New: Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D) w/ a solid 70%-30% split out of Oneida Co. today, now trails Claudia Tenney (R) by just 2,089 votes by my count. #NY22 will be decided by ~4800 Chenango Co. absentees tomorrow, and likely to be decided by <500 votes either way. Wow.
https://twitter.com/JRosenblattTV/status/1329195293523521539
Breaking: I've been made aware of a newly counted batch of Madison Co. challenged ballots that broke 91-14 Brindisi, as well as a slight update to Broome Co.'s election day totals. My latest #NY22 tally:
Tenney (R) 153,922 (+1,968)
Brindisi (D) 151,954
It's a jump ball.
Tenney (R) 153,922 (+1,968)
Brindisi (D) 151,954
It's a jump ball.
Also, #NY22 sources tell me there are 5,165 ballots left to count in Chenango Co. (incl. 280 provisionals) and 32 provisionals left in Oneida, and that's it.
Bottom line: Brindisi (D) would need to win what's left by a margin of ~38% to win.
Bottom line: Brindisi (D) would need to win what's left by a margin of ~38% to win.
If I were to model Chenango Co.'s outstanding vote based on the results in other counties, Brindisi (D) would gain 3,387 votes to Tenney (R)'s 1,674, giving Tenney a ~255 vote win.
But we'll find out tomorrow. It's just razor-close. #NY22
But we'll find out tomorrow. It's just razor-close. #NY22
One hope for Dems & Brindisi w/ the 5,164 ballots left to count: Chenango Co. is closer to Binghamton, where he's overperforming his '18 numbers, than it is to Utica/Rome, where he's underperforming. It's anyone's guess.
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