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Femi @Femi_Sorry
, 6 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
People still think a Free Trade deal is the key to a successful Brexit.
Free Trade just means no tariffs.
The real impact on costs comes from NON-tariff barriers.
Don't believe me? Just read
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/non…
fullfact.org/europe/tariffs…
ft.com/content/692027…
infacts.org/post-brexit-tr…
Then I just image-googled "cost tariffs non-tariff barriers" to compare the effect of the two on other trading relationships.
The biggest mistake people are making is that we still think the Single Market is just about Free Trade and Free movement.
That's why we still think a Free Trade deal can replace it.
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One reason why the Brexit debate is now so aggressive is because MPs like Andrea Leadsom keep saying that letting the people vote on a deal which POLITICIANS are responsible for, and which even Brexit voters hate, somehow means Remainers are calling Brexit voters stupid. #Peston
Let's say:
1⃣I hate our current relationship with the rest of the EU
2⃣I vote to end that relationship
3⃣The government negotiates a new relationship
4⃣I think it's worse than the old one
5⃣I vote to stick with the old one.
Does that make me 'stupid' or just not psychic?
#Peston
These politicians, like Andrea Leadsom, know Brexit hasn't worked out as they promised and instead of admitting that, they want the people to get angry with each other rather than blame the politicians who brought us here.
#Peston
Read 3 tweets
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OK Just started watching #BrexitTheUncivilWar. You guys better not ruin the end result for me!
I can already feel people complaining 'How dare they portray Nigel Farage as a rich boy playing games with the lives of the working class he claims to represent'
#BrexitTheUncivilWar
Is Benedict Cumberbatch putting on a Welsh accent?
#BrexitTheUncivilWar.
Read 5 tweets
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Your doctors, nurses, midwives and GPs are all telling you Brexit is bad for your health.
Which do you love more? Brexit or the NHS?
#NHSLongTermPlan
If you love the NHS more, how do we best protect it?
We can protect it as an EU member. Brexit makes it vulnerable to people like Trump.
#NHSLongTermPlan
But they're saying more money is coming to the NHS. Do the numbers add up?
#NHSLongTermPlan
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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1. #Brexit was never an economic proposition but that doesn't mean we can simply disregard the economic concerns. They are both real and urgent. Our future trade and geostrategic position matters - and for Brexit to be workable long term we need to be mindful of that.
2. On that score we need to start from a position of relative strength - which we won't if we leave without a deal. We'll be taking a hit of anywhere up to 200bn a year in trade by way of losing critical single market participation. That's a substantially weaker starting position
3. Much of our trade is interwoven. It's not a matter of shipping a tin of beans from point A to point B. Complex products are only worth selling if you can sell the service contracts that go with them - and that means being able to dispatch engineers.
Read 25 tweets
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1. The no deal #Brexit advocates are in full spin mode. They say we can trade on WTO terms alone. So anybody with a clue asks them about aviation and nuclear sectors etc where they mutter something about bilateral deals. That's an admission that we cannot trade on WTO rules alone
2. They then pretend we can have an amicable negotiated exit to WTO rules. We can't. This would be a package with all the bilaterals covering aviation and nuclear - there bare minimum to avoid civil emergencies. It would not include any mutual recognition on anything.
3. There is no way the EU would sign such an agreement without the existing agreements on citizens rights, the financial settlement and the NI backstop. There is no rowing back from that. The government would have to agree or there is no deal.
Read 18 tweets
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1. I cannot contain my loathing of Jacob Rees-Mogg, Boris Johnson and John Redwood et al. They are wreckers and liars manipulating the stupid and the easily led.

#Brexit thread.
2. When you've been in a political and economic union for forty years things get a bit complicated. There is layer upon layer of complexity and no one person understands it all and never will. It's massive and anyone claiming to understand it fully is lying or overconfident.
3. For instance, the aviation sector covers everything from landing slots to safety certification where often it is difficult to tell what is an EU competence and ans where the line of delineation is between the EU and the nation state.
Read 19 tweets
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1. This is a particularly boring thread but if this doesn't make the point about a no deal #Brexit then nothing will. It relates to an obscure story in the @FarmersGuardian last August and a blunder by the EU Commission.
2. The European Commission failed to re-authorise the Red Tractor assurance scheme, along with four different schemes from other member states, despite the application for re-approval being lodged six months prior.
3. The unexplained gaffe meant farmers whose grain was destined for the biofuels market were been left in the lurch, with some having to fork out for interim storage. No paperwork or tick in a box equals no trade. That's how the system works.
Read 13 tweets
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"Trump has used Harley-Davidson as an example of a US business that is being harmed by trade barriers. Yet Harley has warned consistently against tariffs, saying they would negatively impact sales"

Harley, hit by tariffs, shifts some production overseas apnews.com/6c8942f7363743…
Important issue highlighted by @riotwomennn: are tariff exemptions determined by bribes?

Corker: "22,000 companies have asked for exemptions.There is no basis to deal with them. Are they going to grant these exclusions based on political contributions?"
Trump’s trade war with the European Union is going to cost Harley-Davidson as much as $100 million a year and force the manufacturer to shift production out of the U.S. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 232 tweets
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1. Fishing was always going to be a big row in #Brexit because its one of the most emotive - touching on matters of territory, identity, heritage and sovereignty - but especially because it was one of the most visible symbols of what was done to the UK without consent.
2. Effectively the EU in conjunction with the British government did to the fisherman what Mrs T is said to have done to the miners. Anyone alive at the time will have vivid memories of family boats at the wreckers. It left a deep economic and emotional scar on coastal towns.
3. Consequently it attracts a lot more political runtime than it should, and the fishing lobby are expert at playing the victim. Possibly they are the most politically overindulged constituency there is because they are totemic for eurosceptics.
Read 20 tweets

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