#Ethiopia's civil #war finds its origin in the withering & collapse of z ruling party #EPRDF. In a new article, I explore what led to z breakdown of #Africa's biggest party, emphasizing how z process was perceived from z point of view of #TPLF.
#Tigray
muse.jhu.edu/article/866991…
#Tigray
muse.jhu.edu/article/866991…
Comparative research points to both endogamous & exogamous factors contributing to party instability. Differences in local constituencies, ideological outlooks, & policy preferences, as well as variations in ethnopolitical identities, are all factors that may undermine consensus.
Furthermore, the governance structure of the country may also impinge on party stability, because federal models may be more divisive in nature than unitary states.
The article concludes by identifying 4 key factors contributing to z internal power struggle that led to z demise of the EPRDF: disagreements over ideology; disputes over party bylaws, procedures, and practices; contestation over z federal state model; & ...
most importantly, the surge of ethnonationalism with intrinsic territorial ambitions. As #EPRDF's replacement #Prosperityparty contains many of the same contradictions, its life-span is predicted to be considerably shorter than its predecessor.
Z article is part of a special issue on current Ethiopian politics. I was honored to be invited to join this group of excellent #Oromo / Ethiopian scholars to produce this volume, which will form a landmark study in understanding current political & conflict dynamics in #Ethiopia
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