@stkirsch brought up an important point in his @US_FDA vaccine advisory committee presentation.

Why is Pfizer excluding 311 people in its vaccine arm, but only 60 for "protocol deviations"?

That's very odd, indeed. No explanation is given...

1/n

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona
In it's efficiacy calculation Pfizer mentions 8 vs 162 infections, arriving at at VE of 95%. That's correct, but let's assume all or some of those excluded might have been either infected or injured... How would VE look then?
Including all 311-60=251 additional protocol deviations from the vaccine arm, into the calcuation we arrive at -61% VE. Yes negative!
To arrive at 0% VE, about 60% or 153 need to be included.

For the CDC minimum of 50% VE, only 29% or 73 people would be needed.

So did Pfizer hide some infections or adverse events in this group?

What's the explanation for 4.2x more protocol deviations in the vaccine arm?

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More from @USMortality

19 Sep
Something strange is happening in Israel!

According to the Israel Govt. Covid19 Dashboard, the share of vaccinated has significantly dropped in some age groups from 9/3 to 9/19.

Why is that? Is it a data adjustment?

#Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus #Covid
Not that while the younger age groups remain similar, the older age groups drop significantly....

Does this possibly suggest that more vaccinated people have died? Or is it a simple data issue?

Here are the links:
- 9/3: archive.is/bQ0GD
- today: datadashboard.health.gov.il/COVID-19/gener…
@RanIsraeli Any thoughts?
Read 4 tweets
18 Sep
Why vaccine efficacy (VE) MUST be calculated by taking into account 'total number of tests', and why calculations based on population are likely misleading/incorrect.

Thread: ⬇️⬇️⬇️

Please like/share/RT!
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

@RWMaloneMD @BretWeinstein @stkirsch
I've recently come across @jsm2334's calculation of VE based on epidemiological data, and share of population.

While the calculations by Prof Morris are correct, it does not address several underlying issues.

To make this analysis easier, I'm only going to focus on the 'All ages >12' & 'Vax (NB)' group.

I get the same results, as the Prof, using population:
- VE against death with/from Covid19 of 69.4%

It appears to be stat. significant; However there might be Sample Ratio Mismatch.
Read 13 tweets
17 Sep
So Florida is apparently getting hit quite hard.
We can see even in Seniors massive excess death.

So I looked at vaccine data...

1/n
According to this, we can see that ~80% of Senior Floridians are vaccinated at least once.

Ok, that'd still leave a lot of people, likely hundreds of thousands, unprotected.

2/n
But then I looked NYT Vaccine Tracker, and found this county, which has extraordinarily low vaccine uptake.

2/n

nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Read 5 tweets
10 Sep
Thread on how to calculate Vaccine Efficiacy (VE) as defined by CDC, and deep dive into MA Barnstable County MWWR outbreak case data.

⬇️⬇️⬇️ 1/n

#Covid #Covid19 #Covid_19 #Corona #Coronavirus
In order to Calculate VE, we need to calculate Risk Ratio (RR).
CDC, in their epidemiological handbook, gives this definition/example for Varicella:
Then we can calculate the VE as follows:
Read 10 tweets
10 Sep
Playing around with VE and p-value calculation.

CDC, gives examples at: cdc.gov/csels/dsepd/ss…

I copied their example to Google Sheets.

Their example is significant at 90% confidence.

It requires knowledge of "non-case" group. (test negative) do we have that along with vaxx?
AFAIK, CDC does not publish data, grouped by?

Vaccinated: PCR+ / PCR-
Unvaccinated: PCR+ / PCR-

Not even the UK Technical data, has all this information.

Does Israel provide, @RanIsraeli?

So IMO, we cannot even calculate VE properly...
Of course even if we had PCR- (PCR negative tests).

The two groups might still not be comparable to each other... (age/co-morbidities, etc.)
Read 4 tweets
24 Aug
#Germany is now a vaccine mandated country:

1) Only vaccinated are allowed
2) Tested are accepted, but self-pay starting 10/11
3) Recovered only valid for 5 months, then 1 booster needed.

What world do we live in?

#MedicalApartheid #Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Fun fact though, everyone still has to wear masks and boosters are likely to be rolled out soon...
And now first German state's are starting to only allow vaccinated and 5month-recovered:



It's a joke!
Read 4 tweets

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