰🇷🇩🇪🇹🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸

Thread 🧵
Nov 11

Cumulative Wave 2 COVID-19 CASES (per 100K ppl)

Per 100K ppl, starting Aug 17 (% increase last 7d)

QC 663 (+17%)
MB 599 (+44%)
Peers 553 🇦🇺🇫🇷🇩🇪🇮🇹🇯🇵🇰🇷🇪🇸🇹🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸
AB 519 (+28%)
Canada 399 (+23%)
ON 329 (+22%)
BC 292 (+31%)
SK 225 (+47%)

Data: @covid_canada
/2 Image
The average #COVID19 per capita case number in our peer countries is higher than today's value for #Canada, although our number has increased by 23% in the last 7 days (not good).

This makes sense, though--our cases started growing later than in many European countries & US

/3
Read 17 tweets
Moriarty Lab Profile picture
10 Nov
Nov 10

Cumulative COVID-19 DEATHS (per 100K ppl)

By province starting May 26 (% increase last 7d)

QC 28 (+8%)
ON 8 (+9%)
MB 8 (+40%)
AB 5 (+25%)
SK 2 (+22%)
BC 2 (+11%)

CAN 11 (+10%)

Data: @covid_canada
/1 Image
Nov 10

Cumulative COVID-19 CASES (per 100K ppl)

By province starting May 26 (% increase last 7d)

QC 806 (+8%)
AB 628 (+31%)
MB 603 (+37%)
ON 432 (+15%)
BC 322 (+25%)
SK 296 (+30%)

CAN 489 (+18%)

Data: @covid_canada
/2 Image
Nov 10

Cumulative COVID-19 CASES IN RESIDENTIAL CARE (LTC/RHs) (per 100K ppl)

By province starting May 26 (% increase last 7d)

QC 136 (+3%)
ON 46 (+14%)
AB 37 (+30%)
MB 29 (+39%)
BC 4 (+23%)
SK <1

CAN 54 (+9%)

Data: @RyersonNIA
/3 Image
Read 7 tweets
Moriarty Lab Profile picture
6 Nov
Nov 6 update:

#Canadian #COVID19 long term care, retirement home DEATHS and CASES

For provinces w/ >200 cases/100K ppl

1) Wave 1 vs 2 comparisons 2) % change in Wave 2 data from preceding week

We have now exceeded per capita LTC/RH cases and deaths during Wave 1.

Thread Image
Per capita #COVID19 deaths increasing in #Alberta #BC #Manitoba #Ontario #Quebec

#Canada: Avg per capita deaths have increased 8% since last week Image
Per capita #COVID19 cases increasing in #Alberta #BC #Manitoba #Ontario #Quebec #Saskatchewan

#Canada: Avg per capita cases have increased 14% since last week Image
Read 8 tweets
Moriarty Lab Profile picture
6 Nov
#Canadian scientists pls RT to get word out to colleagues in #Manitoba or even Northern #Ontario or #Saskatchewan who might have filter tips to help w/ #COVID19 testing
@CBCMarina if you have info about who to contact about the tips I can share more widely. I'm following you know in case you need to DM
@jwoodgett @AntibioticDoc @CSM_SCM @CanSocVirol @COVID_19_Canada @DFisman @NightShiftMD @YoniFreedhoff @GermHunterMD @DrJenGunter @heysciencesam @ImogenRCoePhD @paimadhu @ChiefSciCan @CBCQuirks @picardonhealth

Can you help amplify pls? It's ok if you can't. Thanks
Read 5 tweets
Moriarty Lab Profile picture
4 Nov
Update: Nov 4

RESIDENTIAL CARE (longterm care, retirement home) #COVID19 deaths, cases, case fatality rates

#Canada, provinces w/ >200 cases/100K ppl

1) Wave 1 vs 2 comparisons 2) % change in Wave 2 data from preceding week

Tx @RyersonNIA @covid_canada @NoLore for data. Image
For daily report of deaths in specific homes across the country, see
@RyersonNIA national longterm care/retirement home #COVID19 tracker is here: ltc-covid19-tracker.ca

Daily case numbers in all settings are from @covid_canada
covid19tracker.ca
Read 4 tweets
Moriarty Lab Profile picture
28 Oct
Important preprint: @LauraCRosella and colleagues.

Estimating excess mortality in #Ontario during #COVID19 first wave using cremation data

Some observations summarized in thread.

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Cremation numbers in #Ontario at peak of #COVID19 1st wave vs 2017-2019:

⬆️>30% deaths all ages
⬆️38% deaths in >75 age grp
⬆️89% deaths in longterm care homes
⬆️68% deaths at home

No significant change: hospitals deaths
Study monitors cremations as death indicator.

In ON ~70% of deaths cremated. No change in this rate from 2017-2019 to 2020.

So, increased cremations not due to increased cremation "popularity". Instead, likely related to excess mortality directly & indirectly due to #COVID19.
Read 25 tweets

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