For the first time, #Pakistan calls the Houthis "terrorist," which is in concert with American & Saudi designation of the proxy militia. This clarity on the group that controls #Yemen capital #Sanaa was long overdue. /1
In 2015, on my TV show & in a detailed article for Hilal Magazine, I argued that Yemen was not a sectarian conflict, & that a proxy militia's takeover of a capital was no different from Swat TTP's attempt to seize Pakistan's capital Islamabad a decade ago. /2
The Houthi takeover of Yemen as a first step toward creating chaos in the Gulf also threatened Pakistan's national interest, and energy & economic security, not to mention weakening strong allies. This clarity was essential for policy making. But was lost amid misinformed. /3
Iran is an important neighbor. It's Houthi proxy's work in Yemen/Gulf served Iranian govt interests but badly harmed Pakistani interests. It could've also harmed Iranian people's interests. Tehran likely did not take these facts into consideration. /4
For all the operational mistakes of the Yemeni govt in exile & its Gulf backers, Iran's role in prolonging the war by supporting a proxy is also a problem. It's not dissimilar to how Tehran (& New Delhi) prolonged the Afghan civil war in 1990s. /5
Yemen is now linked to the larger Iran-US-West crisis. Yemen war will continue bcz Houthis are now a negotiation card for Iran in its larger dialogue with the West & Gulf on its nuclear/ballistic programs, regional role. /6
My article | Politics, Not Sect, Will Decide The Strategic Conflict of #Yemen | Hilal Magazine, 2015. #Pakistan /7
#Biden administration allows #Houthis to conduct international financial transactions for one month (until Feb. 26). A temporary relief from terror designation, and likely a goodwill gesture toward #Iran./1
Without a political or military settlement, #Houthi takeover of #Yemen will continue to be seen in the region as a first step toward destabilizing #Gulf states, & a threat to energy+economic security, linked to the larger debate on future peace vision vs. extremism in Mideast /2
For all the operational mistakes of the #Yemen govt in exile & its #Gulf backers, #Iran's role in prolonging the war by supporting a proxy is the key. It's not dissimilar to how Tehran prolonged the #Afghanistan civil war in 1990s. /3
Well articulated by @YusufMoeed but #Pakistan's foreign policy falls short of this vision; more rhetoric, no action. Govt failed to exploit the Trump/USA opening in 2019, stayed away from peace+economic vision in Mideast; too eager to tilt at windmills (Islamophobia/TV/France).
Many members of Pakistani policy+natsec communities (some w/ gov/official links) regularly frame #CPEC in the media in terms of #Pakistan creating a bloc to challenge #US/West/#Israel. Such radicalism doesn't help. 'Prism confusion' is internal @YusufMoeed
Policy mindset forces others to see #Pakistan through #Afghanistan/#India prisms only. We won't take part in shaping anything else. Timid/cautious policies even toward own interests. We demonize our closest trading partners #US/#UAE/#EU. @YusufMoeed