A new coronavirus being 20 times more lethal than COVID19? Unlikely. 🤔

During the #WEF in Davos, there was discussion of a potential new #pandemic called #Disease_X that could cause 20 times more deaths than #COVID19. Is this a plausible scenario? Let's examine it.
1/ As we know, the first circulating variant and subsequent variants proved to be highly pathogenic.
They were characterized by a "spike" protein with high affinity for the human ACE2 receptor, which facilitated coronavirus entry into human cells and determined pathogenic effects.
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How long would the #COVID19 #pandemic have lasted without the #vaccine?

We have two ways to answer this question: the first is the #historical one, i.e. looking at the past and understanding how many years the previous pandemics caused by respiratory #viruses lasted. (1/9) The available data tell us that all pandemics caused by respiratory #viruses lasted about two years:

-Influenza A H1N1 (swine flu), caused by an #influenza A virus of swine origin, lasted from April 2009 to August 2010.

-Influenza A H3N2 (Hong Kong flu), (2/9)

I strongly urge all #scientists to return to their laboratories and conduct thorough #research on the topics within their purview.

#Health policy and #restriction decisions are the responsibility of the government and must consider multiple factors. 🇬🇧
#COVID19 #lockdown
1/6 In my opinion, Lancet did very poorly to publish the document accessible from the link: thelancet.com/journals/lance…

This is undue political pressure on the #UK government to try to prevent a return to normal life.
🌅😎⚽️🇬🇧🇮🇹
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