Thread by @LibyaDesk

1/ Seems #Haftar has pulled off a last minute upset after finding himself being cornered by his allies locally and internationally.
While his allies find themselves shuffling to make sense of yesterday’s developments, Haftar is positioning himself as sole negotiator of the east.

2/ For #Haftar to successfully achieve this goal, he will need to carry out a hard reset as his advisors are now blamed for failing to secure a new executive consisting of their allies.

#Agila is facing heavy criticism both socially and politically in Eastern #Libya.

3/ #Agila was warned by constituents to avoid a deal with #Bashagha and to have a back up plan that allows a ‘socially’ acceptable candidate take his place such as #Baraghthee of #AlWafi (in that order).

The competition for social credit is now between #Haftar & #AlMnefi.

4/ #Agila and his advisors find themselves in a very difficult position, with a few facing social repercussions for their ‘plotting’ against the ‘will of the tribes’.

#Cairo will lose a lot of manoeuvrability in Eastern #Libya and will need to mend ties with the #LNA.

5/ The previous week saw an immeasurable level of backstabbing, plotting & conspiring between all political forces be they Muslim Brotherhood, #GNA, #LNA, technocrats, regional actors and more- that will have irreversible impact on the political dynamics of #Libya going forward.

6/ If this new executive manages to take up post, we will undoubtedly see changes to heads of major institutions in #Libya.

Nothing is set, manoeuvring is still taking place with many looking to secure positions in the new government and the rare few working to avert conflict.

7/ The past 72 hours has witnessed a fluidity in developments that has not been witnessed in a long time.

The cosmetic theatrics of the #LPDF have for now managed to successfully avoid leaks of what went on inside, but it is a matter of time before all details reach the public.