How many of you have seen Putin, his cronies, trolls or useful idiots talking about a multi-polar world where every nation is free to chart its own course free from western domination? Its all hogwash, that is not what he wants. He wants a unipolar world where Russia sits at the
top free to do as it will to anyone, imposing its will, charting their course for them, wiping them out if they resist. There is no part of Russia's foreign policy that says multi-polar via its actions. Putin's only goals have been rebuilding the Russian Empire and making sure he
sat at its head. The true multi-polar world is the one we are witnessing rally to Ukraine. Severla big players like India and China have taking an almost malignant disinterest. Others like Germany and Turkey are trying to play towards the middle to varying degrees. The Votes in
UN show many former colonies taking various approaches. Some have fallen for the lie the Russia is anti-imperialist, while others see in Russia's invasion of Ukraine what their own ancestors faced when a European Empire showed up with guns and a willingness to do #genocide. Then
of course, there are the nations that have rallied to Ukraine. My own country the USA, along with other friends like the UK, Poland, even the tiny Baltic states 190+ nations taking widely divergent views on the war. That about as multi-polar as it gets. Russia has not won a
single vote in the UN. She relies on the fact that the UN as set up cannot override her veto and that the series of losses in the UNGA votes are meaningless because that body has no teeth. Now personally, I'd like to see veto cancel veto and give the non P5 members of the UNSC a
collective veto and let a veto only stand if it wins the vote of vetoes or manages a tie. That however is not the point of my missive. While Putin may want to rebuild the empire and crown himself Czar, things have not gone as planned. His army is wrecked, his navy and air force
are embarrassed. He is reduced to trying to knock out Ukraine's power grid ahead of winter as the only tool left to conduct his #GenocideOfUkrainians. This failure has set up some infighting. First so many generals have been sacked that its likely he does not really have the
support of the officer corps. Whether or not Lapin was fished out of the river the sacking of generals, wrecked of the contractors and murder of conscripts means the stabilizing role of the army in Russian society is probably at low ebb. We know we see 3 figures with private
armies battling it out to be top dog in Putin's ear. Shoigu, Prizorghin and Kadyrov. How long till the snarling turns to teeth and flying fur? Avoid open windows. Mob style violence and government by assassination could be coming. The fact that there are now 3 wannabe poles
vying under Putin's central pole speaks to a much bigger issue coming down the pike. Putin is old and sick and he has no designated successor. Any moment could be his last and then like Stalin's death the empire is thrown into chaos. The Soviets got lucky with Khrushchev.
it could have ended up being Beria for example. Today's Russia does not have a stable of august men to step in. Its why bit players like Kadyrov are even making moves. At some point Putin will die and the lack of successor will usher in a new Russia: for good or for ill unknown.
when that day arrives people like @ford_nik and other professional Russia watcher are going to have their hands full. The best way for us to get from here to there is too play on Putin's biggest weaknesses: his age and health. By fully support Ukraine we keep the stress hormones
up. Each #HIMARS built in #Arkansas and sent to Ukraine is one more grey hair, one more straw on that camels back. Vote by people like @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill causes that much more frustration and anger. each village, town and city liberated by the
#ukrainecounteroffensive pushes him just a little closer to the edge and adds more heat to the infighting developing. Its all inter-connected and it all gives him heart burn. battling underlings, battlefield defeats, his "diplomats" being ridiculed at every turn by #NAFO #FELLAS,
every dollar or euro of aid provided by governments to Ukraine or donated to charities like @MriyaAid, @3xR_team, @UkraineAidOps, @Teoyaomiquu... Every person who battles the dis-info and searches out good fact based information like found on the @MriyaReport and of course the
impending sense of doom as Ukrainian units like the @georgian_legion, 93rd MB or @StarskyUA's rapid reaction unit rout Russian troops closer and closer to the Feb 24 borders all adds to the stress of a broken old man. Fingers crossed the fuse pops soon. I don't like wishing ill
on anyone, but he is a genocider and a tyrant. The dying won't stop until he does. Until Ukraine Wins On Ukraine's Terms: Slava Ukraini! #RussiaIsATerroristState #RussiaIsLosing #russianRetreat #UkraineWar
@mfa_russia <--- still losing because this is a multi-polar world.

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More from @JBelcourt73

Nov 3
I pointed out yesterday that if #Ukrainian claims are true, #Russia is losing a brigade's worth of troops a day now. 800-1000 dead and x2 (my estimate based on shitty Russian medical support) wounded, missing, captured and deserted. This will add up to about a corps's worth
of troops removed from the Russian OOB every 10-15 days. That is not sustainable not even if many of the troops are in fact (and likely) dragooned Ukrainians. Russia set out to mobilize 300,000 men. The current loss rate will exhaust that cadre by December. Given how poorly the
first mobilization went, the chances of a second are poor. The next wave of reinforcements Russia can look forward too is the spring cadre of kids reaching their majority and subject to conscription. There is some room here if Russia can find some efficiency they could increase
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Nov 2
Hubris, such an interesting word, and something we are all subject to fall victim too. famously there is Russia's hubris that they could take Kyiv in 3 days.... America laughed in "Afghani" at that one. Both Russia and America fell into the same trap. How do you beat a people who
don't want to be beaten. The US tried propping up existing tribal structures and singing kumbaya with high explosive chorus. We all saw how that went. Russia has been trying a much more ancient approach. A combination of kill the #Ukrainians by the bushel load, use mass rape,
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Read 29 tweets
Oct 31
I woke up to more news about Russian missile strikes on civilian targets in Ukraine. This of course is the norm but given that Russia has announced its intent to blockade world food supplies again, the never-ending energy blackmail and the hubris in calling the strike on the
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Read 12 tweets
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Let me see if I get this right. For 9 months the #Russian Navy's #BlackSeaFleet has been a primary element of terror attacks on #Ukrainian cities, power stations and transportation nets with the express goal of causing as much death and harm to Ukrainian civilians as possible.
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Read 19 tweets
Oct 29
Obviously the second most important news of the day so far is the strike on Sevastopol. Something big happened
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In particular that the city murdering terrorship Admiral Makarov may have been hit. This ship has been reported hit multiple times so I am wary, but man I want it too be true. This ship's only function is the infliction of terror on the Ukrainian population. It is crewed by
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Oct 28
Wow, #Putin is pulling out most of the stops as he begs and instructs his trolls and willing idiots to beg for a ceasefire. Its duplicitous for the very reason I use most rather than all the stops. If Putin really wanted to see the dove or peace flying again, he would tell his
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Read 22 tweets

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