ISW Profile picture
Mar 11 6 tweets 5 min read
#Russian Commissioner on Children’s Rights, Maria Lvova-Belova, confirmed that the Russian government is using a variety of schemes to deport #Ukrainian children to #Russia in a comment apparently meant to disprove Western allegations of the illegality of these actions. 🧵(1/6)
2/ In a March 10 Telegram post, Lvova-Belova accused the West of manufacturing fear regarding the deportation and forced adoption of Ukrainian children and claimed that children came to occupied areas of Ukraine and Russian territory “voluntarily” & can return to their families.
3/ Lvova-Belova admitted that #Russian authorities have taken children from #Kherson, #Zaporizhia, and #Kharkiv oblasts to “sanatoriums” and health camps in occupied #Crimea and #Krasnodar Krai for “rest” and protection from hostilities.
4/ Lvova-Belova further claimed that 89 “children of #Ukrainian citizens” will be reunited with their families from such programs in #Crimea and #Krasnodar Krai.
5/ An independent investigation by Yale’s Humanitarian Research Lab found that of likely over 14,700 #Ukrainian children deported to #Russia, only 126 returned to #Ukraine as of January 2023.
6/ Lvova-Belova's claim that a certain number of #Ukrainian children are being returned to their families does not negate the reality that the vast majority of abducted children do not return to #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar031023

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Mar 13
#Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed on March 12 that @TheStudyofWar's March 11 report about her comments acknowledging #Kremlin infighting is false and an “informational attack.” 🧵(1/7) isw.pub/UkrWar031223
2/ ISW used accounts from Russian media sources as well as a Russian milblogger (who claimed to be in attendance) to report on #Zakharova’s comments in an altercation with information space entrepreneur Igor Ashmanov during a panel discussion in #Moscow.
3/ A milblogger who attended the event quoted Zakharova as saying that the #Kremlin cannot copy the Stalinist approach of establishing a modern equivalent to the Soviet Information Bureau to centrally control the RU info space due to infighting among unspecified Kremlin “elites.”
Read 7 tweets
Mar 13
The conflict between the #Russian Ministry of Defense and #Wagner shows that different parties in #Putin’s inner circle are competing with one another in potentially zero-sum games that do not further Putin’s overall objectives. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar031223
2/ The #Russian MoD is currently prioritizing eliminating #Wagner on the battlefields in #Bakhmut, which is likely slowing down the rate of advance in the area. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
3/ #Prigozhin saw #Bakhmut as an opportunity to gain leverage on the #Russian MoD and likely in the #Kremlin in pursuit of his own commercial and political aspirations. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
March 12 (UPI) -- Maria Zakharova, a spokesperson for #Russia's Foreign Ministry, has hit back after analysts asserted she had confirmed Kremlin infighting. upi.com/7991678634858 via @UPI
2/ "[ISW] had said in its analysis that Zakharova 'confirmed that there is infighting in the Kremlin inner circle, that the Kremlin has ceded centralized control over the Russian information space, and that Russian President Vladimir #Putin apparently cannot readily fix it.'"
3/ "'Zakharova's statement is noteworthy and supports several of ISW's longstanding assessments about deteriorating #Kremlin regime and information space control dynamics,'" the analysis reads."
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
Mobilization & Force Gen. Updates

1/ Significant numbers of Russian mobilized soldiers & their loved ones continue to publicly complain that Russian & proxy commanders treat them poorly & use them as expendable manpower to patch holes in combat formations isw.pub/UkrWar031123 Image
2/ The Ural regional branch of a Russian state-owned news agency claimed on March 10 that #Russia is preparing a large-scale recruitment campaign set to launch on April 1. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
3/ #Russian authorities continue to struggle to crack down on desertion and resistance to forcible extension of military contracts. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast:

1/ #Russian forces continued ground attacks in and around #Bakhmut but did not make any confirmed advances within the city on March 11. #Wagner Group fighters are likely becoming increasingly pinned in urban areas. isw.pub/UkrWar031023 ImageImageImage
2/ #Avdiivka–Donetsk City area

#Russian forces continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka–#Donetsk City frontline on March 11. isw.pub/UkrWar031023 ImageImage
3/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensives towards #Avdiivka itself; in the Avdiivka area near Kamianka (5km NE of Avdiivka), Severne (5km west of Avdiivka), and Tonenke (6km west of Avdiivka)...
Read 7 tweets
Mar 12
#Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova confirmed that there is infighting in the #Kremlin inner circle, that the Kremlin has ceded centralized control over the Russian information space, and that #Putin apparently cannot readily fix it. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
2/ During a panel discussion Zakharova said that the #Kremlin cannot replicate the Stalinist approach of establishing a modern equivalent to the Soviet Information Bureau to centrally control #Russia’s internal information space due to fighting among unspecified Kremlin “elites.”
3/ #Zakharova’s statement is noteworthy and supports several of ISW’s longstanding assessments about deteriorating #Kremlin regime and information space control dynamics.
Read 5 tweets

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