#THREAD
#SSgovt's economic performance & narrative challenge
🔴🔴🔴
Barely 3 weeks in Office, SS govt did great job on economy but struggled on narrative.
1. It immediately convinced #IMF on package & broad contour of the deal.
Only it has 2 give plan 4 staggered...
a/n
.... reduction on subsidies by May 18. a/n

2. SS govt also reached out 2 #KSA: roll over & oil deferred payment. Small prints finalized soon. Solid support guaranteed.

3. #UAE also agreed 2 request of SS govt; details finalized.

4. #China agreed 2 roll over $5 bills.
b/n
5. By end of May most of packages will be inked.
6. Dollar pluctuation is normal, will revert back to Rs185 by end of June when economy stablised.

But SS govt takes battering on narrative front as follow:
1. #IshaqDr vs #MiftahIsmael statements create confusion.

c/n
2. Why govt team do not highlight these efforts to calm markets?
3. Why govt does not have media reps w/ facts on economy to call out PTI 4 false statistics?
4. Govt facing blood bath in social media: #PTI changes narrative every 4th day before they are proved wrong.
d/n
No doubt PM @CMShehbaz will stabilise economy by June end at times of next budget but he needs a shake up of media team 2 counter #PTI propaganda on economy.
🔴🔴🔴
Perception is everything. New realities need 2 be tackled in new ways.
End
"@threadreaderapp unroll"

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jan Achakzai / جان اچکزئی

Jan Achakzai / جان اچکزئی Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Jan_Achakzai

May 26, 2020
THREAD:

#China-#India stand-off at Laddakh & consequences 4 #Pakistan

What I think of new tension?

🇨🇳’s move into #Laddakh & establishing a hold over Galwan river valley comes after 🇮🇳 coerced Nepal by encroaching it’s border territory & reviving Kalapani dispute.

1/
China says that #India actually encroached in its territory. The similar holding over of river valley led to 1962 war between India and China.

What strategic compulsion weighed in behind the Chinese move?

A) What immediate reasons?

2/
1. 🇮🇳 ’s aggressive behaviour re Nepal reviving Kalapani dispute, indirectly implicated 🇨🇳-es interest.

2. Post Aug 5 annexation of IOK w/ 🇮🇳-n intention 2 turn Laddakh into union territory rattled 🇨🇳 that 🇮🇳 is materially changing status of th region contested by🇨🇳& 🇵🇰.

3/
Read 15 tweets
May 25, 2020
THREAD—#Israel & UAE thaw

🇦🇪’s Itehad Airways’ first flight 2 🇮🇱 created a stir in ME & even finding traction in Turkey & 🇵🇰 w/ trolls running #boycottUAE trends.

But many fails 2 understand geo-political motives of warming ties of #GCC w/ 🇮🇱.

Here is how it prompted ?
1/
(a) Antipathy towards Iran is “cliched” convergence but 🇦🇪 & 🇸🇦 feel shaky when

(b) Iran's #IRGC is upping the ante:

(i) 🇮🇷 pushes 2 populate UAE islands occupied by Tehran;
(ii) succeeds 2 make look US forces vulnerable by “harassment”;
(iii) assertively claiming....2/
....."ownership" of the Gulf.
(iv) making new claims, re Bahrain & Kuwait;
(v) US retrenched it’s leadership when 🇮🇷 sponsored an attack on KSA’s installation.

2 big obstacles 4 GCC 2 normalise ties w/ #Israel were:
(A) ground swell public opinion &
(B) Palestinian cause

3/
Read 10 tweets
May 14, 2020
Thread:

Losing Afghanistan 2 Indian play?

Here I am flagging 🇮🇳’s role becoming hurdle 2 peace.

1. #US has by-default created “ strategically permissive environment” in West Asia allowing #India 2 push through its destabilising role.
2. 🇮🇳 meticulously spoiled

(a) the momentum 4 Intra-Afghan dialogue in the wake of US-#Taliban deal;

(b) activated state & non-state actors;

(c) first ditched Dr Abdullah 4 Ghani 2 scuttle former’s chance, (1), to win elections .....
3.
....(ie, by having engineered results via NDS/RAW as even US flagged its concerns), (2), to preempt his joining Govt as proposed by US.

Against this backdrop,
(i) pointed reaction of Abdullah camp (ie holding anti-🇮🇳-n protests across 🇦🇫 & burning 🇮🇳-n flags) followed &....
Read 9 tweets
May 11, 2020
TREAD! Pakistan-Iran fencing?

Why fencing #Iran border w/ Pakistan is a big challenge for Islamabad, not due to money but for the following reason—I am delineating below:

There are 4 issues related but distinct....

1/
1. Narco route
2. 🇮🇷’s grey economy
3. Human trafficking
4. Border economy

I ll address narco issue first:
Illicit drug trade originates from #Afghanistan; is worth up 2 $70B yearly in #UK streets; up to $3 bill is invested back in region rest end up in western banks. 2/
Porous border is used 4 narco logistics/route.

Drugs cartel funds terrorism, & warlordism & mafias in border regions of 🇦🇫, 🇵🇰 & 🇮🇷; they have influence in weak state like 🇦🇫 & desperate elements in structures in Iran 🇮🇷 who do not want stringent border between 🇮🇷 & 🇵🇰.

3/
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(