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Tim
Macro Enthusiast! Views/Charts are my own & not reflective of my employer. Posts are not personal or general advice!!! Always do your own research!
26 Jun
Meanwhile, #US #e-commerce sales, per Mastercard SpendingPulse, were up 92.7 percent in May, underscoring the broader shift to #digital in how we work, live and shop.
webwire.com/ViewPressRel.a… Image
#ecommerce #digital
According to Mastercard SpendingPulse, more money was spent online in the #US between April and May than the last 12 Cyber Mondays combined. ImageImageImageImage
#ecommerce #digital #ausbiz #ausecon
Of those aged between 22 and 35, only 36 per cent have a credit card, down from 59 per cent in 2002, and only 14 per cent pay in cash.
afr.com/companies/fina…
Read 18 tweets
10 Feb 19
#GrowthSlowing #inflation
In the 12 months through January, the CPI rose 1.6 percent, the smallest gain since June 2017. The CPI increased 1.9 percent on a year-on-year basis in December.
reuters.com/article/us-usa…
#GrowthSlowing #fundflows
Money market funds recorded $21.38 billion in inflows to $3.040 trillion in the week ended Feb. 12. That was the highest level since the week of March 9, 2010, when assets totaled $3.067 trillion, according to data firm iMoneyNet.
reuters.com/article/us-fun…
Read 26 tweets
2 Feb 19
$USD #liquidity
1/ While the US Dollar has pulled back in January it was not unexpected looking at net issuance by the US Treasury and the rate of change in excess reserves. Using a 3 month adv. on net issuance and excess reserves their may be further upside to the US Dollar.
$USD #liquidity
2/ There was a small uptick in global liquidity in December 2018 in rate of change terms. This has supported many markets that were oversold. However, there has been no sizeable change in trend. Will know more once January data is released.
#equities #liquidity
3/ If we have a closer look at the rate of change in the major central bank balance sheets we can see the contraction throughout 2018. The rate of change in the MSCI All World Index tracks it closely. Again notice the slight uptick in December 2018.
Read 59 tweets
4 Jan 19
#inflation #bonds $TLT
Charts from last night Australian time. Not updated for most recent ISM number.
1/
YoY% for average gasoline prices falling with the US 10 year yield YoY% and CPI YoY% following.
#USA #growthslowing
2/
US leading economic index YoY%, GS US financial conditions, and the St. @stlouisfed financial stress index all pointing to lower real gdp numbers for the US economy.
#USA #growthslowing
3/
If we advance GS financial conditions forward by 3 months it is likely that real GDP growth and leading economic indicators continue to track lower.
Read 12 tweets
2 Nov 18
#trade #tradewars #USA
“No country presents a broader, more severe threat to our ideas, our innovation, and our economic security than #China,” FBI Director Christopher Wray said in a statement.
reuters.com/article/us-usa…
#trade #tradewars
“If we can open up China and make it fair, for the first time ever — this should have done years ago by other presidents but it wasn’t — I am very much willing to do it. But China very much wants to make a deal,” he said.
reuters.com/article/us-usa…
#trade #tradewars
🤔
“There’s no mass movement, there’s no huge thing. We’re not on the cusp of a deal,” Kudlow told CNBC. He added that the administration had not seen any new offer from #China.
reuters.com/article/us-usa…
Read 554 tweets
18 Aug 18
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
Read 338 tweets