I’ve always believed that one of the greatest benefits that Twitter provides to foreign influence operations like Russia in 2016 is “narrative seeding” & pushing the narrative needle among journalists & social media influencers. #osint#RussiaGate#MuellerReport#disinfo#infosec
NYU @CSMaP_NYU and its authors are also trying to push back on the right-wing narrative that continues to be ubiquitous in RW circles that the Kremlin’s efforts at interfering with our 2016 elections had no effect. The the narrow scope of their research did NOT conclude that
Even yesterday on multiple large right-wing Twitter spaces the NYU study was being touted as proof Russian interference in our election in 2016 was a hoax…their #RussiaGate. A narrative that they have pushed for yrs despite overwhelming evidence from #MuellerReport & researchers
One only needs to look at how the attitudes of Republicans and the Republican Party has dramatically shifted in just the past decade towards being significantly MORE anti-#NATO and more pro-Russia. These pro-Kremlin shifts didn’t happen by accident. #InfoOps#psyops#RussiaGate
Here is our newest thread from yesterday that gets into more of the specific details and caveats of why this NYU study on Russian IRA Twitter trolls during 2016 was never likely to find anything significant … #Russiagate
Besides the acknowledged narrow scope of the new NYU #disinfo study one of the biggest issues IMHO with the study was the utilization of voter survey data. The issues targeted by the Kremlin was much more nuanced than voter survey data available 2 the authors.. AFTER THE FACT 1/4
This was no fault of the authors given they had to do a retrospective study. The authors did find subtle shifts (but not statistically significant) and if you looked at the questions that would have been most relevant to the Kremlin ... these pro-Kremlin shifts were largest. 2/4
Important nuanced questions that would not likely have been in most voter survey data collected prior to the 2016 election & appeared to be important in the targeting by the Kremlin would have been below (I'm sure there are others). Chinese tariffs & Obamacare... not so much 3/4
Rosalie is more kind to this study than I will likely be (still reading it). But her assessment is spot on. The questions they asked & tools they used gave them an answer. Problem is its not definitive & doesn't advance our understanding of whether foreign influence #InfoOps work
For example I could argue, with lots of empirical data, that the attitudes of Republicans towards NATO and Putin / Russia HAVE absolutely shifted significantly towards the Kremlin's favor ..exactly as the Kremlin has wanted. Neither of these narratives were looked at in the study
Trying to determine effectiveness within the aggregate of the whole social mediasphere is of course going 2b extremely difficult. Like with some effective cyber attacks u flood the zone (white noise) so that the very small very significant target actions are nearly imperceptible
So this is a super interesting line of questioning of General Michael Flynn. Does anyone know what was written in this letter … that may or may not be a forgery?
Appears to all be related 2 the "Enemies of the People" campaign back in 2020. A number of us at the time thought with moderate confidence that it was a Russian operation. Turns out it was Iranian with likely a Russian assist. Don't remember the letter
BREAKING: There are at least 2 separate hacking campaigns going on & focusing in on the #Twitter blue checkmark verification process. One appears to be #phishing based and another far more nefarious .. and possibly a state actor using Twitter DMs. More shortly. Be alert #infosec
All political candidates running & in office are typically Twitter verified (blue checkmark). Most major journalists are as well. This is a HUGE target 4 a #cyberattack by a nation state actor. This campaign which is still under the radar is very worrisome
Liz @lizthegrey has done greaat work on this. Its not clear how widespread this is but it has some very concerning network indicators. And its significantly more sophisticated than the phishing email that is going around. #infosec#phishing#cybersecurity#malware#Election2022
Its even worse than this now. Fake 911 dispatches have been crested and circulated. Its a firehose of disinformation to make the obvious right-wing political violence towards the Pelosi’s appear to be anything else. #disinfo#Election2022
This is the perfect meme for all the @GOP politicians who refuse to condemn this political violence against Paul Pelosi and Nancy Pelosi. Exactly how they couldnt condemn the attempted coup on #Jan6th after they were called out.
So the #FoxNews stories around the Pelosi assault suspect seem to be very conveniently neglecting to mention a very easy to find piece of information … that Oxane Taub or Gypsy Taub as she is better known is Russian and has made numerous trips back to Russia. Weird …