In yesterday’s #Bundestag debate on 🇩🇪 #tanks (MBTs & IFVs) to 🇺🇦, @OlafScholz defended the indefensible. If he & his party #SPD spent more energy on supporting 🇺🇦 than on finding excuses, the war would look better for 🇺🇦.Let’s parse the excuses 🧵 1/7 politico.eu/article/german…
‘WW3 looming’: it should by now be abundantly clear that #Putin doesn’t need Leopard MBT & Marder IFV deliveries to 🇺🇦 to escalate the war. And, honestly, if we adapt our behaviour after every nuclear threat from the #Kremlin, we should get the white flag ready ASAP. 2/7
‘Coordination w allies; 🇺🇸 also don’t deliver tanks’: 🇺🇸 repeatedly clarified 🇩🇪 should do more & nothing wrong w 🇩🇪 tanks to 🇺🇦. 🇪🇸 wanted to deliver #Leopard2 & was prevented by 🇩🇪. I could imagine no better proof of 🇩🇪 leadership than this project: 3/7 ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/357…
‘🇺🇦 training takes too long’: this is becoming tragicomic, like the 4 stage strategy in ‘Yes, Minister’ (below). If Scholz had approved 88 Leo1 & 100 Marder nearly ready for delivery in May, they would be on the battlefield now. 4/7
Really, 🇺🇦 flexibility & speed, also in handling complex weapons systems, has been notoriously underestimated in 🇩🇪. The #Ringtausch w 🇸🇮, 🇬🇷 & others is a joke. BMP1 are death traps and soon there won’t be any T-72 left so Western systems are needed anyway. Better start asap 5/7
‘Bundeswehr combat readiness jeopardised’: what readiness?? 🥴 - besides, a tank in 🇺🇦 does more for our security from 🇷🇺 than in some Bundeswehr base. Plus, Leo1 MBT & Marder IFV are in depots, not active duty anyway. 6/7
So in yesterday’s Bundestag debate, Scholz managed to kick the can down the road once more. But in a few weeks, he may well forced to move, otherwise there will be a (for him) humiliating majority of #CDUCSU, #Greens & #FDP in favour of delivering. Late, but better than never.7/7

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Roland Freudenstein

Roland Freudenstein Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RoFreudenstein

Apr 6
If #EU security policy is going through a watershed moment, then this should show in our language. Let’s spell it out: We don’t need ‘strategic autonomy’. What EU needs now is strategic responsibility. THREAD 1/7
‘Strategic autonomy’ has always been toxic in most places in #CentralEurope because it smacks of decoupling from the #US. Defenders of SA can claim ‘til they’re blue in the face that decoupling is happening anyway & that autonomy refers also to tech, energy & supply chains. 2/7
The term is tainted, especially in light of #Russia aggression. #US is actually re-pivoting to #EU, & EU is shouldering much more of the defence burden. Any future US administration would have a hard time returning to #Trump 2017. 3/7
Read 9 tweets
Aug 18, 2020
.@GerardAraud I have no problem with analysis. I have a problem w treating geopolitics like a natural science (I understand you even have an ‘observatoire géopolitique’ in 🇫🇷, very telling) as if there was some kind of gravity law about what Russia’s neighbours can & cannot do./2
And I have an even bigger problem with your separation of the analytical from the normative, as if these were 2 equal parts of an equation. The solidarity of democrats is part of real life, for me and apparently a whole lot of other people. /3
As to concrete policies, there are lots of things we can & should do: delegitimise Lukashenka, prepare observation mission for new elections, tougher sanctions, support BY civil society etc. And THEN we can talk to Putin, firmly putting ourselves on the side of Free Belarus /4
Read 4 tweets
Aug 17, 2020
Monsieur Araud. There is a question I’ve been meaning to ask you (and, admittedly, many other French people) for a long time. What exactly do you mean by ‘geopolitical constraints’? That Belarusians (or Ukrainians, Georgians etc.) have less of a right to determine their future /2
...because their country is neighbouring Russia? That they must somehow accept living in a kleptocratic authoritarianism because NATO would risk war with Putin was f push came to shove? Is that what we’re going to ‘discuss with Russia’? Give them a little bit of freedom /3
but let the Kremlin decide their future ‘parce que la géographie, c’est le destin des peuples’, as your ingenious compatriot Napoléon put it? I tell you, If that were true, 1989 would not have happened. If that were true, we would live indeed live in the deterministic world
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(