🏒HOCKEY RINK AEROSOL—new study shows stagnant smoke sits 10 feet above a hockey rink. Cool air near the ice and warmer air above create a thermal inversion—restricts air movement from ice to other areas. Masks & ventilation help lower 🥅 #COVID19 risk.🧵 publichealth.yale.edu/research_pract…
2) To measure how poor ventilation affects transmission risk of #SARSCoV2 while skating in indoor ice arenas, infection probability was modeled for various scenarios. looked at the impact of: HVAC supply air flow, the number of COVID-19-infected people on the ice, and mask use.
3) Ice rinks are often shared by 50 people on the ice. At 7% test positivity rate, 4 COVID-19 infected people could be skating at a given time. In both high- & low-HVAC ventilation, the probability of infection increased 2.4-3.5 times for one infected skater versus 5 on the ice.
4) The importance of wearing a mask is reinforced with these estimates – the probability of infection was found to be 1.5 to 2.5 greater for people not wearing a cloth mask compared to skaters assumed to be wearing a mask.
5) “Also, elevated levels of combustion-derived pollutants in indoor ice arenas can possibly increase the risk of COVID-19 infection, while temperature (55-65°F) & humidity (33-47%) levels designed to preserve integrity of the ice surface may also stabilize SARS-CoV-2 aerosols.
6) “Conclusions.
Poor air quality, movement and mixing of the air can lead to elevated airborne contaminants at breathing height of skaters
Temperature and humidity conditions inside ice arenas are within range of conditions that may increase survival of #SARSCoV2 in aerosol;
7) “Co-exposure to elevated levels of air pollutants, such as fine particulates and nitrogen dioxide, may worsen severity of COVID
Highly aerobic activity like skating will enhance respiration, increasing release of infectious aerosol if COVID-19 infected individuals are on ice
8) “Highly aerobic activity will also enhance the risk of transmitting SARS-CoV-2 through increased breathing in of airborne contaminants.
It’s reasonable to suspect that the use of indoor ice arenas will increase the exposure of skaters to SARS-CoV-2 aerosols.
9) “Athletic activities inside ice arenas may pose an increased risk of COVID-19 transmission compared to athletic activities in other indoor and outdoor environments.”
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3) One group puts #P1 at an astoundingly high 2x more transmissibility.
Experiences from Manaus - the Amazonian city hit hard by the P.1 variant - suggest it could be up to twice as transmissible as earlier Covid there, the first detailed study suggests. bbc.com/news/amp/healt…
KIDS EPIDEMIC in Italy 🇮🇹—#B117 variant among Italy's infected schoolchildren and is helping to fuel a “robust” uptick in the curve of #COVID19–with higher transmission rates "among the youngest age group” of the population. finance.yahoo.com/news/virus-var…
2) In recent weeks, Italy’s incidence of new cases among young people has now eclipsed incidence among the older population, a reversal of how COVID-19 afflicted residents in the first months of the pandemic.
3) Speranza announced stricter directives, contained in the first anti-pandemic decree of new Italian Premier Mario Draghi, aimed at trying to “govern this curve of contagion,” especially among school-age children.
🇸🇪EXPERT HID SCHOOL OUTBREAKS & EXCESS DEATHS IN KIDS, emails reveal—A Swedish proponent of pro-natural-infection-herd who advised Tegnell was caught deliberately omitting data on school outbreaks & excess deaths, as new whistleblower emails shed light.🧵 sciencemag.org/news/2021/03/c…
2) “Ludvigsson was one of 47 original signers of Great Barrington Declaration, a controversial document published in Oct 2020 that argued that pandemic policies should focus on protecting the vulnerable while rest of the population builds up immunity through natural infection.”
3) “Ludvigsson’s research seemed to support those ideas. In a review about children’s role in the pandemic, published in Acta Paediatrica in May 2020, he reported there had been “no major school outbreaks in Sweden,” which he attributed to “personal communication” from Tegnell.
📍Bad warnings from South Africa’s CDC—#B1351 spike protein completely escapes 3 classes of therapeutic antibodies. It also exhibits “substantial to complete escape” from neutralization by convalescent plasma. It bodes Reinfection & lower vaccine efficacy. nature.com/articles/s4159…
2) The @nicd_sa authors conclude: “These data also have implications for the effectiveness of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, largely based on immune responses to original spike protein.”
3) “Indeed, sera from the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccinees show significantly reduced neutralization of 501Y.V2” (#B1351) biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
WORRIED—NYC’s native variant is now concerning Fauci—it has some potential for trouble. 735 cases of #B1526 variant that emerged in New York City have now been identified in US, including 585 in the last 2 weeks—it is now found in 15 states.🧵#COVID19bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2)“It’s not particularly happy news,” said Michel Nussenzweig, an immunologist. “But just knowing about it is good because then we can perhaps do something about it.”
Nussenzweig said he was more worried about variant in New York than one in California. nytimes.com/2021/02/24/hea…
3) The variant, known scientifically as B.1.526, likely started off in the Washington Heights section of Manhattan, Anthony Fauci said in a Monday news briefing. It is one of five concerning variants now being tracked nationally by health officials.