@RudySalasCA

@RudySalasCA

@KathyManningNC

@abbybroyles

@AnnieAndrewsMD

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

A rundown of how much TX GOP's proposed map would shore up nine of their own incumbents who badly need it:

#TX02 Crenshaw: Trump +1 to Trump +23
#TX03 Taylor: Trump +1 to Trump +15
#TX06 Ellzey: Trump +3 to Trump +20
#TX10 McCaul: Trump +2 to Trump +20

Continued...

#TX21 Roy: Trump +3 to Trump +20
#TX22 Nehls: Trump +1 to Trump +15
#TX23 Gonzales: Trump +2 to Trump +7
#TX24 Van Duyne: Biden +5 to Trump +12
#TX31 Carter: Trump +3 to Trump +20

The reason I was mildly surprised: Republicans could have drawn #TX03, #TX22 & #TX24 to be even redder.

All three GOP seats moved 25+ pts left between 2012 and 2020, and as proposed they could easily be vulnerable again by the middle of the 2020s.

Read 3 tweets

Nathaniel Rakich

@baseballot

@FiveThirtyEight

Texas Republicans' proposed congressional map is up and analyzed on the @FiveThirtyEight redistricting tracker: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…

@FiveThirtyEight

@FiveThirtyEight The map shores up #TX07, #TX28, #TX32, and #TX34 for Dems and adds a new solid-blue #TX37 in Austin. In exchange, #TX02, #TX03, #TX06, #TX10, #TX21, #TX22, #TX23, #TX24, and #TX31 are made safer for their Republican incumbents.

Dem Rep. Vicente Gonzalez's #TX15 also becomes a bit redder, but still a tossup, under this map. I wonder if he moves over to the safe blue #TX34, whence Rep. Filemon Vela is retiring. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…

Read 4 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1442497118342508546

Wow. This isn't even as aggressive a map as I expected from Texas Rs. It could plausibly be 24R-14D, w/ the chance Rs add seats in the Rio Grande Valley & Dems gain in DFW burbs over the course of the 2020s.

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1442497118342508546

A few early highlights/impressions:
- a new Dem #TX37 in Austin
- a new GOP #TX38 in Houston (for Wesley Hunt?)
- no new Hispanic majority seat (lawsuit?)
- #TX15 Gonzalez (D) made redder
- #TX03 Taylor (R) & #TX24 Van Duyne (R) not shored up quite as much as I'd have expected

Another surprise: this GOP proposal doesn't shore up #TX21 Rep. Chip Roy (R) by nearly as much as it could have. He's still got a chunk of Travis Co.

The much bigger winners: #TX02 Crenshaw, #TX10 McCaul, #TX22 Nehls, #TX25 Williams, #TX31 Carter.

Read 6 tweets

Patrick Svitek

@PatrickSvitek

Proposed Texas congressional map is out: data.capitol.texas.gov/dataset/cf8703… #txlege

The two new seats go to the Austin and Houston areas

@RepMcCaul

.@RepMcCaul loses Harris County in #TX10

Read 16 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

@DKElections

Based on a variety of number-crunching sources, esp. @DKElections, it looks like there were at most 16 districts out of 435 that split their tickets between president/House in '20 - likely an all-time low.

For perspective, there were 83 such districts in '08 and 35 in '16.

Biden/R districts (9):

#CA21 Valadao
#CA25 Garcia
#CA39 Kim
#CA48 Steel
#FL27 Salazar
#NE02 Bacon
#NY24 Katko
#PA01 Fitzpatrick
#TX24 Van Duyne

Trump/D districts (7/8?):

#IL17 Bustos
#IA03 Axne
#ME02 Golden
#MI08 Slotkin
#NJ03 Kim
#NY22 Brindisi (?)
#PA08 Cartwright
#WI03 Kind

Correction to first tweet: at most 17, if Brindisi (D) prevails in #NY22. Would still be less than half of the 35 in 2016.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Of the nation's current 435 House districts, 226 voted for Trump in '16 and 209 voted for Clinton.

Based on my initial analysis, Biden carried 216, Trump carried 208 and 11 remain too close to call. But it's pretty clear to me Biden is on track for a narrow majority.

Here are the 12 Trump '16 districts I can say with confidence Biden has flipped blue so far:

#AZ01
#GA06
#GA07
#MN02
#NE02
#NH01
#NJ05
#NJ11
#PA17
#TX24
#VA02
#VA07

And the two Clinton '16 districts Trump has flipped red so far:

#FL26
#TX23

Here are the 11 districts that I'm still not 100% certain about ('16 winner):

#CA48 (Clinton)
#IL14 (Trump)
#IL17 (Trump)
#MI11 (Trump)
#NV03 (Trump)
#NJ03 (Trump)
#NY18 (Trump)
#NY19 (Trump)
#OH01 (Trump)
#TX15 (Clinton)
#TX28 (Clinton)

I'd be open to anyone's math on these.

Read 4 tweets

Susan B. Anthony List

@SBAList

THE LONE STAR STATE IS PRO-LIFE!! ✰

With our partners WSO PAC & Pro-Life America PAC we went all in, spending $5M to hold the #ProLife majority in the Texas State House and WIN in key battleground congressional districts

sba-list.org/newsroom/press… #Election2020 #TxLeg

1/

The pro-abortion lobby has had their eyes on Texas for years, hoping to flip the legislature to redistrict U.S. congressional districts. #TxLeg

In each of the 23 state house races, we exposed pro-abortion Democrats whose extremism has been soundly rejected by pro-life Texans

2/

Our targeted campaign in Texas state house & U.S. house races included:

🗳️ 650k voters reached

🚶 110 pro-life canvassers

🏡 337k home visits to voters

📫 3.6M voter mail pieces

💻 15.9M digital ad views

📞 1.1M live voter calls

📳 2.4M texts

3/

Read 5 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

Emilio Doménech

@Nanisimo

🗳🇺🇸1. ¿Cómo saber que Texas está en juego este año? Mirad este anuncio de los republicanos para la campaña de varios candidatos al Congreso que se presentan por primera vez en distritos que los republicanos perdieron en 2018 —o cuyos congresistas se jubilan en 2020.

#TexasD3N

🗳🇺🇸2. La mayoría de ellos lo tienen difícil en noviembre. Dan Crenshaw, que ya es congresista desde 2018, y August Pfluger, mucho menos. El 24 en el que compite Beth Van Duyne, en los suburbs entre Dallas y Fort Worth, va a estar muuuuuy interesante. #TX24

🗳🇺🇸3. Por cierto, el vídeo completo lo tenéis en Facebook, que a mí no me deja subirlo entero.
facebook.com/CrenshawforCon…

Read 3 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

Wanda

@itsWanda

Getting this thread going on what races to donate to….

Right now, 44 days out, is the best time to donate. A few states are early voting. Voters are paying attention and can still register.

Campaigns can still hire staff and pay for strategic, targeted ads and mailers.

Money thrown at races in Oct goes into media spin. Unclear if it's effective at persuasion.

Millions of $$$ from out of state donors, raised by national orgs, doesn't mean your race is competitive. So it's doubly important for us to pick a few races/states and be strategic.

It's sweet to ragedonate for RBG. But it's smarter to flip the Senate, cement the House majority, and win key states in the electoral college. All states and races aren't equal.

A few thousand $ to a House race or $1 million to an underfunded Senate race can make the difference.

Read 15 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

@NDLB2020

Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

Indivisible Guide

@IndivisibleTeam

@candacefor24

.@candacefor24 overcame incredible odds growing up and has been fighting her whole life to ensure others don’t have to go through the hardships that she did. We’re endorsing Candace because she will fight for affordable housing, green jobs, and universal pre-K for #TX24

Candace would make history as the first Afro-Latina member of Congress. We’re excited by her historic candidacy because it’s vital we have a Congress that reflects the diversity of America and gives voice to marginalized communities.

Candace is building a powerful and diverse grassroots movement to turn the Dallas-Forth Worth suburbs blue and fight for policies that lift up ordinary people, not wealthy donors.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

House Rs are no longer w/in range of taking back the majority. But if there's a silver lining, it's that they're poised to elect far more women than they did in 2018, when their female ranks plummeted from 22 to 13 (!).

Four GOP women are basically guaranteed to come to Congress in 2021:

#GA14 Marjorie Taylor Greene
#IL15 Mary Miller
#MI10 Lisa McClain
#TN01 Diana Harshbarger

Four more w/ strong opportunities in open seats: #CO03 Boebert, #IN05 Spartz, #IA02 Miller-Meeks, #TX24 Van Duyne

@CookPolitical

Additionally, there are 7 more GOP women running against Dem incumbents in @CookPolitical's Toss Up column:

#IA01 Ashley Hinson
#MN07 Michelle Fischbach
#NM02 Yvette Herrell
#NY11 Nicole Malliotakis
#NY22 Claudia Tenney
#OK05 Terry Neese/Stephanie Bice (runoff)
#SC01 Nancy Mace

Read 4 tweets

EMILY's List

@emilyslist

@xjelliott

Help make it happen! Follow and support:

#AR02 @xjelliott
#AZ06 @hiral4congress
#CA25 @ChristyforCA25
#FL16 @GoodforFlorida
#GA07 @Carolyn4GA7
#IL13 @BetsyforIL
#IN05 @HaleIndy
#KS02 @Michelle4Kansas
#MI03 @HillaryScholten
#MN08 @QuinnNystrom

https://twitter.com/emilyslist/status/1285973378277543938

@JillSchupp

These women can FLIP seats in November:

#MO02 @JillSchupp
#MTAL @WilliamsForMT
#NE02 @karaforcongress
#NY01 @ngoroff
#NY02 @VoteJackie4NY
#NY21 @TedraCobb
#NY24 @dana_balter
#NC02 @DeborahRossNC
#NC06 @KathyManningNC
#NC08 @TimmonsGoodson

https://twitter.com/emilyslist/status/1285973378277543938

@KateForCongress

Make sure you’re supporting all of the incredible women who can help EXPAND the House majority:

#OH01 @KateForCongress
#OH10 @TimsDesiree
#PA01 @FinelloForPA
#TX02 @SimaforTX
#TX21 @wendydavis
#TX23 @GinaOrtizJones
#TX24 @candacefor24
#WA03 @ElectLong

https://twitter.com/emilyslist/status/1285973378277543938

Read 3 tweets

Nancy Pelosi

@TeamPelosi

@AmyKennedy715

A devoted mother of five and a former public school teacher, @AmyKennedy715 has a deep commitment and passion for education and for mental health advocacy and policy that will greatly benefit her work in the House #ForThePeople of #NJ02.

@candacefor24

.@candacefor24 is a mom and educator whose lived experience informs her commitment to finding solutions in education policy that create opportunity for children and families in underserved communities. She will make history as the first Afro-Latina in Congress. #TX24

@GoodforFlorida

Margaret @GoodforFlorida is looking forward to making a real difference in the lives of working families in #FL16 by bringing to the House the same dedication and common sense problem-solving that always guided her service as an attorney, non-profit leader, and legislator.

Read 11 tweets

Taniel

@Taniel

Progressives won in each of tonight's ideologically contrasted House primaries in Texas -- Mike Siegel in #TX10, Candace Valenzuela in #TX24. Each of these districts is GOP-held & Democratic-targeted, and should be hotly disputed this fall down and way-up the ballot.

But there's also a big loss for progressives in Texas: State Senator Eddie Lucio, a conservative Democrat who backed the 2017 'bathroom bill' for instance, beat back challenger Sara Barrera. Some context here: texastribune.org/2020/07/09/tex…

https://twitter.com/bridgetbhc/status/1283246994354511873

The DCCC was ready to go tonight with an internal showing Valenzuela leading in this GOP-held open seat (#TX24), so a quick way for them to signal they're ready to prioritize it.

https://twitter.com/bridgetbhc/status/1283246994354511873

Read 3 tweets

sean

@SeanMcElwee

@candacefor24

Big win for progressives in #TX24. Progressive Caucus + CBC + BOLD (CHC) + ASPIRE (CAPAC) + Warren Democrats and EMILY's list all backed @candacefor24 who has a double digit lead right now. More evidence that supporting candidates of color is path forward for progressives.

@DataProgress

At the @DataProgress blog, @candacefor24 wrote about why she wants to end big money in politics: dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/7/9/…

And in @crookedmedia, @davidagordon9 and I highlighted Valenzuela as the future of the movement: crooked.com/articles/the-2…

@DataProgress

And here's the @DataProgress poll that nailed @candacefor24's momentum after Olson was the plurality leader in the first round, first reported by @ZachMontellaro in Morning Score. politico.com/f/?id=00000173…

Read 3 tweets

Bob

@BOB_1and_only

@BrandNew535

‼️PROGRESSIVES‼️

We must remember down-ballot candidates.

This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:

@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus

#UniteLeft
#Progress2020

Please remember:

⚠️STATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY⚠️

Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH 🗓 before any election you plant to vote in.

Also, endorsements are an ongoing process

Some races have 2 different candidates endorsed by different groups, so they’re both listed.

Legend:
📖➡️ platform/issues link
💵➡️ donation link

If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.

Now, onto the (long) list.

Read 83 tweets

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