There's something troubling about our #COVID19 death rates in the 2nd wave
I've calculated total per capita case & death numbers since Aug 17 (2nd wave) & compared these to values for our peer countries (high income, pop >20M)
Peers: 🇦🇺🇫🇷🇩🇪🇮🇹🇯🇵🇰🇷🇩🇪🇹🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸
Thread 🧵
Nov 11
Cumulative Wave 2 COVID-19 CASES (per 100K ppl)
Per 100K ppl, starting Aug 17 (% increase last 7d)
QC 663 (+17%)
MB 599 (+44%)
Peers 553 🇦🇺🇫🇷🇩🇪🇮🇹🇯🇵🇰🇷🇪🇸🇹🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸
AB 519 (+28%)
Canada 399 (+23%)
ON 329 (+22%)
BC 292 (+31%)
SK 225 (+47%)
The average #COVID19 per capita case number in our peer countries is higher than today's value for #Canada, although our number has increased by 23% in the last 7 days (not good).
This makes sense, though--our cases started growing later than in many European countries & US
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Daily updates on province by province #COVID19 deaths & cases from @covid_canada are at the link below (or via national dashboard from @JPSoucy and @ishaberry2)
Cremation numbers in #Ontario at peak of #COVID19 1st wave vs 2017-2019:
⬆️>30% deaths all ages
⬆️38% deaths in >75 age grp
⬆️89% deaths in longterm care homes
⬆️68% deaths at home
No significant change: hospitals deaths
Study monitors cremations as death indicator.
In ON ~70% of deaths cremated. No change in this rate from 2017-2019 to 2020.
So, increased cremations not due to increased cremation "popularity". Instead, likely related to excess mortality directly & indirectly due to #COVID19.