Petro Burkovskyy Profile picture
Dec 3, 2022 9 tweets 7 min read Read on X
How #Ukrainian people see the victory, what they are doing to achieve it, do they understand the limits of the possible in war, how do they see #Ukraine’s dependence on partners and allies.
A 🧵based on results of the several polls conducted by @dem_initiatives in 2022:
1. Nation is united than ever before to complete the mission of survival.
Amid heavy fighting in Donetsk region, before successful offensives in Kharkiv and Kherson region majoritu of Ukrainians expressed strong faith in victory (beginning of August 2022)
2. Russian missile attacks cannot break this faith.
The poll in #Mykolaiv (late August -early September) after five months of daily bombardments most residents showed confidence that #UkrainianArmy will liberate #Kherson
So, we can suggest that 🇷🇺 missile attacks won't succeed
3. On the personal level Ukrainians are ready to make huge sacrifices to achieve victory in war.
In February 2022, before invasion, 46% said they will join #UkrainianArmy or volunteer forces or provide non-lethal aid to Army.
By the end of October 2022 this number grew to 59%❗️
4. #Ukrainians do not accept any compromises or negotiations that limit nation's sovereignty: reject NATO, cede Crimea or Donbas to #Russia
Before the war, there were 43% of respondents who were against compromises to prevent the war.
5. After five months of war, amid heavy fighting and partial retreat in #Donbas, only 19% of Ukrainians were ready to concessions to stop the war, while 55% looked for the victory and liberation of all territories.
20% wanted to see collapse of #russiaisateroriststate
6. Can #RussiaUkraineWar change it course due to 🇷🇺 missile attacks against energy infrastructure?
No, it cannot! To the contrary, survey in #Mykolaiv showed that people become more defiant and determined to achieve victory.
Nationwide poll in October confirmed this point
7. At the same time, Ukrainians understand that the victory is impossible without western economic and military aid.
However, the same opinion is shared in all Central European nations. globsec.org/sites/default/…
It means that sustainable peace solution demands Ukraine to join NATO
8. Finally, 87% of Ukrainians expect #American and #European statements and actions to tackle war crimes, crimes against humanity, aggression and crime of #GenocideOfUkrainians which #Russia openly started on 10 October 2022 with missile attacks against critical infrastructure.

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More from @PetroBurkovskyi

Nov 30, 2022
New fresh report from #Kherson on methods and goals of real #FSB work in the Ukrainian occupied territories. Must read. First hand from man who survived. Thanks to @HromadskeUA @Hromadske . Before they translate into English, here are key points, 🧵:
1/ Tortures and mock executions are routine and main methods of recruiting people. It seems that FSB operatives are working for statistics which they report to Moscow and which indicate their "efficiency". It means they have huge deficit of real supporters to expand info network
2/ Ukrainian communications, mobile and #Telegram have been monitored for some time before invasion especially in the border regions, and totally after occupation. It's a serious compromise of #Telegram security and confidentiality. People get killed and tortured 'cause of that.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 20, 2022
News about conscription campaign in #russiaisaterrorisstate (based on analysis of the local&regional media): 🇷🇺 sources stopped open publishing of numbers and reporting about achievements. In a number of regions there are more reports about punishing draft evasion. Details in🧵:
1. Kursk region (bordering 🇺🇦): recruitment campaign failed, 15 days before its end only 50% of new conscripts were sent to army.
2. Vladimir region (heartland, proper 🇷🇺): chief military commissioner revealed: no one want to serve in airborne assault troops to be sent to Ukraine
3. Ryazan (heartland, proper 🇷🇺): military draft school and college graduates right after ceremonies without giving them chance to take diplomas, evaders are threatened with detention.
4. S.Peterburg (heartland, proper 🇷🇺): communal workes are forced to spy for young conscripts.
Read 6 tweets
May 30, 2022
DIF conducted first F2F representative poll in 11 regions of Ukraine (May 7-15). 1,000 respondents, representing adult population (age, sex, type of settlement). Margin of error 2.2%. Funded by John Fell Oxford University Fund. Below are pictures with key results. 🧵
After 90 days of war more Ukrainians want to join EU... Image
and join NATO! Most people do not believe in other "security guarantees" and neutral status! Image
Read 10 tweets

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