Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Sep 8 7 tweets 5 min read
NEW: US intel sensed #Russia|n President Vladimir #Putin's growing "sense of destiny & appetite for risk" in the run-up to his invasion of #Ukraine, @CIA Director William Burns tells @BillingtonCyber

Credits good intel with helping to bolster Western soli
NEW: "I would not underestimate the capability or capacity of the #Ukrainians" per @CIA's Burns

Putin betting he can wear down the West - which Burns says "is as wrong about that bet as he was profoundly wrong in his assumptions" prior to this past February
.@CIA's Burns warns the best way to lose good intelligence "is to be reckless how you handle it", talking about carefully declassifying some secrets to push back vs #Russia prior to invasion of #Ukraine
"Declining powers can be at least as disruptive as rising ones" per @CIA's Burns, citing #Russia
US adversaries are using #artificialintelligence, #machinelearning to mine data on the US, sometimes digging back through years of data, per @CIA's Burns

Also notes US under constant surveillance
"It's not like terrorism is going to go away" per @CIA's Burns "We can't afford to neglect that challenge"

"We've made considerable progress" since 9/11. noting capabilities demonstrated by strike vs #alQaida's Ayman al-Zawahiri in #Kabul
Wider trend lines w/#climatechange, #foodinsecurity also impacting decisions US will have to make, per @CIA's Burns

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More from @jseldin

Sep 9
New: #Ukraine bracing for new round of #Russia|n cyber attacks targeting its energy, financial sectors, Deputy Minister of Digital Transformation Georgii Dubynskyi tells reporters
"We saw this scenario before-before the winter they [#Russia] are trying to find a way how to undermine, how to defeat our energy system & how to make circumstances even more severe for Ukrainians" per Dubynskyi
#Russia also trying to employ "precision" #cyberattacks

"Using social engineering & using some traitors...so it's also possible #hybrid attacks as well" per Dubynskyi
Read 11 tweets
Sep 9
#Russia-#Ukraine - "This is the world's 1st #cyber war" #Ukraine Minister of Digital Transformation @FedorovMykhailo tells @BillingtonCyber via prerecorded video

"We repel 99% of #Russia|n attacks on a daily basis" he says
#Ukraine has a vision for an "army of drones" - "Drones are a game-changer" per @FedorovMykhailo

Fedorov says future wars will be fought more with drones than w/people
"#Ukraine has proved to be one of the world's strongest #cyber states" per @FedorovMykhailo, while also asking for continued support in a prerecorded video presentation for @BillingtonCyber
Read 14 tweets
Sep 8
#Election2022 interference not just virtual anymore - "What we're starting to see is potentially physical security issues" at the polling place even, @CISAgov's @KimWyman12 tells @BillingtonCyber
#Election2022 facing supply shortage challenges

"Paper of that sort [used for US elections] is in high demand worldwide...capacity is low" per @smartmatic Dir of Global Services, Certification
.@smartmatic's Smith also worried about #disinformation
Read 10 tweets
Sep 8
NEW: Pentagon has more work to do to better respond to #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine, per new @USGAO National Security Snapshot

@DeptofDefense "could better plan & prioritize European posture & deterrence through the European Deterrence Initiative..."
"... including estimating long-term costs to sustain prepositioned equipment and other infrastructure
projects" per @USGAO
Other areas @DeptofDefense could improve, per @USGAO:

"DOD does not have effective metrics to measure readiness in each of the five warfighting domains"

and

"DOD could improve leadership and integration of information operations across the department"
Read 5 tweets
Sep 8
Multiple #Iran cyber actors behind mid-July #cyberattack on #Albania, per @Microsoft Security Threat Intelligence

"Microsoft assessed with high confidence that multiple Iranian actors participated in this attack—with different actors responsible for distinct phases"
Per @Microsoft:

- DEV-0842 deployed the ransomware and wiper malware
- DEV-0861 gained initial access and exfiltrated data
- DEV-0166 exfiltrated data
- DEV-0133 probed victim infrastructure

#Iran-#Albania
"The actors involved in gaining initial access and exfiltrating data in the attack are linked to EUROPIUM, which has been publicly linked to #Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS)" per @Microsoft
Read 5 tweets
Sep 8
"We're now six months into a very tough slog of a war" per @CIA's Burns

"I would not underestimate the capacity or the courage of the #Ukrainians right now..."
"#Putin's bet, I think, is that he's going to be tougher than the #Ukrainians & the #Europeans & the Americans...Europeans facing what's going to be a difficult winter with high energy prices are going to lose resolve" per @CIA's Burns
"#Putin is as wrong about that bet as he was profoundly wrong in his assumptions going back to last February abt the Ukrainian will to resist & the will of the West, of the United States & all of our partners to support the Ukrainians" per @CIA's Burns
Read 6 tweets

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