. @SecBlinken, @JosepBorrellF, you insisted Ethiopia pursue a path of peace in Tigray to enable humanitarian assistance to to millions experiencing famine.

The TPLF rejected a ceasefire and continues its offensive against the legally recognised Govt.
In recent days TPLF mounted attacks across the border into Afar Region, reportedly killing locals and allegedly using child soldiers as part of their army. These statements from @reda_getachew are very clear, he claims he is fighting and winning a war.
And yet you remain completely silent. Daring not to criticise the TPLF who are are now, transparently the aggressor in this conflict.

Reda is a constant liar and propagandist. It seems odd that the two great western superpowers wish to align themselves with such a man.
Meanwhile other westerners such as @martinplaut and alleged peace professor @KjetilTronvoll also cheer on the slaughter as if there is something noble in starving millions, illegally deploying child soldiers and rebelling against your Govt.
While nobody believes for a moment that the TPLF really are about to seriously challenge the Ethiopian Defence forces in the field, this conflict is raging out of control thanks to two things, the maniacal words and actions of the TPLF, and the silence of Western Powers.
It is long gone time for the United States and the European Union to actively support a path to peace in the #HornOfAfrica. This is the claimed objective, but words and actions are very clearly not backing this outcome.

This is completely disgraceful.
At stake here is the future of a ancient country of 115 million souls which has just become a true democracy. A country over flowing with you and brimming with hope but a suffering under a long legacy of under development and authoritarian rule.
It simply beggars belief that an international community that couldn't stop itself slinging rocks at the Ethiopian Govt. for pursuing a law and order action in their own country is now standing by and watching a madman, aka @reda_getachew trying to set the entire region on fire.
May God show you, the people of Tigray who are abroad, that you have put these children to war while keeping your children in your warm house.
The peace loving people of Ethiopia are crying out against Western indifference, both official at a Govt. level and to media who appear to have also lost their understanding of the reality and dangers of ethnic conflict.
After being attacked viciously on the day after their election by the TPLF. The Ethiopian Govt. did what was asked of them by the international community. They withdrew and announced a unilateral ceasefire.
The Ethiopian Govt. opened humanitarian corridors to deliver aid, and even opened an air service to Tigray to facilitate humanitarian agency access.

Meanwhile they are subjected to economic sanctions from the U.S. To which, thus far, no relief has been granted.
The silence of senior western diplomats and leaders on this who made a great show of demanding these actions from Ethiopia during @JoeBiden's visit to Europe for the G7 is simply deafening now.
And it is clearly emboldening the actions of the TPLF. As evidenced in this absurd tweets from @reda_getachew.

Continued silence risks unimaginable horrors to come, and a stain on the reputation of the UN and multilateral efforts to maintain peace and security around the world.
P.S. This statement was issued today by the Ethiopian Govt. in relation to the plight of Eritrean refugees inside Tigray.

Perhaps @SecBlinken @JosepBorrellF @StateDept @StateDeptSpox @PowerUSAID and @USAmbUN could make a request to facilitate safe passage of those imperilled.
And another statement, from yesterday, that is directly on point. The humanitarian aid effort is being obstructed by the TPLF.

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More from @althecat

24 Jul
This deep dive is for anyone interested in the unfolding #Ethiopia Security Crisis the #Tigray War and the information warfare associated with it. Full spectrum analysis.

@RaniaKhalek & @EugenePuryear
The final thesis provides an interesting explanation for the hard to explain U.S. position in relation to this #HornOfAfrica Crisis.

I.E. the US is just opposed to having independent free countries in such an important geo-strategic location.
The way @EugenePuryear lays out of the history, detail and context of this crisis leaves me with an uneasy feeling of déjà vu. There are echoes of the lead up to previous international relations castastrophes, Iran, Iraq, Libya, Syria.

Have we not learned anything?
Read 10 tweets
23 Jul
This animation shows 24 hours in the life of three storms in the West Pacific. The remnants of former Typhoon #Cempaka bottom left, Typhoon #INFA in the middle and TS #Nepartak far right which is headed to Japan.

Shangai is already receiving rain from In-fa, 650kms away.
A truly extraordinary storm. Maybe illustrative of what tropical storms of the future may look like.

#INFA developed slowly, moves slowly and is not particularly strong, but he/she is orchestrating rain catastrophes from 100s of KMs away in Shangai the Phillipines and Japan.
A big high resolution photo of INFA from this morning from @NASA WorldView. This is a truly huge storm.
Read 9 tweets
23 Jul
Flashback: This is an early thread I posted when relatively new to the Tigray War and the #GERD issue back in April as the AU dam agreement negotiations between #Egypt #Sudan and #Ethiopia were breaking down.

It addresses the role of the Trump administration in this.
Back then I was a complete neophyte to this subject area when I posted this. And it was before the Jeffrey Feltman mission.

But given that parts of the new U.S. admin and media have now taken an strong anti-Ethiopian stance on this issue it perhaps deserves further analysis.
If the U.S. role in the #GERD dispute in any way precipitated the escalation in internal tensions in Ethiopia, which doesn't seem an unreasonable conclusion based on the timeline discussed in this thread then they have a responsibility to take this into account now.
Read 4 tweets
22 Jul
A brief pictorial thread of parts of the northern hemisphere where extreme or unusual weather phenomena are underway.

Starting with #eastasia #infa & #3rdStorm which seems to have initiated formation. This is the storm which will crash #Olympics2021, shortly after the opening.
The 1st animation is 120 hours. This version goes for 11 days longer. As on #infa’s path beyond 120 hours, what happens beyond July 26th is pretty uncertain. #infa is also continuously not behaving as expected, totes normal for a heat engine of this magnitude.
Heading west a few thousand miles the lingering impact of the #ArabianMomsoonBurst is set to continue for some time bringing thunderstorms to the Arabian peninsula on a daily basis. See @Arab_Storms for video reports.
Read 14 tweets
22 Jul
China Typhoon Coverage Thread

1. China: Heavy rains cause deadly floods in Henan province | DW News via @YouTube
2. Central China Floods: Death toll goes up to 33, thousands evacuated from Henan province | WION (India) English News
3. CNBC News: Massive floods strike China's 'iPhone City' after heaviest rains in 1,000 years
Read 9 tweets
22 Jul
#INFA and a widening gyre.

July 22nd #Japan #Olympics2021 weather update, rain, wind, rain and more rain. This is not looking at all ok.

TL/DR: the model forecasts for East Asia have changed. And gotten significantly worse.
Here's a high resolution satellite image of Typhoon #INFA which is continuing to defy all predictions.

But the potential impacts of this storm both for those in its path and for the wider region are getting steadily worse.
Yesterday's thread can be found here >>

TL/DR the only hope at this point is that the models can't compute this right, and what they say will happen doesn't.

It's now time for prayer, and for Japan to prepare for widespread catastrophic rainfall.
Read 21 tweets

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