Demonstrations erupted throughout Iran as #MahsaAmini protests entered their fifteenth consecutive day. Keep an eye out for CTP's full update and protest map for more details. #IranProtests#مهسا_امینی
CTP can asses with moderate-to-high confidence that anti-regime protests occurred in at least 20 Iranian cities in 17 provinces on October 1 as of 12:35 EST. Protestors were able to organize demonstrations despite ongoing internet restrictions. #اعتراضات_سراسری
Footage circulating on social media documented protestors chanting a slogan unique to the #MahsaAmini movement: "Woman, Life, Freedom." #زن_زندگی_آزادی
Protestors also chanted lyrics from #ShervinHajipour's viral song "Baraaye," which enumerates popular grievances against the regime. Iranian authorities have reportedly arrested Hajipour.
Anti-regime protests decreased in number across Iran but were significantly more violent in #Tehran. Regime security forces brutally suppressed anti-regime protests at the #SharifUniversity of Technology in Tehran on October 2. 2/7
Social media rumors claimed that state security services are facing significant bandwidth constraints in West Azerbaijan and Kurdistan provinces. 3/7
#Iranian security forces brutally cracked down on anti-regime protests at #SharifUniversity in #Tehran on October 2. Here's what you can expect from CTP's #IranProtests update later today: 1/5
Supreme Leader Ali #Khamenei remains absent and did not make a public appearance or statement on October 2. 2/5
#Sharif University students reported that #Iranian security forces barricaded, shot, and arrested student protestors in #Tehran on October 2. 3/5
#Ukrainian forces will likely capture or encircle #Lyman within the next 72 hours.
#Ukrainian military officials maintained operational silence regarding Ukrainian ground maneuvers in #Kherson Oblast but stated that Ukrainian forces continued to force #Russian troops into defending their positions.
Protests are now occurring in over 93 cities and towns in 31 of #Iran's 32 provinces as of September 25. The regime has violently suppressed protests and sustained casualties among its security forces in recent days. 2/5
#Iranian reporting and statements from senior judiciary and security officials suggest that the regime fears losing its capability to crack down on ongoing unrest. 3/5
Regime power centers are behaving as if succession is either imminent or underway. 2/6
The ongoing #MahsaAmini protests may be challenging the regime’s capability and willingness to crackdown but do not appear close to collapsing the regime. 3/6