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OK, let's pause to reflect on some details here.
The PRC🇨🇳 govt is not denying a dire prediction that the #SARSCoV2 #XBB variants have, for the first time, hit #China and will cause a massive epidemic over the next 6-to-8 weeks.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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The PRC🇨🇳 govt is not denying a dire prediction that the #SARSCoV2 #XBB variants have, for the first time, hit #China and will cause a massive epidemic over the next 6-to-8 weeks.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
MORE
2/ Zhong Nanshan is a national hero in China, having led combat against SARS2003. At a biotech conference in Guangzhou today he said:
- #XBB will cause 40 million infections/week by the end of May, before peaking at 65 M/wk in late June
- PRC is rushing on a XBB #vaccine
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- #XBB will cause 40 million infections/week by the end of May, before peaking at 65 M/wk in late June
- PRC is rushing on a XBB #vaccine
MORE
3/
- The 1st post-Zero-#COVID wave in China peaked with 37 M infections/DAY -- this second wave will be less extreme, he said
- Many people, however, have lost their immunity enough from that 1st wave to now be re-infected with #XBB
#China has never released mortality...
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- The 1st post-Zero-#COVID wave in China peaked with 37 M infections/DAY -- this second wave will be less extreme, he said
- Many people, however, have lost their immunity enough from that 1st wave to now be re-infected with #XBB
#China has never released mortality...
MORE
4/
...tolls for that late Nov2022-Feb2023 #COVID wave that anybody really believes. If the country had 37 M infections/day for 3 peak weeks, or >1 billion cases, and CFR was 1%, hundreds of thousands of deaths should have occurred. But China's CDC claimed only <85,000.
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...tolls for that late Nov2022-Feb2023 #COVID wave that anybody really believes. If the country had 37 M infections/day for 3 peak weeks, or >1 billion cases, and CFR was 1%, hundreds of thousands of deaths should have occurred. But China's CDC claimed only <85,000.
MORE
5/
#China just approved its new XBB #vaccine , according to Zhong, so getting ahead of the virus in this second wave will be a pretty Herculean, mad manufacturing & distribution effort.
I hope, for the sake of the people of China, that the vax works and is available in time.
#China just approved its new XBB #vaccine , according to Zhong, so getting ahead of the virus in this second wave will be a pretty Herculean, mad manufacturing & distribution effort.
I hope, for the sake of the people of China, that the vax works and is available in time.
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