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May 26 5 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Southern #Ukraine Updates:

Russian sources claim that Ukrainian forces struck a Russian Su-25 attack aircraft over #Zaporizhia Oblast on May 25. isw.pub/UkrWar052523 ImageImage
2/ Other milbloggers amplified reports of smoke near Melitopol and claimed that Ukrainian forces downed the Su-25.
3/ Russian forces continued to target Ukrainian positions in southern #Ukraine with FAB-500 aerial bombs on May 25. Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that Russian forces conducted two KAB (a FAB-500 variant) strikes near Beryslav in #Kherson Oblast.
4/ Russian sources claimed that Russian forces shot down six drones over #Crimea on May 25. Crimean occupation officials claimed that RU air defenses and elements of the Black Sea Fleet shot down six drones over #Sevastopol and other areas of Crimea on the night of May 24 to 25.
5/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces launched seven drones, which Russian forces downed near Dzhankoi, Sterehushche, Maslove, and Zavetne. isw.pub/UkrWar052523

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More from @TheStudyofWar

May 28
Mobilization & Force Generation Updates:

The Russian Ministry of Justice registered the civil society group “Council of Mothers of Wives” as a foreign agent on May 26, likely to curb resistance to #Russia's ongoing and future force generation efforts. isw.pub/UkrWar052723
2/ The “Council of Mothers and Wives” routinely advocated for their relatives serving in the Russian military by reaching out to local officials following the start of partial mobilization in late September 2022.
3/ #Putin previously tried to dull the informational impact of the group’s criticism of mobilization in late November 2022 by attending a meeting with hand-picked women in the Russian political sphere falsely presented as mothers of mobilized personnel. isw.pub/UkrWar112522
Read 4 tweets
May 28
Southern #Ukraine:

1/ Russian forces continued to target southern Ukraine with artillery, drone, and air strikes on May 27. The Ukrainian Southern Operational Command reported that Russian forces’ primary tactic in southern Ukraine is counterbattery fire. isw.pub/UkrWar052723 ImageImage
2/ Ukrainian forces continued to strike rear logistical nodes in #Zaporizhia Oblast on May 27. Russian and Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces struck Polohy and #Berdyansk, Zaporizhia Oblast on May 27. Image
3/ The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) warned on May 26 that Russian forces are preparing to conduct large-scale provocations to create radiological danger at the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP). isw.pub/UkrWar052723 Image
Read 7 tweets
May 28
Russian forces continued limited offensive operations northeast of #Kupyansk and south of #Kreminna on May 27. Geolocated footage published on May 26 indicates that Russian forces likely advanced NW of Bilohorivka, #Luhansk Oblast (12km south of Kreminna). isw.pub/UkrWar052723 ImageImageImage
2/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported on May 27 that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive operations near Bilohorivka and Masyutivka, #Kharkiv Oblast (13km northeast of Kupyansk).
3/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces recaptured several recently lost positions southeast of Bilohorivka, although ISW has not observed visual confirmation of this claim. Image
Read 4 tweets
May 28
Former Russian officer and ardent nationalist Igor #Girkin accused #Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin of planning a coup against the current Russian leadership. isw.pub/UkrWar052723
2/ #Girkin openly accused #Prigozhin of planning to conduct a coup amid the upcoming Ukrainian #counteroffensive and of continuously violating Russian censorship laws against the discreditation of the Russian army and military command. isw.pub/UkrWar052723
3/ A member of #Girkin’s Angry Patriots Club claimed that the conflict between Russian Defense Minister Sergey #Shoigu and #Prigozhin is developing into a conflict between the Russian military and #Wagner forces but that #Putin is not paying attention.
Read 5 tweets
May 28
The Russian military command may be transferring #Donetsk People’s Republic’s (DNR) forces to relieve #WagnerGroup forces in #Bakhmut city, which may decrease the tempo of Russian offensive operations on the #Avdiivka-Donetsk City line. isw.pub/UkrWar052723
2/ ISW previously assessed that the Russian military command has heavily committed a variety of DNR elements to the Avdiivka-Donetsk City frontline. Russian attacks around Avdiivka-Donetsk City area appear to have been decreasing in recent days, which may be connected to the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
3/ The Russian offensives around #Avdiivka have been steadily decreasing since at least April 8 after the RU military command attempted to intensify offensive operations near the settlement in mid-March.
Read 5 tweets
May 27
The #Kremlin is likely reviving its information campaign to discourage continued Western aid to #Ukraine and to coerce the West into forcing Ukraine to accept concessions and negotiate on terms favorable to #Russia ahead of the Ukrainian counteroffensive.🧵isw.pub/UkrWar052623
2/ The #Kremlin claimed on May 26 that #Putin expressed “the openness of the Russian side to dialogue on the political and diplomatic track, which is still blocked by #Kyiv and its Western sponsors” in a phone call with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio #Lula da Silva.
3/ #Putin’s statement does not indicate that #Russia is interested in pursuing negotiations with #Ukraine, and the #Kremlin has not established any serious grounds for negotiations nor abandoned its maximalist goals to force the Ukrainian government to capitulate.
Read 9 tweets

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