Kyle Orton Profile picture
Aug 19 26 tweets 17 min read
Thread: 19 August 2022: Day 177 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
A lot of trepidation in the next hours: #Russia gives every indication of planning something awful at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant today.
A video "surfaced", as they say, yesterday, showing #Finland's Prime Minister, Marin Sanna, partying a few weeks ago in an evening she described as "pretty wild". This has caused some domestic criticism, but difficult to imagine this doing her any serious harm.
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia has used indiscriminate fire from its foothold in Kharkiv Oblast to inflict civilian casualties in #Ukraine's second city, which is about 10 miles from the front. The Russian presence is "relatively light", intended to pin down Ukrainian troops. Image
Dan Rapoport, a Latvian native, stockbroker who made a lot of money in the #Russian market and founded a nightclub in Moscow, recently notable for supporting #Ukraine, was found dead on the pavement in Washington, D.C., on 18 August, apparent suicide. rferl.org/a/russia-inves…
Rapoport was found after apparently jumping to his death from an apartment building. Wife said there was no suicide note. That Rapoport had criticised #Russia's government over Alexey @navalny and #Ukraine is going to raise serious suspicions.
Even for Vladimir Solovyev, this is an epic meltdown.
A rare outbreak of serious domestic criticism for #Ukraine's President Zelensky after the @washingtonpost piece re-highlighting his disbelief that #Russia's invasion was coming, despite #US warnings. Questions raised if more could have been done to prepare washingtonpost.com/world/2022/08/…
#Australia's Senator David Van visited #Ukraine to among other things see the Australian "Bushmasters" in action.
#Estonia's President Alar Karis joining in the volunteer work to prepare camouflage nets for #Ukraine.
Seems #Ukraine's strike on #Russia's Saki Airbase in #Crimea did serious damage to the airpower capacity of Russia's Black Sea Fleet.
"Our brigade commander must be trialled. He needs to be executed, fucking scumbag!" #Russian soldier expecting a #Ukrainian counter-offensive and not exactly pleased with the Russian military leadership.
Another video of #Finland's Prime Minister Sanna Marin out partying a few weeks ago has been leaked.
Amid signals #Russia is planning to stage something at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, Conservative MP and chairman of the Defence Select Committee, Tobias Ellwood, says any "deliberate damage" causing a "radiation leak" should trigger #NATO's Article 5.
Awful images out of Kharkiv, #Ukraine's second city, which the #Russians keep randomly attacking.
Thread on the systematic criminal behaviour of #Russia's forces in #Ukraine
The #US has announced a new $775m arms package for #Ukraine - @AFP
All of #Germany's grovelling and it availed them nought: "#Russian gas deliveries to Europe through the Nord Stream [1] pipeline will cease from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2 for 'maintenance'," Moscow announced today. themoscowtimes.com/2022/08/19/mai…
Aaaaaand Macron is back on the phone with Putin. Waiting to see what concessions the Russians get out of this.
#pt: Sure: "Putin, Macron agree on need for IAEA inspection of Ukraine nuclear plant" france24.com/en/europe/2022…
#Ukraine's President Zelensky thanks the #US for new $775 million aid package, which inc. HIMARS ammunition, 16 Howitzers + artillery rounds, armoured vehicles, Javelins, TOW anti-tank guided missiles, and mine-clearing equipment defense.gov/News/Releases/…
#Russia's Permanent Representative to International Organizations in Vienna saying the quiet part out loud. Image
#pt: In case you were wondering how this #Russian diplomat ended up on t-shirts about pronouncing nonsense. #NAFO Image

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More from @KyleWOrton

Aug 21
Thread: 21 August 2022: Day 179 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
To follow up on the assassination of Aleksandr Dugin's daughter last night: the balance of probability for an assassination in Moscow is always the Russian FSB, possibly with the involvement of organised crime, not the Ukrainian SBU.
#pt: It is not *impossible* to construct a motive for the Ukrainian SBU trying to assassinate Dugin, but the SBU knows what apparently most Westerners do not: that Dugin is not a domestic power player, politically or ideologically, in the Kremlin.
Read 15 tweets
Aug 20
Thread: 20 August 2022: Day 178 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: "only minimal changes" along the front line in the Donbas over "the last week", after some minor #Russian advances in early August. #Ukraine moving on Kherson, increasingly frequent strikes behind the lines in the south are "stressing Russian logistics". Image
Credit to #France's President Macron for this: strongly preparing the French population for a rough winter, necessary to defend their security and values.
Read 38 tweets
Aug 18
Thread: 18 August 2022: Day 176 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia has had "heavy attrition" of its tanks because of a "culture of poor" work with Explosive Reactive Armour (ERA) that "dates back to the First Chechen War in 1994". Failing to "enforce low-level battle discipline" of this kind has marked the war.
#pt: The Russian army, despite the so-called "modernisation", has precious little progress to show from nearly 30 years ago in Chechnya.
Read 42 tweets
Aug 17
Thread: 17 August 2022: Day 175 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: notes the explosions on 16 August in Dzhankoi, home to one of two "most important Russian airfields in #Crimea" and "a key road and rail junction" supplying Russian forces in southern #Ukraine. "The cause ... is not yet clear" 😶
#Russia's state media is upset at the "repressions" of Donald Trump. In a strange segment, Vladimir Solovyov even wondered if "Teflon Don" might not be "[declared] a Russian spy" and if so would #Russia do a prisoner exchange "to bring Trump to Russia?". thedailybeast.com/russian-state-…
Read 31 tweets
Aug 16
Thread: 16 August 2022: Day 174 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's Black Sea Fleet is having to pursue an "extremely defensive posture", keeping vessels close to the Crimean coast after the loss of the flagship MOSKVA, a "significant proportion" of naval combat jets, and Snaks Island. Odesa out of reach. Image
More Nazis involved in Putin's denazification army
Read 37 tweets
Aug 15
Thread: 15 August 2022: Day 173 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update on #Russia's plans to completely conquer Donetsk Oblast in eastern #Ukraine and then stage a referendum to annex the zone to Russia. Image
#Ukraine fighter pilot, Anton Lystopad, recognised in 2019 as the country's top pilot and who had been awarded an Order for Courage by President Zelensky, was killed in combat against #Russia | pravda.com.ua/news/2022/08/1… ImageImageImageImage
Read 42 tweets

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