Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Climate, Conflict, Politics, Africa. Editor https://t.co/b6HbxvmnsV (NZ) Reporting from France. https://t.co/LNVK0y9IS7 #nzpol #DesertRain

Jun 11, 2021, 21 tweets

Today's #NorthAfrica, #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast rainfall forecasts follow.

The images below from @NASA below show 3 north-south cross sections of the Sahara taken this morning.
1. Morocco to Ivory Coast
2. Algeria to Nigeria & DRC
3. Levant to Uganda.

An updated precipitable water animation - 10 Days - for the Sahara. The transit of water in a north easterly direction is finally starting to slow down, albeit not just yet.

10-day rainfall forecasts from four models for North Africa.

Here's an over view of the full area, North Africa and the Middle East this afternoon.

Here's a close up of the Eastern Sahara. There are multiple areas of cloud moving in a north easterly direction, focused on the Sinai.

Here's a close up of the northern area of the last animation. I note however that there is no rainfall expected in the models. There is a small amount of rainfall in Northern Saudi Arabia south of the Jordanian border.

This one shows the Western end of the Sahara where the jets powered by the Atlantic continue to push moisture along the Mediterranean African coast, mostly invisibly.

This animation is more relevant to the #Europe discussion, but it is interesting in so far as yoiu can see how much of the North Western Hemisphere is now covered in cloud. There is water everywhere, and a traffic jam forming in the North Atlantic, caused by the Sahara Jets.

Here are the 10-Day #Ethiopia #HornOfAfrica Rainfall forecasts which continue to grow. The same cannot be said however of the short term rain prospects.

Here are the 48 rainfall forecasts, for rainfall on the 11th and 12th of June for the #HornOfAfrica.

An animation from this afternoon of the Horn.

There were more spectacular #ArabianStorms today. But for some reason it appears that the Saudi Arabian weather radar data was not being received.

There are however numerous spectacular videos at @Arab_Storms of the activity in Eastern Saudi Arabia and Oman today.

Even some camels in the rain...

Here's some fresh storm runoff in Oman.

10-Day June 11th, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم

48 Hour June 11th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم

And finally, June 10th 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.

A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.

Keep scrolling