1. Here's a thread that will change how you view #Bitcoin Bull Market corrections...
2. Let's divide the 2017 #Bitcoin Bull Market into Quarters

There are a few important things to note:

• Uptrends are longer than corrections

Throughout its Bull Market, #BTC spends most of its time in an uptrend (green) compared to time spent in
a correction (red)
3. In fact, throughout the 2017 Bull Market, #Bitcoin spent 267 days in an uptrend and 98 days in a downtrend

That means that #BTC spent 73% of the entire year in an uptrend!

The average time BTC spent in an uptrend in 2017 was around 50 days
4. Corrections are short

In 2017, #BTC experienced 5 major corrections

Shortest correction lasted only a few days

Longest lasted just over a month

First correction took 1 week

Second took 3 weeks

Third took ~5 weeks

Fourth took ~2 weeks

Fifth 3 days

(Sixth = Bear Market)
5. Corrections get shorter over time

Average time #BTC spent in a retrace was 16 days

Not only were retraces generally short in the 2017 BTC Bull Market...

But retraces got shorter as the Bull Market progressed

Corrections arguably become more brief later in the year/cycle
6. If you like this thread...

You'll really like my newsletter

Cutting-edge cryptocurrency insights, straight to your inbox three times a week

Feel free to signup:

rektcapital.substack.com
7. Every Quarter sees at least one strong #Bitcoin correction

However, it's more common that two corrections occur during a Quarter (i.e. Q1, Q3, Q4)

The only Quarter that saw only one strong #BTC correction in 2017 was Q2
8. Corrections tend to occur at the end of a Quarter

While some #BTC corrections started at the beginning of a Quarter (e.g. Q1 & Q3)...

#Bitcoin corrected near the end of EVERY Quarter in 2017!

(The only time when BTC retraced mid-Quarter was in Q4, though it was very brief)
9. Corrections tend to be -30% to -40% deep

Corrective periods are a natural, healthy part of any #BTC growth cycle

In fact, during the 2017 Bull Market, #Bitcoin experienced 5 major pullbacks which preceded new All Time Highs

The average Bull Market correction was about -35%
10. At the moment, #Bitcoin is experiencing its first major pullback in this new Bull Market

The retrace at the moment is around -31% deep which is normal by standards of history

In fact, history suggests a retrace even deeper (e.g. ~$25000; -40%) would still be healthy
11. If you liked this nutshell of insights, I guarantee you’ll love the newsletter where I feature more extensive, in-depth analysis

Early-bird offer ends February 1st

As a thank you to early-birds, you will always have access for only $5/month

Signup:

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More from @rektcapital

20 Jan
1. Where Could Bitcoin Peak In The 2021 Bull Market?

The #Bitcoin Halving is a major catalyst for Bitcoin's price

After every Halving, #BTC tends to rally to new All Time Highs

So where could Bitcoin rally to in this Bull Market?

Here's everything you need to know...
2. Let’s take a look at how previous Halvings have affected the price of #Bitcoin

The first #BTC Halving spurred 13,378% growth in Bitcoin’s price... Image
3. The second #Bitcoin Halving spurred a 12,160% rally Image
Read 14 tweets
16 Jan
1. We often hear about WHERE might #Bitcoin peak in this Bull Market...

But we rarely talk about WHEN they might happen

Let's take a look at the curious role of time in the context of each of #BTC's Halvings...
2. How many days did #Bitcoin bottom before its first ever Halving?

378 days

How many days did #BTC top out after its first ever Halving?

364 days...
3. What about Bitcoin Halving 2?

How many days did #Bitcoin bottom before its second Halving?

546 days

How many days did #BTC top out after its second Halving?

518 days...
Read 8 tweets
17 Dec 20
1. "Which Altcoin should I buy?"

"When should I buy it?"

Knowing when to buy one Altcoin is one thing

Knowing when to time your exposure to Altcoins as a whole is another

Here is a thread about how to use investor Money Flow behaviour to know which Altcoins to buy and when:
Here is how money flows in #Crypto:

1. Fiat (e.g. USD, EUR, GBP)

2. #Bitcoin

3. Large Cap Altcoins (e.g $ETH)

4. Mid Cap Altcoins

5. Low Cap Altcoins

6. #BTC again

7. Fiat
3. Generally, when money is flowing towards $BTC, it is flowing away from Altcoins as a whole

It is during this time that BTC enjoys an uptrend & Altcoins experience downside

This is mostly due to investors panic-selling Altcoins in an effort to chase an exponential BTC uptrend
Read 12 tweets
7 Nov 20
1. #Bitcoin is just finishing up its current Four Year Cycle

Which means #BTC is just under two months away from confirming further exponential growth in this #Crypto Bull Market

Here's what you need to know...
2. $BTC's price action behaves in Four Year Cycles

Each candle represents a year

Candle 1 ensures exponential growth where BTC breaks to a new ATH

Candle 2 is where BTC is in a Bear Market

Candle 3 is where BTC bottoms out

Candle 4 is where BTC recovers & begins a new trend
3. Candle 4 serves a crucial purpose in setting the stage for the new Four Year Cycle

Its primary aim is to eclipse the previous resistance that effectively prompted a bear market for BTC's price a few years earlier (i.e. “Candle 2”)

That resistance is ~$13,900
Read 11 tweets
11 Mar 20
#CoronaVirusUpdate - A thread

I watched Joe Rogan's podcast with Michael Osterholm, an internationally recognised expert in infectious disease epidemiology

Episode is 1hr 30mins long

To raise awareness about the #CoronavirusOutbreak here are the cliff notes from that episode
#coronavirus can be transmitted just by breathing

Just by breathing & sharing air you can infect or get infected

Which is why this coronavirus pandemic can be 10x worse than a bad seasonal flu year

It will primarily affect the older population with underlying health problems
Risk factors include obesity & high blood pressure

Incubation period of the #coronavirus is 4 days

That means that someone may have become infected with the coronavirus but won't have symptoms for 4 days

But during this time that person is highly infectious
Read 21 tweets
21 May 19
$QNT #quant #qnt

Negative Price Discovery

The blue diagonal resistance has been a point of rejection for QNT since mid-Feb '18

There are two ways QNT could end its downtrend:

a) Breaching this blue diagonal

b) Showing strong market reaction at any of the green supports

$BTC
$QNT #quant #qnt

Epic +68% breakout 🔥

QNT has a tendency of offering short-lived upside wicks past the blue diagonal downtrending resistance, so a 1D close past this resistance is needed to confirm the end of the almost 4-month downtrend

$BTC
$QNT / $BTC, #quant #qnt

Following QNT's breakout past the multi-month downtrend line, it retraced fully for a double bottom rebound

Since then QNT has rallied almost 300%

QNT is now at its most significant resistance region to date, with a visible cluster of resistance ahead
Read 11 tweets

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