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Nooresh Merani Profile picture
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Jun 20 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
Google Trends - A Thread

1) Bear Market - Nearing 2020 Highs

#bearmarket
2) Recession -

Reaching previous peak levels of 2008/2020

#recession
3) Stock Market Crash - Yet to gain significance traction

#stockmarketcrash
4) Inflation - Gone through the roof

#inflation
5) Interest Rates - Reaching peak popularity levels

#interestrates
6) Covid - No more significant?

#covid
7) Chip Shortage - Ain't a worry now?

#chipshortage

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More from @nooreshtech

Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Jan 3
#NiftyCalculator #Thread Interesting Observations -

Top 5 stocks – Reliance, Infosys, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, HDFC, = 41.49% of Nifty.

Top 10 stocks constitute 58.39% of Nifty

Top 20 stocks constitute 77.07% of Nifty

HDFC Twins together constitutes 14.71% of Nifty
Reliance is the top weight at 10.77%, followed by HDFC Bank at 8.54%. 20% of the Index.

Reliance + HDFC Twins = 26.09% of Nifty (Hope you get why Nifty does not depict GDP. 26% of India GDP not equal to Reliance +HDFC)

Bottom 24 stocks have less than 1% weight
Sectoral Observations

Banks and Financials are now reduced to 35-36% from 37-38% a few months back. It has seen a bottom of 33.16 in July 2020.

Oil and Gas from 16.18% in July 2020 to 12.31%
Power at just 1.7%. After a long time Media at 0. Metals from 2.15 to 3.34%
Read 4 tweets
Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Nov 13, 2020
#TweetStorm - Nifty up But Stocks are Down !!. Time for Stocks to Catch Up in coming years. Read the Full Post on this link - nooreshtech.co.in/2020/11/nifty-… Another Post - March 24th 2020 nooreshtech.co.in/2020/03/equity…
2020 move did some things very differently. No euphoric move in end of 2020 like 2007. The fall has seen no relief rallies of any sort. If this is the case the historical expectation of a sideways consolidation & a retest may not happen. So the recovery can even be very ferocious
Nifty was at 10730 on 15th January 2020.

Nifty made a top on 20th Jan 2020 hitting a high of 12430.

Nifty made a bottom on 24th March 2020 hitting a low of 7511.

Nifty made a new high on 2 days back on 9th Nov 2020 and is today (11th Nov 2020) trading at new highs at 12749
Read 15 tweets
Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Oct 5, 2020
This #TweetStorm is just an itch to write about ITC Limited which everyone has spoken about :). Pardon me if its totally useless. 1) FII shareholding in December 2016 Peaked at 20.89%. Reducing Every Quarter since then !! Down to 14.6% in June 2020.
2) Mutual Funds have gone from 2.65% to 9.45%. Insurance Companies mainly - LIC,GIC etc continue to own 20-22% in the same period. Even SUUTI has gone down from 11.13% to 7.94%.
3) #Retail below 2 lakh capital has gone from 8.73% to 9.2% to 9.47% in last 2 qtrs and no of #shareholders from 10.57 lakhs to 12.7 lakhs to 14.61 lakhs between Dec 2019 to June 2020. Should be more higher in Sept 2020 !!
Read 5 tweets
Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Sep 13, 2020
The big implication of new rules in #multicap fund category by SEBI. An impromptu attempt at rambling up some thoughts. Would love comments and feedback no how to benefit from this trend. Some points i cover in tweets below 1/5
1) 18-20% of the Total Equity AUM is in Multicap Funds - Suddenly the rules of the game have changed. Will lead to merger and other creative solutions but not mad buying of smallcaps.
#FunFact - There are 35 schemes of #MultiCap Fund and 29 of #LargeCap & 27 of #LargeandMidcap Fund. #Multicap AUM = 1.46 lakh cr. #Largecap = 1.48 lakh cr. The regulator has a problem in principle and true to label issues. Why did they not notice till now? Source -AMFI site
Read 5 tweets
Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Sep 12, 2020
A quick take on new #SEBI Norms. 1/NLike it was mentioned yesterday - Lot of things can happen. 1) A Multi-Cap Fund may merge itself with a Large & Midcap Fund or any other category. 2) Outflows from Multi-Cap Funds to #LargeCaps which reduces the theoretical buying in #smallcaps
2/N 3) Close the Fund which may not be viable. Nobody likes losing AUM. 4) Another creative Solution or Loop. The Fact is #Smallcaps cannot digest 5000 Cr of Liquidity Gush, forget about 27000 cr. But all the solutions will lead to AUM leakage which AMCs may not like !!
N/N The LargeCap Polarization got accelerated by the categorization of Stocks by SEBI. Now that stance is shifting and that is where a lot of MFs will slowly start re-aligning to Smallcaps selectively. Bottomline -Do not go rush buy or sell stocks coz of the Circular!
Read 4 tweets
Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Sep 11, 2020
#TweetStorm - A Quick take on the new #SEBI circular. 1) The new rule states that a Multicap Fund needs to have 25% in #LargeCaps, 25% in #Midcaps. 25% in #Smallcaps. This needs to be aligned before January 2021.
Data Source - MoneyControl 2) The Total AUM of the Multi-Cap Funds is 1.53 lakh crores. 25% allocation to #Smallcap =38300 crores. Current Allocation= 11240 Crores. Potential Buying or Difference to be Aligned = 27062 crores.
3) Why is everyone going mad about it in #Whatsapp and #Twitter. Total Market Cap of 251st to 500th Company is 9 lakh crores. 27000 Cr implies 3% of Equity. In many of smallcaps promoters own 50-75%. That's like 10% of float buying theoretically. Source - AMFI.
Read 5 tweets

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