📍Bad warnings from South Africa’s CDC—#B1351 spike protein completely escapes 3 classes of therapeutic antibodies. It also exhibits “substantial to complete escape” from neutralization by convalescent plasma. It bodes Reinfection & lower vaccine efficacy.
nature.com/articles/s4159…
2) The @nicd_sa authors conclude: “These data also have implications for the effectiveness of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, largely based on immune responses to original spike protein.”
3) “Indeed, sera from the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccinees show significantly reduced neutralization of 501Y.V2” (#B1351)
biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
4) “Furthermore, compared to global efficacy estimates, vaccine efficacy in South Africa (overlapping with the emergence of 501Y.V2) has been significantly reduced for several vaccines. Conversely, these same trials seem to retain efficacy against severe COVID-19.”
5) “these data highlight the urgent requirement for rapidly adaptable vaccine design platforms and the need to identify less-mutable viral targets for incorporation into future immunogens.”
6) Last month, this data made 🇿🇦 CDC declare its concern over very likely reinfection risk for #B1351
7) That said, the Novavax vaccine did work against it, albeit around 50% in South Africa, though 60% efficacy among those HIV negative.

Also, there was strong evidence of reinfection with #B1351 among placebo group - previous infection no protection for #B1351.
8) And good news is that the J&J vaccine also worked against it— and had 82% efficacy in South Africa against severe #COVID19.
9) here is the 60% overall efficacy of Novavax in South Africa 🇿🇦.

This shows that protection via vaccines are >>>> than natural infection!!

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More from @DrEricDing

4 Mar
⚠️KIDS ages 5-12 now the *highest positive prevalence age group* for #COVID19 in England🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 in February (not previously in Jan), despite lockdown.

➡️ Higher odds of COVID for workers in: healthcare, transport, & education, school, nursery or childcare. 🧵
spiral.imperial.ac.uk/handle/10044/1… Image
2) there is definitely something going on with the #B117 variant (where it is fully dominant in 🇬🇧) and kids. This new weird pediatric trend has been now seen in Italy 🇮🇹 Israel 🇮🇱 Denmark 🇩🇰 and many other places. Italy’s leadership sounded the alarms recently about B117 & kids.
3) We should have seen this Italian village where 60% of the cases being in primary school kids as a canary in the coal mine signal. I was very worried at the time...
Read 6 tweets
4 Mar
The flu killed almost 200 kids last flu season. This year—just 1.

Reason? Masks and distancing. The result has been: only about 0.1% of flu tests are coming back positive, versus 20-30% at this time in other years.

Silver lining of #COVID19 mitigation.
washingtonpost.com/health/2021/03… Image
2) “I think that that obliteration of the flu epidemic, which was seen globally, tells us that the way that influenza is transmitted from one person to another might really have been impacted by the use of masks, more than anything else,” said Flor Munoz.
3) “Influenza is expected to come roaring back next fall and winter if most coronavirus restrictions have lifted by then, experts warn. Because children commonly spread the flu, reopened schools and day-care centers may contribute significantly to the rebound.”
Read 4 tweets
4 Mar
NEW—CDC warns #COVID19 is "on the cusp" of potential resurgence, with cases & deaths rising. Highly-transmissible #B117 variant can "hijack our successes", as fatigue leads precautions being "flagrantly ignored".

Been warning for over a month. So tired.
2) The #B117 is serious. It is not only 40-60% more contagious, but also more severe. And it also might be causing kids outbreaks worldwide. Italy 🇮🇹 is just one. Israel too.
3) If you think #B117 is bad—wait until the #P1 variant from Brazil 🇧🇷 infects the world. We have to stop this cycle of surges and mutations.
Read 9 tweets
4 Mar
Vaccine & #LongCovid benefit?

“I started getting texts/calls: hey, are patients with long COVID reporting that they’re feeling better after the vaccine’? When he started talking with patients: “It’s not 100%, but it does seem like to be ~1/3”. 🧵#COVID19 theverge.com/2021/3/2/22308… Image
2) “Early reports hint that people with persistent symptoms may improve after getting vaccinated. Information is still limited & largely anecdotal — but if pattern holds, it could help understand more about why symptoms of #COVID19 persist in some people, & offer path to relief.”
3) “Many of Griffin’s patients who improved had significant side effects after their first shot of either the Moderna or Pfizer vaccine. That’s common in people who’ve had COVID-19 before—they already have some level of antibodies, so the 1st shot acts more like a 2nd booster.”
Read 13 tweets
3 Mar
⚠️BRAZIL COVID EMERGENCY—Entire 🇧🇷 is now “Manaus”. 1700+ deaths in 24 hours, ICUs critical.

📌#P1 🇧🇷 variant is ~2x-2.5x more transmissible, says @obscovid19br

📌17 state capitals ICUs >80% full

📌”Exponential #COVID19 growth unlike any other that we have seen” @bollemdb 🧵
2) Brazil is becoming an enormous Manaus" - @MiguelNicolelis
3) One group puts #P1 at an astoundingly high 2x more transmissibility.

Experiences from Manaus - the Amazonian city hit hard by the P.1 variant - suggest it could be up to twice as transmissible as earlier Covid there, the first detailed study suggests.
bbc.com/news/amp/healt…
Read 15 tweets
3 Mar
If kids under age 6 can wear masks 102 years ago in the last great pandemic, then kids today can too.

PASS IT ON. #COVID19 #MaskUp #schoolmasks
2) We now have major outbreaks in kids worldwide from #B117. See thread 🧵
3) This is the best example of what happens when kids don’t mask in schools....
Read 7 tweets

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