The #Iranian regime has apparently failed to take measures to protect schools following 46 separate reports of chemical poisonings on March 1. Here's what else you need to know today from CTP and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
#مسمومیت_دانشآموزان Image
The regime is taking short-term measures to address economic grievances that will likely exacerbate #Iran’s economic crisis in the long run. Image
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir #Abdollahian gave an interview with #CNN on March 1 likely in an attempt to convince the United States to return to the suspended nuclear negotiations.
@Bloomberg reported that #Iran is seeking to obtain S-400 air defense systems from #Russia, citing insider sources.
#Iraq’s Parliamentary Security and Defense Committee traveled to Diyala to discuss “security breaches” likely in response to the February 20 massacre of Sunni civilians.
#Turkish forces reportedly killed two Popular Mobilization Force (PMF) affiliated commanders in northern Sinjar district, Iraq on February 27 and March 1.

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More from @criticalthreats

Mar 5
Reports suggest that chemical poisonings occurred in 116 separate schools--primarily girls' schools--in #Iran today. It’s difficult to imagine a scenario wherein the regime isn’t complicit in failing to protect these children. Here’s why: (1)
#مسمومیت_دانشآموزان Image
Officials have blamed the poisonings on foreign actors. Others have suggested the attacks were the work of domestic groups who either aimed to punish girls sympathetic to the #Mahsa_Amini movement or sought to discourage girls from going to school. (2)

reuters.com/world/middle-e…
It's unclear why--if foreign actors are indeed behind ongoing poisonings--the regime has not deployed the surveillance and security capabilities that it used to violently suppress protests during the #Mahsa_Amini movement to protect Iranian girls. (3)
Read 12 tweets
Mar 5
NEW | #Russian forces appear to have secured a sufficient positional advantage to conduct a turning movement against certain parts of #Bakhmut but have not yet forced Ukrainian forces to withdraw and will likely not be able to encircle the city soon.

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
The #WagnerGroup reportedly opened at least three new recruitment centers at #Russian sports clubs between March 2 and 4, possibly to augment Wagner’s recruitment base after losing access to prisoner recruits. Image
Russian forces reportedly continued offensive operations near #Svatove on March 4. Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 4
Prominent Sunni cleric Moulana #Abdol_Hamid suggested that the #Iran regime may be responsible for or complicit in the recent chemical attacks on schoolgirls across the country. Today's Iran Update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… (1/6) Image
Security forces sustained increased pressure against Abdol Hamid and his supporters for the second consecutive week in #Zahedan, which could fuel further sectarian tensions. (2/6)
President Ebrahim #Raisi is expanding his efforts to deflect blame for internal crises onto Iran’s foreign enemies rather than taking personal accountability. (3/6)
Read 6 tweets
Mar 4
NEW | Ukrainian forces appear to be setting conditions for a controlled fighting withdrawal from parts of #Bakhmut. Read today's update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… (1/4) Image
Russian authorities continued efforts to portray Russia as the only safe operator of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP), likely to constrain the IAEA presence at the ZNPP and compel the de facto recognition of Russian ownership of the ZNPP. (2/4) Image
Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line. (3/4) Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 3
The #Kremlin accused #Ukraine of conducting a border incursion in #Bryansk Oblast, #Russia, on March 2 — a claim that #Ukrainian officials denied. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/5 Image
#Russian forces continued limited ground attacks northeast of #Kupyansk and offensive operations around #Kreminna. 2/5 Image
#Russian forces continued offensive operations around #Bakhmut, along the western outskirts of #Donetsk City, and in western Donetsk Oblast. 3/5 Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20
NEW | The major phase of Russian offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast is underway, & Russia likely lacks sufficient uncommitted reserves to dramatically increase the scale or intensity of the offensive this winter. The latest from CTP & @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
Russian forces continued offensive operations northwest of Svatove and near Kreminna. Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces are strengthening frontline positions west and northwest of Kreminna. (2/4)
Russian forces likely secured marginal gains in the northern suburbs of Bakhmut and in the eastern outskirts of the city. Russian forces reportedly continued offensive operations along the western outskirts of Donetsk city and around Vuhledar. (3/4)
Read 4 tweets

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