Ukrainian shipping has been affected by Russia’s wide-ranging exercises in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, which effectively blockaded Ukrainian ports. The latter has now been reopened: exercises continue in the former. /3
There’s been a lot of coverage about how the threat of war is leading states to dramatically reduce their diplomatic presence in #Ukraine; it’s also generating a similar affect on international businesses. /4
Cyberattacks & hacking of Ukrainian government websites continue; Microsoft has recently released a report showing malevolent actors have target Ukrainian emergency response services & organizations that would coordinate international humanitarian aid. /5
So as the world considers how to respond, it is vital to take into account the fact that Ukraine is already paying the unfair and unjustified costs of this Kremlin-manufactured crisis. /7
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It seems that the #Kremlin doesn’t appreciate the free press covering the unilateral and unusually large build up of Russian forces along the borders of #Ukraine.
But news you don’t like or don’t want to have reported isn’t inherently “fake news.” /1
This isn’t to say there isn’t room for improvement (oops, Bloomberg!), not that some of the headlines have been worded in sensationalist, clickbait-y ways. /2
But the simple fact is that an extremely large number of Russian forces, contrary to their usual habits and contrary to their usual schedule of exercises, have gathered on the Russian and Belarusian borders with #Ukraine, while the Kremlin has issued repeated threats. /3
The #Kremlin has repeatedly asserted its right to carry out joint exercises in #Belarus as part of Allied Resolve 2022, and #Lukshenko was also describe by it as an exercise back in January. /2
One tool used to construct deterrence is sometimes called a “trip wire.” The logic is that a small force, too small to really defend itself or anyone else, could be deployed abroad to demonstrate commitment by being prepared to die. /2
As @MMalksoo points out, tripwires are as much about symbolism as anything, and thus tell us a great deal about the nature of the relationship between the participating powers. /3
Specifically, using #Afghanistan’s foreign reserves in this way is unjust.
That the funds shouldn’t go straight into the hands of the Taliban goes without saying. But they should absolutely be used or held only for the benefit of the Afghan people. /1
Yes, Taliban rule over Afghanistan was a permissive condition for the terrorism of 9/11. A different set of leaders might have had the will and the capability to prevent al Qaeda from setting up shop in their state. /2
But even if we lay some responsibility at the Taliban’s feet, it seems strange to lay so much there when no similar sanction has been placed on other countries where al Qaeda has been active or from whose citizens al Qaeda received financial aid. /3
Under the auspices of the #OSCE Vienna Document, #Ukraine has officially asked #Russia to provide information about its military exercises near Ukraine's borders. /1
There is no doubt that the manufactured migrant crisis along Belarus’ border with Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland is a deliberate political tactic aimed at punishing these states for their critique of #Lukashenko’s authoritarianism and at sowing division between EU states. /1
Lukashenko has made getting a visa to enter #Belarus easier, made getting a flight to Minsk easier, and used the military to make crossing the border to the EU easier, too.
But I want to talk about the ethical dimensions. /2