In 2022, Russia’s war in Ukraine overshadowed much of global politics and other conflicts exacted a high toll, with the number of people fleeing violence reaching a new high.
But there’s also been good news!
Here are @CrisisGroup's 10 reasons to be hopeful in 2023 ⬇️
1️⃣ The deal between 🇪🇹Ethiopia's government and Tigray leaders could end one of the world’s bloodiest conflicts and offer relief to millions in northern Ethiopia. Plenty could still go wrong, but any lull in the horrific violence is good news.
2️⃣ After 3 years of tension, 🇨🇴 Colombia and 🇻🇪Venezuela finally restored one of Latin America’s most important bilateral relations, providing opportunities to address ongoing security and humanitarian issues at the border.
3️⃣ Despite previous political violence, the most contested presidential election in🇧🇷Brazil’s recent history went relatively smoothly, and the transition between new president Lula da Silva and his predecessor Jair Bolsonaro has been peaceful.
4️⃣ In🇸🇩Sudan, civilian political parties and a variety of other groups signed a "political framework" deal with the military to pave the way for a new civilian government and end the political impasse, although a tough road lies ahead before a new government can be formed.
5️⃣ In🇰🇪Kenya, peaceful and credible elections backed by strong institutions cemented the country’s regional standing. Domestic challenges abound, notably the economy, but Kenya still finds the bandwidth to push for peace in #Ethiopia and the #DRC.
6️⃣ In the🇵🇭Philippines, after months of uncertainty, the new President Marcos has committed to completing the peace process in Muslim Mindanao. While hurdles remain, there is hope that the newly created Bangsamoro autonomous region will finally find lasting peace and stability.
7️⃣ A display of unity between 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the Emir of 🇶🇦Qatar during the #WorldCup, each wearing the colors of the other, is a positive step toward ending the diplomatic crisis between the two Gulf countries.
8️⃣ Although 🇺🇸-🇨🇳 tensions still cast a long shadow over East Asian security, the November meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping led to the resumption of important diplomatic channels that can help prevent the rivalry from turning into conflict.
9️⃣ The results of the 🇺🇸U.S. midterm elections eased fears about democratic backsliding, as a number of prominent candidates who denied or raised doubts about the outcome of the 2020 presidential election were defeated in key battleground states.
🔟Multilateralism muddles along. Despite bitter Ukraine debates, big powers still use the 🇺🇳UN to manage other crises. An Indonesia-hosted G20 meeting agreed on a declaration on concerns like food prices and a statement warning against nuclear attacks.
Rebuilding trust and redressing bilateral tensions will take time.
Coordination in health, security, trade, consular and other matters is vital to protecting public well-being, especially of #Venezuelan migrants and refugees in #Colombia. [2/6] crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
Negotiations with the #ELN, which restarted on 21 November, will depend to an extent on support from #Venezuela’s government, which is a guarantor and host of the talks but may be reluctant to terminate its partnership with the rebels. [3/6] crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
⛽️2. In mid-September, the G9 gang group blocked @TVarreux in #PortAuPrince, the country's main oil terminal. For 2 months, fuel could only be found in the informal market, where the price per gallon exceeded $30 USD (5,000 gourdes).
🚔3. On 3 November @PrimatureHT announced that @pnh_officiel had recovered @TVarreux. Although distribution to stations was restored days later, the gangs still control transportation routes and hinder the supply of fuel in the north and south of the country.
Russia’s attack on Ukraine challenges the #OSCE’s viability as an organisation built to promote cooperative security arrangements between Russia and the West.
The situation is quite dire: the war has reinforced political blockages and upended #OSCE’s field operations in #Ukraine.
Some observers predict the organisation’s demise, citing its inability to promote security in Europe.
“If something changes U.S. policy on the war in #Ukraine it’s not going to be pressure from Congress, it’s going to be events on the ground,” argues @OlyaOliker.
“We’ve already seen criticism from Republicans that the current administration has been ‘weak’ on #China,” says @amanda_hsiao.
The election represents a triumph of the far-right, with three ultra-conservative parties forming the winning coalition. The outcome will see former PM @Netanyahu return to power in spite of his ongoing trial for corruption.
The election results are the culmination of a steady increase in religiosity and a growing rightward shift in #Israel society over the last two decades.
50% of climate-affected countries are also impacted by violent conflict. Yet countries who suffer from this deadly combination receive less funding than conflict-free ones.
Vital that leaders at #COP27 rectify this imbalance.
“When funding arrives it’s often in the form of loans. This is troubling as climate-affected countries who also experience conflict are under high levels of debt,” says @AndrewCiacci twitter.com/i/spaces/1lPJq…