2017:
• -70% pre-Death Cross
• Extra -65% post-Death Cross
2019:
• -53% pre-DC
• -55% post-DC
15.
So since #BTC has crashed -54% already and should this symmetry hold, BTC could crash an extra -54% if a Death Cross happened today
This would result in a ~$18,000 $BTC
16.
This sort of symmetry would be in line with history as #BTC crashed an extra -55% post-Death Cross after the June 2019 peak
But if history were to repeat itself with a -65% or -71% crash...
That would result in a $14000 and $11500 $BTC which both seem very unlikely
17.
What's interesting about the scenario of a -55% post-Death Cross crash however is that it would result in a $18000 BTC
Which ties in with the 200-Week EMA (black) which tends to offer fantastic opportunities with outsized ROI for #BTC investors (green boxes highlight this)
18.
If the Death Cross happens today, then a -55% crash towards the 200-Week EMA would tie in with my analysis in a previous thread: