Russian officials and milbloggers’ responses to the limited raid in #Belgorod Oblast are indicative of continued heightened anxiety within the Russian information space regarding the war in #Ukraine.🧵 isw.pub/UkrWar060123
2/ #Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on June 1 that #Putin constantly receives information about the situation in #Belgorod Oblast, and that Putin awarded Shebekinsky Raion Head Vladimir Zhdanov the Order of Courage for his response to the situation along the border.
3/ #Belgorod Oblast Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov announced that Russian officials in Belgorod Oblast evacuated 200 children to Penza Oblast and plan to evacuate another 600 children to Kaluga and Yaroslavl oblasts on June 3.
4/ BBC’s Russia Service reported on June 1 that Gladkov agreed with authorities of several Russian regions to accept 1,200 Belgorod residents during evacuations.
5/ These evacuations from #Belgorod Oblast, Putin’s reported attentiveness to the situation, and the MoD’s characterization of the raid as an attempt to "invade” Russian territory suggest that the #Kremlin is trying to use these limited raids...
6/ ...to support ongoing information operations that seek to portray the war in #Ukraine as existential and garner domestic support for a protracted war.
7/ Select Russian milbloggers also used the situation in #Belgorod Oblast to criticize the Russian leadership while others argued that the limited raids are precursors for Ukrainian counteroffensive operations. isw.pub/UkrWar060123
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2/ Russian sources claimed that Russian forces captured Masyutivka as early as May 15. isw.pub/UkrWar060123
3/ A Russian milblogger claimed that fighting is ongoing near Masyutivka, Synkivka (9km NE of Kupyansk), and Dvorichna (17km NE of Kupyansk), and that Russian forces are continuing to expand control over areas in the vicinity of Masyutivka.
Geolocated footage published June 1 shows alleged Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR) personnel operating near Novaya Tavolzhanka and LSR and Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) personnel striking RU positions near the settlement as well as Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast isw.pub/UkrWar060123
2/ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian Border Guard Service and Federal Security Service (FSB) officers thwarted two motorized infantry companies reinforced with tanks that attempted to ”invade” Russian territory near Shebekino and Novaya Tavolzhanka.
3/ A prominent Russian milblogger claimed that 20 Russian border guards and 20 conscripts as well as Russian aviation and artillery units repelled the RDK and LRS personnel that attempted to conduct a raid near Shebekino.
.@washingtonpost reported today that #Iran has been building and training forces to target and kill US personnel and expel US forces from #Syria, according to classified documents leaked on the Discord messaging platform: washingtonpost.com/world/2023/06/…⬇️
2/ The article notes one document revealed that #Iran is training Iranian-backed forces to construct and use explosively formed penetrators (EFPs) against US forces in #Syria.
3/ A separate document cited by the Post laid out Iranian operations to stoke and support local resistance movements to target US forces in eastern and northeastern #Syria.
#Ukrainian#Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko reported that #Russian forces are replacing old and worn equipment — including T-72 and T-62 tanks and air defenses — in southern #Ukraine. 2/4
Andryushchenko reported that #Russian forces are moving the equipment towards Manhush (14km southwest of #Mariupol) and Berdyansk out of fear of #Ukrainian strikes on Mariupol. 3/4
The Kremlin may be attempting to reintroduce Kadyrovites as the main offensive force following the culmination of #Wagner forces and their withdrawal from the frontlines. isw.pub/UkrWar053123
2/ ISW had previously assessed that Russian President Vladimir #Putin had been attempting to pressure #Kadyrov into increasing the role of Chechen fighters in combat operations since at least Putin's public meeting with Kadyrov on March 13.
3/ Kadyrov also claimed on May 20 to have met with #Putin in Pyatigorsk, Stavropol Krai, around the time of #Wagner Group’s claimed victory in #Bakhmut.
#Kadyrov noted that the #Russian military command ordered Russian, Rosgvardia (Russian National Guard), and #Chechen Akhmat forces to begin offensive actions along the frontline in #Zaporizhia and #Kherson oblasts as well. 2/4
#Kadyrov claimed that these units have already begun tactical preparations for these offensive actions and claimed that “Akhmat” units’ offensive operations began before #Ukrainian forces launched a counteroffensive. 3/4