Here’s some brilliant analysis from Kaiko that I’ve summarised.
A must read thread for crypto traders. 👇🏼
Volumes - Amid last weeks broad market rally, #Crypto trade volumes reached their highest level since the FTX collapse.
On 14 March, trade volumes on the 18 most liquid centralised exchanges rose to $51bn, hitting 4-month highs.
Liquidity - despite the rising volumes, liquidity remains thin.
Aggregate market depth for BTC-USD and BTC-USDT pairs has hit 10-month lows.
Market depth dropped even lower than levels seen in the immediate aftermath of FTX, likely due to the closure of major on-ramp banks for crypto markets.
Kaiko looked at 20 centralised exchanges to see the usage of stablecoins vs fiat. Stablecoin usage has increased to 78%.
80% of all stablecoin-denominated trades are using #USDT.
Price - Bitcoin is largely outperforming the broader crypto market, best visualised by the BTC to ETH price ratio, which reached its highest level since July 2022. Since March 12,
BTC is up 31% compared with ETH’s 18% gains.
Regulation - With different jurisdictions regulating in different ways, there are opportunities for different countries and therefore currencies.
Can #Europe or #APAC can replace some of the fiat payment rails that have been dismantled in the U.S?
Again looking at the 20 top exchanges, the US still dominates with 47% market share and Korean Won second at 39%.
Weekend Trading - In 2023 so far, volumes were on average 33% lower on weekends relative to weekdays.
This gap varies significantly between exchanges, ranging from 40% on #Gemini and #Kraken to 30% on Coinbase and 24% on #Binance US.
Macro - looking at Bitcoins correlation with traditional assets. #BTC correlation with #Nasdaq is approaching the post FTX low.
BTC correlation with safe-have gold has surged to its highest level since January. #Gold prices jumped by 7.2% in March.
Last week, the Feds balance sheet grew by approx $300bn, due to increased demand by banks for liquidity.
Hope you found this thread useful.
We’re here to help you navigate crypto markets using our combined 38 years experience in macros sales and trading.
Lots of questions on whether recent Fed actions are QE or a “real” liquidity injection and what’s the transmission to risk
TLDR: It’s not QE but it is a real liquidity injection which pushes investors into risk assets
A Thread🧵
1/n
First point. Mechanistically, it’s not QE
QE is effectively an asset swap - bank reserves in return for treasuries - with a monetary policy objective (to lower interest rates across the yield curve)
2/n
The BTFP and discount windows which were tapped for 300bn last week are short term loans which banks pay to access for liquidity
However, this is a real liquidity injection which can push investors further out the “risk curve” in a similar way to QE
Onto the news…In an interview with Bloomberg, Cathie Wood said the current banking crisis, which will only “attract more institutions” to the #BTC market over time.
According to the Wall Street Journal (#WSJ) Coinbase Global (#COIN) told clients on Monday it’s no longer supporting #Signet, the real-time payments network of failed #SignatureBank.
The #Crypto#Fear and #Greed Index has hit its highest index score this year, reaching levels not seen since #Bitcoin posted its all-time high in November 2021.
Signature Bank’s crypto-related deposits will be returned to customers directly, rather than being taken over by a unit of #NewYork Community #Bancorp under a deal announced Sunday.