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Corporal Frisk Profile picture
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Mar 16 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Okay, so this is the primer you need...
...to make sense of this statement.
The interesting things and missing link is the S-300V / SA-12. As @thewarzonewire notes there are *no* NATO-countries operating the system. The only operator making any kind of sense I would argue is Egypt, and that's a long shot. #S300V en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-300_mis…
If nothing else, this shows how ridiculous the focus on the MiG-29s were. I still can't figure out why they would have been more escalatory than these. But, hey, if #Ukraine gets more #S300 they and the free world are better off than if they don't.

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More from @CorporalFrisk

Corporal Frisk Profile picture
Dec 10, 2021
#BREAKING: F-35A winner of #HXhanke program to replace Finnish F/A-18C/D Hornets. #turpo=#säkpol #F35
64 aircraft, weaponry suitable for Finnish scenario, all gate checks passed, budget within framework (including annual costs below set limit of 254 MEUR).
Front fuselage assembly in Finland for Finnish and global fleet.
Read 21 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
Dec 5, 2021
Okay, time for another thread on everyone's favourite topic - the real cost of #F35 and can #Finland afford it in #HXhanke. The reason is that the Norwegian budget and Swiss acquisition costs are out, and they have caused quite a stir. 1/x #turpo=#säkpol
The Swiss number caused quite a stir, including talk about the aircraft having gone up 20% in cost since the decision was made. I don't quite get those figures, but an increase of 17% (5.07 Bn CHF to 5.95 Bn CHF). 2/x vbs.admin.ch/content/vbs-in…
A key detail here is that the exchange rate of USD to CHF has grown somewhat worse for the Swiss since February when the original figures came in, so I get an increase in USD of 13%. Still bad, but not quite on par with the dreaded 20% figure. 3/x
Read 23 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
Dec 3, 2021
The five suspected #terrorists arrested in Finland today (though considering the police has had eyes on them for years we can most probably for all intents and purposes drop "suspected") represent a hardcore version of #accelerationism or #SiegeCulture. Explanatory thread below.
In short, they are inspired by James Mason's ideas that through terror a race war can be kicked off, and then the white state can rise from the ashes. The most (in)famous group to adhere to the theory is likely #AtomwaffenDivision.
Notable is that these organisations often work in small isolated groups without connection to the larger and more visible far-right networks, something which the Finnish police also pointed out.
Read 5 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
Apr 3, 2021
Seems western hunters flying to Africa to shoot rare species is again in the headlines, this time in Sweden. I understand why this makes people upset, however, the situation is more complex than evil wannabe-colonialists wanting zebra heads above their fireplace.
Some of the serious threats to African wildlife (to the extent such generalisations can be done to such a vast continent holding any number of different habitats) include poaching (due to either value of animal products or to protect crops and livestock) and habitat loss.
Obviously, these are driven by local developments, and biodiversity simply isn't as interesting to most people if it means your living wage is directly negatively affected by it (I will argue this is true for most westerners as well).
Read 8 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
Apr 1, 2021
I don't know if there's a real risk for a Russian offensive, or if the movements are just part of the training pattern leading up to #Zapad21. However, this is one of my pet peeves - it's hard to tell an exercise from preparations for war. #turpo=#säkpol corporalfrisk.com/2016/08/13/exe…
"The only thing differentiating war from maneuvers is the last stage on the last day. The concentration of forces and the logistics is the same for both.” Lt.Col. Ben-Porat, AMAN, on lessons from Soviet repression of the Prague Spring (quoted in Rabinovich’s ‘The Yom Kippur War’)
Kofman has written quite a bit on the recent #Russia.n movements, and is certainly correct to preach caution and ask if it is different this time re water crisis and spring being a good for war. However, there's three issues were I question the reasoning:
Read 10 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
Feb 26, 2021
Plan for tomorrow 😎 #NextWarPoland #GMTgames #wargaming #boardgames
Table starting to be set. Have houseruled some of the deployments to slightly better portray the current situation. It's not perfect, but current BAP countries and EFP leads are there.
And then we'll go to two questions: do Russia grab islands? As part of the opening move we can land airborne troops on Bornholm and/or Gotland. This gives better sea control, but obviously tie up valuable forces. In the case of Gotland, it drags Sweden into the war.
Read 35 tweets

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