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Middle East analysis and reporting. 🇱🇧 Semi-automated reporting To support the work on the page: https://t.co/MwTLvrGKph

Aug 10, 2022, 12 tweets

🧵THE SILENT SIEGE :

There are 4 countries in the ME that are under siege by the USA & allies that are about to erupt and change history. Read the thread below to understand the current Middle Eastern boiling situation.

Let's start by explaining each country's situation

1/

#LEBANON (since 2019)

•boycotted by pro-USA Arab states

•banking sector destroyed by the sudden massive transfer of cash outside the country in 2019

•Foreign compagnies not allowed to search & extract gas

Reason : Hezbollah strategic weapons that threaten #Israel.

2/

#SYRIA (since 2015)

•Ceasar sanctions (banking sector disconnected from SWIFT. Import/export sanctions, etc.)

•Direct occupation & theft of oilfields by US Army

Reason : allied to #Iran and #Russia, helps with the armament of Hezbollah and Palestinian resistance.

3/

#YEMEN (since 2014):

• Physical siege( land, sea, air blocade)

• Management of salaries &? customs by #SaudiArabia

• Theft of aid & fuel cargos by Saudis

Reason : part of the 100 year old war between Yemen & KSA (House of Saud wants Yemen's allegiance).

4/

● YEMEN Part 2

Reason: Strategic location& big oil ressources that must not be under the control of an independent state that can challenge Saudi supremacy in the Arab world.

Like any other country in the ME,not allowed to have army outside of the jurisdiction of CENTCOM

5/

#GAZA, #PALESTINE (since 2005)

•Under physical siege( land, sea, air blocade)

• Ressources allowed to enter Gaza are managed by #Israel

• Weekly harassment of fisherman

Reason : armed resistance against settler occupation and apartheid, possession of missiles.

6/

BREAKING THE SIEGE

Hezbollah officially threatened Israel and the USA in order to break the siege on Lebanon. They have untill the beginning of September to allow compagnies to extract gas from Lebanon , otherwise Hezbollah will start striking Israeli gas fields.

7/

This equation will force Israel either to surrender to Hezbollah's demands, or enter a war in which it will lose it's infrastructure.
If #Israel & #USA surrender to Hezbollah's demands, #Gaza, #Syria, and #Yemen will be the next in line to make similar threats.

8/

#Iran can send a container ship to #Gaza to break the siege, and if Israel confiscates it, it's own ships will get confiscated by Iran in the Persian Gulf

9/

#Syria can start harassing militarly the Kurds that are with US troops stealing the oilfields

#Yemen can resume drone and missile operations on Aramco in #Saudi Arabia

10/

The region is boiling & there's only 2 possibilities: either the 4 sieges get lifted, or the entire region is going to the final war

Will USA make it's allies in the ME commit suicide to fight it's enemies like it did with Europeeans & #Ukraine?

There's a 50/50 chance !

END/

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