Will Italy side with #Hungary’s Viktor #Orban & #Poland’s Mateusz #Morawiecki in Europe?
As that’s the most frequent question I get asked, here’s a 🧵
#elezioni2022
As that’s the most frequent question I get asked, here’s a 🧵
#elezioni2022
The incoming Italian government is set to have a special relation with #Orban as Meloni, Berlusconi & Salvini have an excellent relation with him.
They all share a similar worldview, driven by a mix of sovereignity, traditional family and religion. This applies to #Poland too
They all share a similar worldview, driven by a mix of sovereignity, traditional family and religion. This applies to #Poland too
But that’s where similarities stop with #Meloni being pro-Ukraine and Orban pro-Russia (yet Berlusconi and Salvini are also pro-Russian)
On migration Salvini & Orban disagreed in the past but 🇮🇹 likely to stop proposed EU reform
On migration Salvini & Orban disagreed in the past but 🇮🇹 likely to stop proposed EU reform
The prospect of financial conditionality - be it at play not only within NextGen but across the board of EU funding - is set to severely condition not only the composition of the Italian right government but also its future relation with Brussels #Italia
Yet this won’t exclude the incoming Italian government to be ready to threaten its veto power as Viktor #Orban and #Mateusz Morawieck often do, also to prevent the EU from setting precedents, from Art 7 to highly conditional 🇭🇺 recovery plan
As the energy crisis will deepen and with the EU elections approaching the temptation for both #Meloni within ECR and #Salvini within the ID group to side with #Poland and #Hungary might become irresistible #elezioni2022
To sum up, Italy will no longer be a force for good within the EU but a free-riding member state taking - as opposed to giving - as much as it can, and ceasing to contribute to major decision-making.
It will be transactional only, with no room left for solidarity. #italyelection
It will be transactional only, with no room left for solidarity. #italyelection
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